CA Paranaense vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Paranaense vs EC Bahia — Serie A .
- CA Paranaense 28 games · 49 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul | EC Bahia | H | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Jul | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Jul | SE Palmeiras | H | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Jun | Club Alianza Lima | H | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Jun | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jun | Sao Paulo FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul | CA Paranaense | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Jul | Cuiaba EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jul | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Jun | Fluminense FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Jun | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Jun | Cruzeiro EC | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| CA Paranaense | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #5 |
| 49 | Points | 46 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 14 / 7 / 7 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 6 |
| 43 | Scored | 43 |
| 32 | Conceded | 35 |
| +11 | GD | +8 |
| 1.75 | PPG | 1.64 |
| 50% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
CA Paranaense are 3rd (49 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Paranaense
0-15
5/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/3
46-60
6/–
61-75
3/3
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 18 G | 3 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 5 G | 1 A |
| Leozinho | 4 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against CA Paranaense and EC Bahia has kicked off!
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 13' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Kayky exits the field as Lucas Mugni enters on 13.
- 14' Another substitution for EC Bahia to replace Kayky by Lucas Mugni on 14 minute.
- 19' EC Bahia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 24' Goal! Vitor Roque scores his 47 goal in 380 matches.
- 26' Vitor Roque has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 26 minutes.
- 31' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 35' Erick doubles the advantage! 3-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 40' CA Paranaense is showing some good football. However, CA Paranaense are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 45' CA Paranaense are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Bahia backline.
- 50' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 55' EC Bahia has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 60' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 60 minutes.
- 62' CA Paranaense ring the changes. Vitor Bueno has done his job and it is now time for Arturo Vidal to step up.
- 63' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Everaldo.
- 66' Ze Ivaldo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 66.
- 67' EC Bahia make a change. Ryan Carlos trudges off to be replaced by Matheus Bahia on 67 minutes.
- 72' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Matheus Bahia made 333 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 74' Another substitution for EC Bahia to replace Nicolas Acevedo by Yago Felipe on 74 minute.
- 75' The whistle greets Agustin Canobbio as he departs to be replaced by Tomas Cuello.
- 80' CA Paranaense are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against EC Bahia's shape.
- 84' Thiago Heleno was booked on 84.
- 87' CA Paranaense make a change. Khellven trudges off to be replaced by Madson on 87 minutes.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. CA Paranaense take all three points.
Lineups
CA Paranaense Lineups
Starting XI
- 44
-
5
Fernandinho ↓ Hugo Moura 87'
- 26
- 2
- 88
- 1
- 37
-
8
Vitor Bueno ↓ Arturo Vidal 62'
- 3
-
14
Agustin Canobbio ↓ Tomas Cuello 75'
-
9
Vitor Roque ↓ Pablo Felipe 75'
Bench
-
22
Madson ↑ 87'
-
92
Pablo Felipe ↑ 75'
- 11
-
–
Arturo Vidal ↑ 62'
- 18
-
28
Tomas Cuello ↑ 75'
- 4
-
17
Hugo Moura ↑ 87'
- 32
- 7
- 23
- 42
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- –
- –
- –
- –
- –
- –
- –
-
–
Nicolas Acevedo ↓ Yago Felipe 74'
-
–
Kayky ↓ Lucas Mugni 13'
- –
-
–
Ryan Carlos ↓ Matheus Bahia 67'
Bench
-
–
Yago Felipe ↑ 74'
- –
-
–
Lucas Mugni ↑ 13'
- –
-
–
Matheus Bahia ↑ 67'
- –
- –
- –
- 17
- –
-
–
Andre ↑ 67'
- –
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Everaldo | 4 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Vitor Roque | 2 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Gabriel Teixeira | 2 |
| Patrick | 1 |
| Erick | 1 |
| David Terans | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Paranaense Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.58
CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Paranaense win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
CA Paranaense or Draw
77%
Draw or EC Bahia
50%
CA Paranaense or EC Bahia
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CA Paranaense win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 0
9.5%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.7%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.5%
Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense
| Handicap | CA Paranaense covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 23% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.