CA Independiente vs CA Rosario Central, Superliga Argentina 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Independiente vs CA Rosario Central — Superliga Argentina at Libertadores de America.
- CA Independiente 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
- CA Rosario Central 27 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA Velez Sarsfield | 27 | 51 |
| 2 | CA Talleres | 27 | 48 |
| 3 | Racing Club | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | CA Huracan | 27 | 46 |
| 5 | CA River Plate | 27 | 43 |
| 6 | CA Boca Juniors | 27 | 42 |
| 7 | CA Independiente | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | CA Tucuman | 27 | 40 |
| 9 | CA Union | 27 | 40 |
| 10 | CA Platense | 27 | 39 |
| 11 | CS Independiente Rivadavia | 27 | 38 |
| 12 | Estudiantes de La Plata | 27 | 36 |
| 13 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 27 | 36 |
| 14 | CA Lanus | 27 | 36 |
| 15 | CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba | 27 | 35 |
| 16 | CA Belgrano | 27 | 35 |
| 17 | CD Riestra | 27 | 35 |
| 18 | CA Tigre | 27 | 34 |
| 19 | Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | 27 | 32 |
| 20 | CA Rosario Central | 27 | 32 |
| 21 | CSyD Defensa y Justicia | 27 | 32 |
| 22 | CA Central Cordoba | 27 | 31 |
| 23 | AA Argentinos Juniors | 27 | 30 |
| 24 | CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 27 | 29 |
| 25 | CA Newell's Old Boys | 27 | 28 |
| 26 | CA Sarmiento de Junin | 27 | 26 |
| 27 | CA Banfield | 27 | 24 |
| 28 | CA Barracas Central | 27 | 23 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov | CA Rosario Central | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Nov | CD Riestra | A | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Nov | CA Tucuman | H | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | CA Platense | H | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | CA San Martin de San Juan | A | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Oct | CA Lanus | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov | CA Independiente | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Nov | CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | H | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Nov | Instituto AC Cordoba | A | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | CA Sarmiento de Junin | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | CA Platense | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Oct | CA Velez Sarsfield | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| CA Independiente | CA Rosario Central | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #20 |
| 40 | Points | 32 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 9 / 13 / 5 | W / D / L | 8 / 8 / 11 |
| 25 | Scored | 27 |
| 17 | Conceded | 30 |
| +8 | GD | -3 |
| 1.48 | PPG | 1.19 |
| 33% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
30%
Clean Sheets
CA Independiente this season
CA Independiente this season
30%
Clean Sheets
CA Rosario Central this season
CA Rosario Central this season
CA Independiente are 7th (40 pts). CA Rosario Central are 20th (32 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Independiente
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
5/5
61-75
–/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Rosario Central
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
6/5
46-60
4/4
61-75
4/–
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Independiente
| Gabriel Avalos | 11 G | 5 A |
| Matias Abaldo | 5 G | 3 A |
| Santiago Gabriel Montiel | 4 G | 4 A |
CA Rosario Central
| Angel di Maria | 8 G | 3 A |
| Enzo Copetti | 5 G | 1 A |
| Alejo Veliz | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. CA Independiente host CA Rosario Central — let the battle begin!
- 5' Matias Abaldo, a Uruguay , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 10' Uruguay international Rodrigo Fernandez has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 15' CA Independiente started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
- 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Luciano Cabral made 187 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 28' Against the run of play, Gabriel Avalos has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 33' The 25-year-old Santiago Gabriel Montiel has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 4 assists is a remarkable return.
- 38' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 43' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 45' A moment of madness from Leonardo Godoy on 45 minutes earns him a card. CA Independiente will be frustrated.
- 46' The whistle greets Francesco Lo Celso as he departs to be replaced by Tomas O'Connor.
- 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 56' Giovanni Cantizano is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CA Independiente tonight.
- 61' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 63' Another change for CA Rosario Central made on 63 minute. Jaminton Campaz leaves to be changed by Giovanni Cantizano.
- 64' CA Independiente make a change. Gabriel Avalos trudges off to be replaced by Ignacio Pussetto on 64 minutes.
- 65' Diego Tarzia has so much to prove this time. He replaces Matias Abaldo on 65 minute.
- 70' The whistle greets Leonardo Godoy as he departs to be replaced by Federico Vera.
- 74' That looks like a foul for a card for Kevin Lomonaco.
- 75' A tactical swap from CA Independiente — Nicolas Freire on, Kevin Lomonaco off on 75 minutes.
- 80' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 83' That is a card for CA Rosario Central. Gaspar Duarte will be fuming at that decision.
- 86' The CA Rosario Central manager makes a substitution. Enzo Copetti departs to be replaced by Agustin Modica.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Facundo Zabala.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. CA Independiente take all three points.
Lineups
CA Independiente Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 33
-
29
Leonardo Godoy ↓ Federico Vera 70'
- 9
-
26
Kevin Lomonaco ↓ Nicolas Freire 75'
- 20
- 7
- 36
- 22
-
19
Matias Abaldo ↓ Diego Tarzia 65'
- 47
-
10
Luciano Cabral ↓ Pablo Galdames 64'
Bench
-
6
Nicolas Freire ↑ 75'
-
25
Ignacio Pussetto ↑ 64'
-
8
Pablo Galdames ↑ 64'
- 23
-
4
Federico Vera ↑ 70'
- 1
- 39
-
27
Diego Tarzia ↑ 65'
- 37
- 55
- 28
CA Rosario Central Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6
- 31
- 1
- 18
-
22
Enzo Copetti ↓ Agustin Modica 86'
- 10
- 8
-
21
Santiago Lopez ↓ Gaspar Duarte 46'
- 16
- 46
- 33
Bench
- 20
-
7
Maximiliano Lovera ↑ 75'
- 39
-
30
Tomas O'Connor ↑ 46'
- 47
- 42
-
26
Giovanni Cantizano ↑ 63'
-
27
Gaspar Duarte ↑ 46'
-
44
Agustin Modica ↑ 86'
- 34
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Silvio Romero | 3 |
| Gabriel Avalos | 2 |
| Leandro Fernandez | 1 |
| Braian Romero | 1 |
| Ignacio Russo | 1 |
| Jaminton Campaz | 1 |
| Kevin Lomonaco | 1 |
| Pablo Perez | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Independiente Form
CA Rosario Central Form
2025-11-16
CA Independiente
1–0
CA Rosario Central
L
2025-11-08
CA Rosario Central
0–0
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
D
2025-11-01
Instituto AC Cordoba
1–3
CA Rosario Central
W
2025-10-24
CA Sarmiento de Junin
0–1
CA Rosario Central
W
2025-10-19
CA Rosario Central
1–0
CA Platense
W
2025-10-12
CA Velez Sarsfield
1–2
CA Rosario Central
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.16
CA Independiente xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.64
CA Rosario Central xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 73% + Under — clean sheet likely 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Independiente win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.8
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 1.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 2.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 3.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
CA Independiente or Draw
80%
Draw or CA Rosario Central
51%
CA Independiente or CA Rosario Central
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CA Independiente win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
19%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.2%
2 – 0
10.5%
0 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
7%
3 – 0
4%
1 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 1
2.8%
2 – 2
2.4%
4 – 0
1.2%
Asian Handicap — CA Independiente
| Handicap | CA Independiente covers | Push | CA Rosario Central covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 14% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 26% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 14% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
CA Independiente keeps clean sheet
53%
✓
CA Rosario Central keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.