France vs Croatia, 2016

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League One 2016/17 · 2016

France

3 – 1

Full Time

Croatia

Mon 17 Apr 2017 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

France vs Croatia — Premier League .

France 0 games · 0 pts
Croatia 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

France 1.40

Draw 5.00

Croatia 9.00

Head-to-Head

France 5 games · Avg 3.6 goals Croatia

Last 5 meetings

2017-04-17 France 3–1 Croatia 2016-10-22 Croatia 0–3 France 2016-03-19 France 1–1 Croatia 2015-10-23 Croatia 0–3 France

Recent Form

France

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Apr	Croatia	H	3–1	W
14 Apr	Shaftesbury FC	A	1–0	W
08 Apr	FC Internazionale Milano	H	1–0	W
01 Apr	Rosenborg BK	A	1–3	L
26 Mar	Paris Saint-Germain FC	H	3–2	W
18 Mar	FC Viktoria Plzen	A	1–2	L

Croatia

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Apr	France	A	1–3	L
14 Apr	FK Shakhtar Donetsk	H	0–4	L
08 Apr	Germany	H	1–0	W
01 Apr	FC Internazionale Milano	A	0–0	D
25 Mar	Juventus FC	H	1–3	L
18 Mar	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	A	1–2	L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)

80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. France host Croatia — let the battle begin!
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

France Lineups

Croatia Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Mario Mandzukic	2
Mario Mandzukic	2
Ivan Perisic	1
Paul Pogba	1
Kylian Mbappe	1
Antoine Griezmann	1
Ivan Perisic	1
Paul Pogba	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.82 France xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.89 Croatia xG

I would bet for: France to win 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

France60% Draw23% Croatia17%

Actual: France win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.71

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

France or Draw

84%

Draw or Croatia

40%

France or Croatia

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

France41% Draw45% Croatia14%

Actual: France win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.6%

1 – 0

11.4%

2 – 0

10.8%

2 – 1

9.4%

0 – 0

8.5%

3 – 0

6.4%

3 – 1

Actual

0 – 1

1 – 2

4.6%

2 – 2

4.2%

4 – 0

4 – 1

2.7%

Asian Handicap — France

Handicap	France covers	Push	Croatia covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	18%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	24%	42%
-0.5	58%	—	42%
+0.5	83%	—	17%
+1	83%	11%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

France keeps clean sheet

42% ✓

Croatia keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.