Shimizu S-Pulse vs FC Tokyo, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

Shimizu S-Pulse

1 – 1

Full Time

FC Tokyo

Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 04:00 UTC IAI Stadium Nihondaira HT 45' · FT 45'

Sodai Hasukawa 60' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs FC Tokyo — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Shimizu S-Pulse 20 games · Avg 2.5 goals FC Tokyo

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-04 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1 FC Tokyo 2025-04-29 FC Tokyo 0–2 Shimizu S-Pulse 2022-08-07 FC Tokyo 0–2 Shimizu S-Pulse 2022-05-25 Shimizu S-Pulse 0–3 FC Tokyo 2021-11-03 FC Tokyo 4–0 Shimizu S-Pulse

Recent Form

Shimizu S-Pulse

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	FC Tokyo	H	1–1	D
27 Sep	Vissel Kobe	A	1–2	L
23 Sep	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	0–0	D
20 Sep	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	1–0	W
13 Sep	Albirex Niigata	A	1–0	W
31 Aug	Kashima Antlers	H	1–1	D

FC Tokyo

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	1–1	D
28 Sep	Yokohama F.Marinos	H	2–3	L
23 Sep	Avispa Fukuoka	H	1–0	W
20 Sep	Kawasaki Frontale	A	1–0	W
15 Sep	Tokyo Verdy	H	1–0	W
31 Aug	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse		FC Tokyo
#7	Position	#12
24	Points	37
18	Played	18
8 / 0 / 10	W / D / L	13 / 0 / 5
40	Scored	55
42	Conceded	42
-2	GD	+13
1.33	PPG	2.06
44%	Win %	72%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Shimizu S-Pulse and FC Tōkyō get this one started.
5' Brazil international Matheus Bueno has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Shimizu S-Pulse and FC Tōkyō are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
15' It looks surprising FC Tōkyō does not make any changes. Marcos Guilherme has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
25' Shimizu S-Pulse seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
30' It’s high time Rikizo Matsuhashi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
34' GOAL! Toshiki Takahashi scores on 34. Assisted by Yutaka Yoshida
39' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
44' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rikizo Matsuhashi might look to freshen things up shortly.
49' The travelling FC Tōkyō supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
54' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Tadahiro Akiba will be considering his options from the bench.
59' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
60' Controversy at the stadium! Sodai Hasukawa argues furiously but the card stands.
61' The crowd applauds Marcos Guilherme as he leaves the pitch. Kota Tawaratsumida steps in for FC Tokyo.
66' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Shimizu S-Pulse that had 367 games and scored 286 goals.
67' Kai Matsuzaki is replacing Kazuki Kozuka for the Shimizu S-Pulse side.
72' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
73' Fresh legs for Shimizu S-Pulse! Koya Kitagawa comes on to replace Toshiki Takahashi.
76' Kein Sato has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 76 minutes.
81' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Shimizu S-Pulse and FC Tōkyō are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
83' The whistle greets Takashi Inui as he departs to be replaced by Shinya Yajima.
84' A tactical swap from Shimizu S-Pulse — Sen Takagi on, Yutaka Yoshida off on 84 minutes.
87' The crowd applauds Masato Morishige as he leaves the pitch. Teppei Oka steps in for FC Tokyo.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups

Starting XI

33
Takashi Inui ↓ Shinya Yajima 83'
28
Yutaka Yoshida ↓ Sen Takagi 84'
8
Kazuki Kozuka ↓ Kai Matsuzaki 67'
16
Togo Umeda
98
Matheus Bueno
4
Sodai Hasukawa
14
Reon Yamahara
66
Jelani Sumiyoshi
38
Toshiki Takahashi ↓ Koya Kitagawa 73'
24
Min-tae Kim
17
Masaki Yumiba ↓ Zento Uno 67'

Bench

7
Capixaba
21
Shinya Yajima ↑ 83'
50
Alfredo Stephens
1
Yuya Oki
23
Koya Kitagawa ↑ 73'
41
Kento Haneda
19
Kai Matsuzaki ↑ 67'
36
Zento Uno ↑ 67'
70
Sen Takagi ↑ 84'

Coach Tadahiro Akiba

FC Tokyo Lineups

Starting XI

5
Yuto Nagatomo
3
Masato Morishige ↓ Teppei Oka 87'
2
Sei Muroya
22
Keita Endo ↓ Leon Nozawa 61'
8
Takahiro Ko
37
Kei Koizumi
40
Marcos Guilherme ↓ Kota Tawaratsumida 61'
19
Marcelo Ryan
81
Seung-Gyu Kim
32
Kanta Doi
16
Kein Sato ↓ Keita Yamashita 87'

Bench

Coach Rikizo Matsuhashi

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Thiago Santana	4
Diego Oliveira	4
Adailton	4
Kensuke Nagai	3
Koya Kitagawa	3
Ronaldo	2
Ryoya Ogawa	2
Shuto Abe	2

Head to Head

Shimizu S-Pulse Form

2025-10-04 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1 FC Tokyo D 2025-09-27 Vissel Kobe 2–1 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2025-09-23 Shimizu S-Pulse 0–0 Urawa Red Diamonds D 2025-09-20 Kyoto Sanga FC 0–1 Shimizu S-Pulse W 2025-09-13 Albirex Niigata 0–1 Shimizu S-Pulse W 2025-08-31 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1 Kashima Antlers D

FC Tokyo Form

2025-10-04 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1 FC Tokyo D 2025-09-28 FC Tokyo 2–3 Yokohama F.Marinos L 2025-09-23 FC Tokyo 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka W 2025-09-20 Kawasaki Frontale 0–1 FC Tokyo W 2025-09-15 FC Tokyo 1–0 Tokyo Verdy W 2025-08-31 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 FC Tokyo D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.79 Shimizu S-Pulse xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.16 FC Tokyo xG

I would bet for: Shimizu S-Pulse or FC Tokyo 77% + Over 2.5 goals 74%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Shimizu S-Pulse36% Draw23% FC Tokyo41%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes73% 0% No27%

Avg goals/match: 3.95

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	74%	26%
± 3.5	55%	45%
± 4.5	36%	64%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw

59%

Draw or FC Tokyo

64%

Shimizu S-Pulse or FC Tokyo

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Shimizu S-Pulse26% Draw38% FC Tokyo36%

Actual: Shimizu S-Pulse win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

7.8%

2 – 2

6.9%

2 – 1

6.5%

1 – 3

5.6%

2 – 3

4.9%

0 – 2

4.6%

3 – 2

4.1%

3 – 1

3.9%

0 – 1

3.7%

0 – 3

3.2%

2 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap	Shimizu S-Pulse covers	Push	FC Tokyo covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	10%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	15%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	19%	27%
+1.5	73%	—	27%
+2	73%	14%	14%
+2.5	86%	—	14%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.