Wednesday , 30 September 2026

CD Nacional vs CF Estrela da Amadora, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
CD Nacional
2 – 0
Full Time
CF Estrela da Amadora
Sat 4 Apr 2026 · 14:30 UTC Estadio da Madeira 2,099 HT 45' · FT 45'
Chuchu 2' 1–0
Paulinho Boia 71' 2–0
Y 1' Luan Patrick
Y 16' Rodrigo Pinho
Leo Santos 45' Y
Alan Nunez 78' Y
Y 81' Jefferson Encada
Daniel Jr. 86' Y
Paulinho Boia 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs CF Estrela da Amadora — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.

Match Details

  • Referee Joao Goncalves (Portugal)
  • Assistant 1 Pedro Ribeiro
  • Assistant 2 Miguel Martins (Portugal)
3 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 13.3 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 7 21
2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 7 16
3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 7 15
4 CD Santa Clara 7 15
5 FC Arouca 7 11
6 Sporting Clube de Braga 6 11
7 Academico de Viseu FC 7 11
8 CF Estrela da Amadora 7 10
9 Moreirense FC 7 8
10 Gil Vicente FC 6 8
11 CS Maritimo 7 8
12 FC Alverca 7 8
13 FC Famalicao 7 7
14 Vitoria SC 7 5
15 CD Nacional 7 4
16 Rio Ave FC 7 4
17 Casa Pia AC 7 4
18 GD Estoril Praia 7 2

Head-to-Head

1
1
3
CD Nacional 5 games · Avg 2.4 goals CF Estrela da Amadora
Last 5 meetings
2026-04-04 CD Nacional 2–0 CF Estrela da Amadora 2025-11-09 CF Estrela da Amadora 1–1 CD Nacional 2025-04-06 CD Nacional 0–1 CF Estrela da Amadora 2024-11-10 CF Estrela da Amadora 2–0 CD Nacional

Recent Form

CD Nacional
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr CF Estrela da Amadora H 2–0 W
21 Mar FC Famalicao A 0–1 L
15 Mar GD Estoril Praia H 0–1 L
07 Mar Moreirense FC A 1–1 D
28 Feb Sporting Clube de Braga H 1–2 L
21 Feb FC Arouca A 0–3 L
CF Estrela da Amadora
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr CD Nacional A 0–2 L
20 Mar Casa Pia AC H 4–0 W
15 Mar Rio Ave FC A 1–2 L
08 Mar Gil Vicente FC H 2–2 D
28 Feb AVS A 0–0 D
20 Feb CD Tondela H 0–2 L

Season Stats

CD Nacional CF Estrela da Amadora
#15 Position #8
4 Points 10
7 Played 7
1 / 1 / 5 W / D / L 2 / 4 / 1
7 Scored 14
15 Conceded 14
-8 GD +0
0.57 PPG 1.43
14% Win % 29%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
0% Clean Sheets
CF Estrela da Amadora this season

CD Nacional are 15th (4 pts). CF Estrela da Amadora are 8th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/6
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CF Estrela da Amadora
0-15
–/4
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
5/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CD Nacional
Liziero 1 G 1 A
Leo Santos 1 G
Miguel Baeza 1 G
Ze Vitor 1 G
CF Estrela da Amadora
Ianis Stoica 4 G 2 A
Abraham Marcus 4 G 1 A
Leandro Antonetti 4 G 1 A
Beni Souza 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and CD Nacional launch into their encounter with CF Estrela da Amadora.
  • 1' Luan Patrick picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 2' Against the run of play, Chuchu has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 7' Leo Santos is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for CD Nacional so far.
  • 12' CD Nacional are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CF Estrela da Amadora backline.
  • 16' That is a card for CF Estrela da Amadora. Rodrigo Pinho will be fuming at that decision.
  • 21' CF Estrela da Amadora looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Ianis Stoica scoring 1 goals.
  • 26' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 31' It looks surprising CF Estrela da Amadora does not make any changes. Jefferson Encada has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 36' CF Estrela da Amadora have won 74 goals from 109 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 41' CD Nacional started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 41.
  • 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Leo Santos on 45 minutes.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Jovane Cabral. He replaces Ianis Stoica on 46 minute.
  • 49' A tactical swap from CD Nacional — Daniel Jr. on, Miguel Baeza off on 49 minutes.
  • 54' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 59' Alexandre Sola has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 64' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Bernardo suffering a number of foals already.
  • 69' The 20-year-old Eddy Doue has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 3 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 71' The deadlock is broken! Paulinho Boia gets on the scoresheet on 71 minutes.
  • 74' It is a substitution in CF Estrela da Amadora team. Eddy Doue is replaced by Sydney van Hooijdonk on 74 minute.
  • 75' The supporters are chanting for Jefferson Encada. He replaces Bruno Langa on 75 minute.
  • 77' CD Nacional make a change. Liziero trudges off to be replaced by Filipe Soares on 77 minutes.
  • 78' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alan Nunez on 78 minutes.
  • 81' Controversy at the stadium! Jefferson Encada argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 85' It is a substitution in CF Estrela da Amadora team. Rodrigo Pinho is replaced by Leandro Antonetti on 85 minute.
  • 86' The referee has no hesitation. Daniel Jr. is booked for CD Nacional — card on 86.
  • 89' Fresh legs for CD Nacional! Francisco Goncalves comes on to replace Gabriel Veron.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Paulinho Boia on 90.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-0.

Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tiago Margarido

CF Estrela da Amadora Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach João Nuno

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Paulinho Boia 1
Chuchu 1
Jovane Cabral 1
Wesley 1
Pablo Ruan 1
Ianis Stoica 1
Abraham Marcus 1
Leandro Antonetti 1

Head to Head

2026-04-04 CD Nacional 2–0 CF Estrela da Amadora 2025-11-09 CF Estrela da Amadora 1–1 CD Nacional 2025-04-06 CD Nacional 0–1 CF Estrela da Amadora 2024-11-10 CF Estrela da Amadora 2–0 CD Nacional

CD Nacional Form

2026-04-04 CD Nacional 2–0 CF Estrela da Amadora W 2026-03-21 FC Famalicao 1–0 CD Nacional L 2026-03-15 CD Nacional 0–1 GD Estoril Praia L 2026-03-07 Moreirense FC 1–1 CD Nacional D 2026-02-28 CD Nacional 1–2 Sporting Clube de Braga L 2026-02-21 FC Arouca 3–0 CD Nacional L

CF Estrela da Amadora Form

2026-04-04 CD Nacional 2–0 CF Estrela da Amadora L 2026-03-20 CF Estrela da Amadora 4–0 Casa Pia AC W 2026-03-15 Rio Ave FC 2–1 CF Estrela da Amadora L 2026-03-08 CF Estrela da Amadora 2–2 Gil Vicente FC D 2026-02-28 AVS 0–0 CF Estrela da Amadora D 2026-02-20 CF Estrela da Amadora 0–2 CD Tondela L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.41 CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.88 CF Estrela da Amadora xG
I would bet for: CD Nacional or CF Estrela da Amadora 75% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
CD Nacional34% Draw25% CF Estrela da Amadora41%
Actual: CD Nacional win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw
59%
Draw or CF Estrela da Amadora
66%
CD Nacional or CF Estrela da Amadora
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CD Nacional23% Draw42% CF Estrela da Amadora35%
Actual: CD Nacional win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
1 – 2
8.9%
2 – 1
6.7%
0 – 2
6.6%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 3
5.6%
0 – 0
5.3%
1 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 3
4%
2 – 0
Actual

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap CD Nacional covers Push CF Estrela da Amadora covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 15% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 20% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
16% ✗
CF Estrela da Amadora keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.