Croatia vs Poland, 2017
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Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetingsRecent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 05 Aug Poland H 1–3 L 30 Apr FC Red Bull Salzburg A 2–3 L 22 Apr Galatasaray SK H 1–2 L 17 Apr France A 1–3 L 14 Apr FK Shakhtar Donetsk H 0–4 L 08 Apr Germany H 1–0 W Key Stats
50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history -
Events
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Lineups
Croatia Lineups
Poland Lineups
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H2H
Head to Head
Croatia Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy3 / 41.28 Croatia xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.81 Poland xGI would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Poland winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 3.09Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 94% 6% ± 1.5 81% 19% ± 2.5 59% 41% ± 3.5 37% 63% ± 4.5 21% 79% Double Chance
Croatia or Draw 54%Draw or Poland 72%Croatia or Poland 74%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Poland win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 11.4%1 – 2 9.2%0 – 1 7.5%0 – 2 7.4%2 – 1 6.5%0 – 0 6.2%2 – 2 5.9%1 – 3 Actual1 – 0 5%0 – 3 4.4%2 – 0 3.7%2 – 3 3.6%Asian Handicap — Croatia
Handicap Croatia covers Push Poland covers -2.5 4% — 96% -2 4% 7% 89% -1.5 11% — 89% -1 11% 15% 74% -0.5 26% — 74% +0.5 51% — 49% +1 51% 21% 27% +1.5 73% — 27% +2 73% 15% 13% +2.5 87% — 13% Clean Sheet
Croatia keeps clean sheet 17% ✓Poland keeps clean sheet 29% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.