CA Paranaense vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Paranaense vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia.
- CA Paranaense 25 games · 45 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 25 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 25 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 25 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Mineiro | 24 | 36 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 35 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 32 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 24 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 24 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos FC | 24 | 29 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 25 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 24 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 24 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug | Fluminense FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 24 Aug | Botafogo FR | A | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Aug | RB Bragantino | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Aug | Santos FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Jul | SC Internacional | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug | SC Internacional | H | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Aug | EC Vitoria | A | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | Chapecoense AF | A | 3–3 | D |
| 09 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Jul | Fluminense FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| CA Paranaense | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #5 |
| 45 | Points | 40 |
| 25 | Played | 25 |
| 13 / 6 / 6 | W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 5 |
| 37 | Scored | 37 |
| 25 | Conceded | 30 |
| +12 | GD | +7 |
| 1.80 | PPG | 1.60 |
| 52% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
40%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
CA Paranaense are 3rd (45 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Paranaense
0-15
4/4
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/–
61-75
1/2
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/4
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/3
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 17 G | 3 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 5 G | 1 A |
| Leozinho | 4 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Jean Lucas | 3 G | 3 A |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Everaldo | 4 |
| Gabriel Teixeira | 2 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Vitor Roque | 2 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Christian | 1 |
| Lucas Di Yorio | 1 |
| Rossi | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Paranaense Form
Predictions
1.48
CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
CA Paranaense or EC Bahia 73% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
CA Paranaense or Draw
67%
Draw or EC Bahia
60%
CA Paranaense or EC Bahia
73%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.9%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 0
7.2%
0 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense
| Handicap | CA Paranaense covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 19% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 18% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
25%
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
24%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.