Wednesday , 30 September 2026

CA Independiente vs CA Velez Sarsfield, Superliga Argentina 2026 APERTURA

Sat 31 Jan 2026 · 22:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CA Independiente vs CA Vélez Sarsfield — Superliga Argentina .

Match Details

  • Referee Hernan Mastrangelo
15 games this season 🟨 2.1/game ⚽ 5.8 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Jan CA Velez Sarsfield H 1–1 D
28 Jan CA Newell's Old Boys A 1–1 D
23 Jan Estudiantes de La Plata H 1–1 D
16 Nov CA Rosario Central H 1–0 W
10 Nov CD Riestra A 1–0 W
01 Nov CA Tucuman H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Jan CA Independiente A 1–1 D
27 Jan CA Talleres H 2–1 W
23 Jan Instituto AC Cordoba A 1–0 W
22 Nov AA Argentinos Juniors H 0–2 L
16 Nov CA River Plate H 0–0 D
10 Nov Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata A 0–2 L

Season Stats

CA Independiente CA Velez Sarsfield
#7 Position #1
40 Points 51
27 Played 27
9 / 13 / 5 W / D / L 14 / 9 / 4
25 Scored 38
17 Conceded 16
+8 GD +22
1.48 PPG 1.89
33% Win % 52%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
CA Independiente this season
37% Clean Sheets
CA Velez Sarsfield this season

CA Independiente are 7th (40 pts). CA Velez Sarsfield are 1st (51 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Independiente
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
5/5
61-75
–/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Velez Sarsfield
0-15
7/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/3
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/1
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Independiente
Gabriel Avalos 11 G 5 A
Matias Abaldo 5 G 3 A
Santiago Gabriel Montiel 4 G 4 A
CA Velez Sarsfield
Ronaldo Martinez 8 G 1 A
Manuel Lanzini 6 G
Florian Monzon 6 G
Matias Pellegrini 3 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: CA Velez Sarsfield gets underway.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

CA Independiente Lineups

CA Vélez Sarsfield Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.82 CA Independiente xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 CA Vélez Sarsfield xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 76% + CA Independiente or Draw 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
CA Independiente35% Draw35% CA Vélez Sarsfield30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes34% 0% No66%
Avg goals/match: 1.66
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 78%
22%
± 1.5 50%
50%
± 2.5 24%
76%
± 3.5 10%
90%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

CA Independiente or Draw
70%
Draw or CA Vélez Sarsfield
65%
CA Independiente or CA Vélez Sarsfield
65%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CA Independiente20% Draw60% CA Vélez Sarsfield20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
21.5%
0 – 1
14.4%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
14%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
6%
1 – 2
5.5%
2 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
2.4%
0 – 3
1.7%
3 – 0
1.6%
1 – 3
1.6%

Asian Handicap — CA Independiente

Handicap CA Independiente covers Push CA Vélez Sarsfield covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 8% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 20% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 21% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

CA Independiente keeps clean sheet
44% ✓
CA Vélez Sarsfield keeps clean sheet
44% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.