CD Nacional vs CF Estrela da Amadora, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CD Nacional vs CF Estrela da Amadora — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.
- CD Nacional 34 games · 34 pts (2025/26)
- CF Estrela da Amadora 34 games · 30 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Joao Goncalves (Portugal)
- Assistant 1 Pedro Ribeiro
- Assistant 2 Miguel Martins (Portugal)
9 games this season
🟨 2.0/game
⚽ 7.2 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 34 | 82 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34 | 80 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 34 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Arouca | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitória SC | 34 | 42 |
| 10 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave FC | 34 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Santa Clara | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 34 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 34 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr | CF Estrela da Amadora | H | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | FC Famalicão | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Mar | GD Estoril Praia | H | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Mar | Moreirense FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Feb | Sporting Clube de Braga | H | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Feb | FC Arouca | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr | CD Nacional | A | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Mar | Casa Pia AC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | Rio Ave FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | Gil Vicente FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Feb | AVS | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Feb | CD Tondela | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| CD Nacional | CF Estrela da Amadora | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #15 |
| 34 | Points | 30 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 9 / 7 / 18 | W / D / L | 6 / 12 / 16 |
| 37 | Scored | 38 |
| 45 | Conceded | 56 |
| -8 | GD | -18 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 0.88 |
| 26% | Win % | 18% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
24%
Clean Sheets
CF Estrela da Amadora this season
CF Estrela da Amadora this season
CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts). CF Estrela da Amadora are 15th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CF Estrela da Amadora
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: CF Estrela da Amadora gets underway.
- 1' It’s a booking for CF Estrela da Amadora player. Luan Patrick gets a card.
- 2' Chuchu puts CD Nacional on the lead.
- 7' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CD Nacional that had 266 games and scored 106 goals.
- 12' The travelling CF Estrela da Amadora supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 16' The referee calls foul for Rodrigo Pinho. He receives a card.
- 21' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gabriel Veron made 386 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 26' It looks surprising CD Nacional does not make any changes. Jovane Cabral has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 31' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CF Estrela da Amadora needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 36' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 41' CF Estrela da Amadora seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 45' It’s gonna be a card for Leo Santos.
- 46' The CF Estrela da Amadora manager makes a substitution. Ianis Stoica departs to be replaced by Jovane Cabral.
- 49' Another change for CD Nacional made on 49 minute. Miguel Baeza leaves to be changed by Daniel Jr..
- 54' Alexandre Sola needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 59' Jose Gomes has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 64' Supporters expect more eagerness from Chiheb Labidi, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio da Madeira with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 69' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 71' GOAL! Paulinho Boia scores on 71. Assisted by Leo Santos
- 74' The supporters are chanting for Sydney van Hooijdonk. He replaces Eddy Doue on 74 minute.
- 75' The whistle greets Bruno Langa as he departs to be replaced by Jefferson Encada.
- 77' Another change for CD Nacional made on 77 minute. Liziero leaves to be changed by Filipe Soares.
- 78' The referee calls foul for Alan Nunez. He receives a card.
- 81' The referee shows CF Estrela da Amadora player a card on 81.
- 85' The whistle greets Rodrigo Pinho as he departs to be replaced by Leandro Antonetti.
- 86' It’s a booking for CD Nacional player. Daniel Jr. gets a card.
- 89' Another substitution for CD Nacional to replace Gabriel Veron by Francisco Goncalves on 89 minute.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Paulinho Boia.
- With this win, CD Nacional is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
CD Nacional Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 34
-
28
Liziero ↓ Filipe Soares 77'
-
8
Miguel Baeza ↓ Daniel Jr. 49'
- 27
- 11
- 38
- 1
- 9
- 16
-
5
Jose Gomes ↓ Lenny Vallier 77'
- 15
Bench
- 19
- 2
-
22
Filipe Soares ↑ 77'
- 7
-
24
Lenny Vallier ↑ 77'
- 26
-
10
Daniel Jr. ↑ 49'
-
33
Francisco Goncalves ↑ 89'
- 50
Coach
Tiago Margarido
CF Estrela da Amadora Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 40
- 9
-
10
Ianis Stoica ↓ Jovane Cabral 46'
-
24
Bruno Langa ↓ Jefferson Encada 75'
- 30
- 99
- 14
- 6
- 21
-
63
Alexandre Sola ↓ Tom Moustier 46'
- 39
Bench
-
20
Sydney van Hooijdonk ↑ 74'
-
11
Jovane Cabral ↑ 46'
-
17
Jefferson Encada ↑ 75'
- 13
-
28
Tom Moustier ↑ 46'
-
7
Leandro Antonetti ↑ 85'
- 83
- 18
- 3
Coach
João Nuno
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kikas | 1 |
| Paulo Moreira | 1 |
| Paulinho Boia | 1 |
| Chuchu | 1 |
| Jovane Cabral | 1 |
Head to Head
CD Nacional Form
CF Estrela da Amadora Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.34
CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91
CF Estrela da Amadora xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CD Nacional win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
CD Nacional or Draw
75%
Draw or CF Estrela da Amadora
54%
CD Nacional or CF Estrela da Amadora
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CD Nacional win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
1 – 0
13%
0 – 0
12.8%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 2
1.8%
Asian Handicap — CD Nacional
| Handicap | CD Nacional covers | Push | CF Estrela da Amadora covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 23% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 15% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
CF Estrela da Amadora keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

