Sunday , 16 August 2026

Crewe Alexandra FC vs Derby County FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 1

FA Cup · 2023-24
Sun 5 Nov 2023 · 14:45 UTC Mornflake Stadium 5,201 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Crewe Alexandra FC vs Derby County FCFA Cup at Mornflake Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Scott Oldham
  • Assistant 1 Richard Woodward
  • Assistant 2 Karl Buckley (England)

Head-to-Head

1
1
Crewe Alexandra FC 2 games · Avg 4.0 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov Derby County FC H 2–2 D
26 Nov Barnsley FC A 0–3 L
05 Nov Leyton Orient FC H 1–0 W
30 Apr Lincoln City FC A 1–2 L
23 Apr Ipswich Town FC H 1–1 D
19 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov Crewe Alexandra FC A 2–2 D
31 Oct Northampton Town FC H 4–0 W
28 Oct Stevenage FC A 1–3 L
24 Oct Exeter City FC H 2–0 W
21 Oct Shrewsbury Town FC A 0–1 L
07 Oct Cheltenham Town FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Crewe Alexandra FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Derby County FC gets underway.
  • 5' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Lee Bell might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nathaniel Mendez-Laing suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' Elliott Nevitt has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 35' Luke Offord needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 40' Crewe Alexandra FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 41' What a moment for Courtney Baker-Richardson! That strike on 41 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 46' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 54' A stunning finish from Elliott Nevitt — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 59' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 64' Derby County FC have won 452 goals from 385 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 67' It is a substitution in Crewe Alexandra FC team. Elliott Nevitt is replaced by Aaron Rowe on 67 minute.
  • 68' Another change for Derby County FC made on 68 minute. Craig Forsyth leaves to be changed by Eiran Cashin.
  • 73' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 76' The supporters are chanting for Charlie Colkett. He replaces Lewis Billington on 76 minute.
  • 79' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Ryan Nyambe exits the field as Louie Sibley enters on 79.
  • 82' Crewe Alexandra FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Calum Agius is hanging Joe White on the field on 82 minute.
  • 87' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 89' Goal! Nathaniel Mendez-Laing scores his 29 goal in 372 matches.
  • It finishes all square. Crewe Alexandra FC and Derby County FC share the spoils 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.58 Crewe Alexandra FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Crewe Alexandra FC or Derby County FC 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Crewe Alexandra FC42% Draw27% Derby County FC31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Crewe Alexandra FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Derby County FC
58%
Crewe Alexandra FC or Derby County FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Crewe Alexandra FC31% Draw45% Derby County FC24%
Actual: Crewe Alexandra FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 0
8%
0 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
7%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Crewe Alexandra FC

Handicap Crewe Alexandra FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 21% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Crewe Alexandra FC keeps clean sheet
28%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.