Sunday , 16 August 2026

CD Nacional vs CF Estrela da Amadora, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Sat 4 Apr 2026 · 14:30 UTC Estadio da Madeira 2,099 HT 45' · FT 45'
Chuchu 2' 1–0
Paulinho Boia 71' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs CF Estrela da AmadoraPrimeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.

Match Details

  • Referee Joao Goncalves (Portugal)
  • Assistant 1 Pedro Ribeiro
  • Assistant 2 Miguel Martins (Portugal)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr CF Estrela da Amadora H 2–0 W
21 Mar FC Famalicão A 0–1 L
15 Mar GD Estoril Praia H 0–1 L
07 Mar Moreirense FC A 1–1 D
28 Feb Sporting Clube de Braga H 1–2 L
21 Feb FC Arouca A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr CD Nacional A 0–2 L
20 Mar Casa Pia AC H 4–0 W
15 Mar Rio Ave FC A 1–2 L
08 Mar Gil Vicente FC H 2–2 D
28 Feb AVS A 0–0 D
20 Feb CD Tondela H 0–2 L

Season Stats

CD Nacional CF Estrela da Amadora
#3 Position #8
4 Points 2
2 Played 2
1 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 2 / 0
4 Scored 4
2 Conceded 4
+2 GD +0
2.00 PPG 1.00
50% Win % 0%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
0% Clean Sheets
CF Estrela da Amadora this season

CD Nacional are 3rd (4 pts). CF Estrela da Amadora are 8th (2 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
/
16-30
/2
31-45
2/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CF Estrela da Amadora
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/1
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.3 CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 CF Estrela da Amadora xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional59% Draw22% CF Estrela da Amadora19%
Actual: CD Nacional win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.4
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw
81%
Draw or CF Estrela da Amadora
41%
CD Nacional or CF Estrela da Amadora
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional46% Draw39% CF Estrela da Amadora15%
Actual: CD Nacional win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 0
4.7%
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
4%
4 – 0
3.8%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap CD Nacional covers Push CF Estrela da Amadora covers
-2.5 22% 78%
-2 22% 19% 59%
-1.5 41% 59%
-1 41% 22% 37%
-0.5 63% 37%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
34%
CF Estrela da Amadora keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.