Thursday , 2 July 2026

CD Nacional vs CF Estrela da Amadora, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Sat 4 Apr 2026 · 14:30 UTC Estadio da Madeira 2,099 HT 45' · FT 45'
Chuchu 2' 1–0
Paulinho Boia 71' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs CF Estrela da AmadoraPrimeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.

Match Details

  • Referee Joao Goncalves (Portugal)
  • Assistant 1 Pedro Ribeiro
  • Assistant 2 Miguel Martins (Portugal)
9 games this season 🟨 2.0/game 7.2 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr CF Estrela da Amadora H 2–0 W
21 Mar FC Famalicão A 0–1 L
15 Mar GD Estoril Praia H 0–1 L
07 Mar Moreirense FC A 1–1 D
28 Feb Sporting Clube de Braga H 1–2 L
21 Feb FC Arouca A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr CD Nacional A 0–2 L
20 Mar Casa Pia AC H 4–0 W
15 Mar Rio Ave FC A 1–2 L
08 Mar Gil Vicente FC H 2–2 D
28 Feb AVS A 0–0 D
20 Feb CD Tondela H 0–2 L

Season Stats

CD Nacional CF Estrela da Amadora
#14 Position #15
34 Points 30
34 Played 34
9 / 7 / 18 W / D / L 6 / 12 / 16
37 Scored 38
45 Conceded 56
-8 GD -18
1.00 PPG 0.88
26% Win % 18%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
24% Clean Sheets
CF Estrela da Amadora this season

CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts). CF Estrela da Amadora are 15th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
/1
46-60
/
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CF Estrela da Amadora
0-15
2/1
16-30
/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
/2
61-75
/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: CF Estrela da Amadora gets underway.
  • 1' It’s a booking for CF Estrela da Amadora player. Luan Patrick gets a card.
  • 2' Chuchu puts CD Nacional on the lead.
  • 7' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CD Nacional that had 266 games and scored 106 goals.
  • 12' The travelling CF Estrela da Amadora supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 16' The referee calls foul for Rodrigo Pinho. He receives a card.
  • 21' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gabriel Veron made 386 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 26' It looks surprising CD Nacional does not make any changes. Jovane Cabral has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 31' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CF Estrela da Amadora needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 36' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 41' CF Estrela da Amadora seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 45' It’s gonna be a card for Leo Santos.
  • 46' The CF Estrela da Amadora manager makes a substitution. Ianis Stoica departs to be replaced by Jovane Cabral.
  • 49' Another change for CD Nacional made on 49 minute. Miguel Baeza leaves to be changed by Daniel Jr..
  • 54' Alexandre Sola needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 59' Jose Gomes has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 64' Supporters expect more eagerness from Chiheb Labidi, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio da Madeira with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 69' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 71' GOAL! Paulinho Boia scores on 71. Assisted by Leo Santos
  • 74' The supporters are chanting for Sydney van Hooijdonk. He replaces Eddy Doue on 74 minute.
  • 75' The whistle greets Bruno Langa as he departs to be replaced by Jefferson Encada.
  • 77' Another change for CD Nacional made on 77 minute. Liziero leaves to be changed by Filipe Soares.
  • 78' The referee calls foul for Alan Nunez. He receives a card.
  • 81' The referee shows CF Estrela da Amadora player a card on 81.
  • 85' The whistle greets Rodrigo Pinho as he departs to be replaced by Leandro Antonetti.
  • 86' It’s a booking for CD Nacional player. Daniel Jr. gets a card.
  • 89' Another substitution for CD Nacional to replace Gabriel Veron by Francisco Goncalves on 89 minute.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Paulinho Boia.
  • With this win, CD Nacional is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.34 CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 CF Estrela da Amadora xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional46% Draw29% CF Estrela da Amadora25%
Actual: CD Nacional win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw
75%
Draw or CF Estrela da Amadora
54%
CD Nacional or CF Estrela da Amadora
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CD Nacional31% Draw51% CF Estrela da Amadora18%
Actual: CD Nacional win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
1 – 0
13%
0 – 0
12.8%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 2
1.8%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap CD Nacional covers Push CF Estrela da Amadora covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 23% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
41%
CF Estrela da Amadora keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.