Friday , 6 November 2026

Crewe Alexandra FC vs AFC Wimbledon, FA Cup 2026 ROUND 1

FA Cup · 2026
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC Mornflake Stadium

Overview

Match Preview

Crewe Alexandra FC vs AFC Wimbledon — FA Cup at Mornflake Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov Doncaster Rovers FC H 1–2 L
02 Nov Dagenham & Redbridge FC H 0–1 L
12 Dec Bristol Rovers FC H 2–4 L
14 Nov Derby County FC A 3–1 W
05 Nov Derby County FC H 2–2 D
26 Nov Barnsley FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Oct Stockport County FC A 1–2 L
24 Oct Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
20 Oct Mansfield Town FC H 0–3 L
17 Oct Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–5 L
10 Oct Plymouth Argyle FC A 1–2 L
26 Sep Cambridge United FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

H2H

Predictions

1.64 Crewe Alexandra FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 AFC Wimbledon xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

Crewe Alexandra FC46% Draw26% AFC Wimbledon28%

Both Teams to Score

Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.94

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Crewe Alexandra FC or Draw
72%
Draw or AFC Wimbledon
54%
Crewe Alexandra FC or AFC Wimbledon
74%

Half-Time Result

Crewe Alexandra FC32% Draw45% AFC Wimbledon23%

Correct Score

1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
7.8%
0 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
7%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Crewe Alexandra FC

Handicap Crewe Alexandra FC covers Push AFC Wimbledon covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 21% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Crewe Alexandra FC keeps clean sheet
28%
AFC Wimbledon keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.