CD Tondela vs Rio Ave FC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CD Tondela vs Rio Ave FC — Primeira Liga .
- CD Tondela 34 games · 28 pts (2025/26)
- Rio Ave FC 34 games · 36 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Helder Malheiro
5 games this season
🟨 2.2/game
⚽ 11.4 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 34 | 82 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34 | 80 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 34 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Arouca | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitória SC | 34 | 42 |
| 10 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave FC | 34 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Santa Clara | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 34 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 34 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | Rio Ave FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Mar | CD Santa Clara | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Feb | CF Estrela da Amadora | A | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Feb | FC Alverca | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Feb | GD Estoril Praia | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Feb | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | CD Tondela | A | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Mar | FC Famalicão | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Feb | FC Porto | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Feb | Moreirense FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Feb | Sporting Clube de Braga | A | 0–3 | L |
| 31 Jan | FC Arouca | H | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| CD Tondela | Rio Ave FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #12 |
| 28 | Points | 36 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 6 / 10 / 18 | W / D / L | 8 / 12 / 14 |
| 27 | Scored | 35 |
| 55 | Conceded | 57 |
| -28 | GD | -22 |
| 0.82 | PPG | 1.06 |
| 18% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
CD Tondela this season
CD Tondela this season
18%
Clean Sheets
Rio Ave FC this season
Rio Ave FC this season
CD Tondela are 17th (28 pts). Rio Ave FC are 12th (36 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CD Tondela
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/3
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Rio Ave FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/3
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/3
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Rio Ave FC kicks off things out of here…
- With this win, Rio Ave FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
CD Tondela Lineups
Rio Ave FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gelson Dala | 2 |
| Galeno | 2 |
| Bruno Moreira | 2 |
| Denilson | 2 |
| Tarantini | 1 |
| Sergio Pena | 1 |
| Joao Pedro | 1 |
| Galeno | 1 |
Head to Head
CD Tondela Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.99
CD Tondela xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21
Rio Ave FC xG
I would bet for:
Rio Ave FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Rio Ave FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
CD Tondela or Draw
62%
Draw or Rio Ave FC
70%
CD Tondela or Rio Ave FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
13.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.7%
0 – 2
7.8%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
3.2%
0 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
2.1%
Asian Handicap — CD Tondela
| Handicap | CD Tondela covers | Push | Rio Ave FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 18% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 22% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 12% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
CD Tondela keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Rio Ave FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

