Thursday , 1 October 2026

Crewe Alexandra FC vs Derby County FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 1

FA Cup · 2023-24
Sun 5 Nov 2023 · 14:45 UTC Mornflake Stadium 5,201 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Crewe Alexandra FC vs Derby County FC — FA Cup at Mornflake Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Scott Oldham
  • Assistant 1 Richard Woodward
  • Assistant 2 Karl Buckley (England)
3 games this season 🟨 1.0/game ⚽ 3.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Crewe Alexandra FC 2 games · Avg 4.0 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov Derby County FC H 2–2 D
26 Nov Barnsley FC A 0–3 L
05 Nov Leyton Orient FC H 1–0 W
30 Apr Lincoln City FC A 1–2 L
23 Apr Ipswich Town FC H 1–1 D
19 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov Crewe Alexandra FC A 2–2 D
31 Oct Northampton Town FC H 4–0 W
28 Oct Stevenage FC A 1–3 L
24 Oct Exeter City FC H 2–0 W
21 Oct Shrewsbury Town FC A 0–1 L
07 Oct Cheltenham Town FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Crewe Alexandra FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Crewe Alexandra FC to score. At the same time, Derby County FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Crewe Alexandra FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' Ryan Cooney needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Elliott Nevitt made 48 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Conor Thomas, as he is very good at scoring at Mornflake Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 35' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Crewe Alexandra FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 40' Conor Washington has been relatively quiet despite scoring 33 goals in his last 374 appearances.
  • 41' What a strike from Courtney Baker-Richardson! The score is 1-0.
  • 46' With 0 assists to his name this season, Korey Smith is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Crewe Alexandra FC.
  • 51' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 54' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Elliott Nevitt makes it 2-0.
  • 59' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 64' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 67' Crewe Alexandra FC ring the changes. Elliott Nevitt has done his job and it is now time for Aaron Rowe to step up.
  • 68' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Craig Forsyth departs to be replaced by Eiran Cashin.
  • 73' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 76' The crowd applauds Lewis Billington as he leaves the pitch. Charlie Colkett steps in for Crewe Alexandra FC.
  • 79' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Louie Sibley comes on to replace Ryan Nyambe.
  • 82' Another substitution for Crewe Alexandra FC to replace Joe White by Calum Agius on 82 minute.
  • 87' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 89' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing does the damage! The net is bulging and Derby County FC surge ahead!
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.58 Crewe Alexandra FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Crewe Alexandra FC or Derby County FC 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Crewe Alexandra FC42% Draw27% Derby County FC31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Crewe Alexandra FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Derby County FC
58%
Crewe Alexandra FC or Derby County FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Crewe Alexandra FC31% Draw45% Derby County FC24%
Actual: Crewe Alexandra FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 0
8%
0 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
7%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Crewe Alexandra FC

Handicap Crewe Alexandra FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 21% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Crewe Alexandra FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.