CA Vélez Sarsfield vs CA Independiente, Superliga Argentina 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs CA Independiente — Superliga Argentina at Estadio Jose Amalfitani.
- CA Vélez Sarsfield 27 games · 51 pts (2026/26)
- CA Independiente 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA Vélez Sarsfield | 27 | 51 |
| 2 | CA Talleres | 27 | 48 |
| 3 | Racing Club | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | CA Huracan | 27 | 46 |
| 5 | CA River Plate | 27 | 43 |
| 6 | CA Boca Juniors | 27 | 42 |
| 7 | CA Independiente | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | CA Tucuman | 27 | 40 |
| 9 | CA Unión | 27 | 40 |
| 10 | CA Platense | 27 | 39 |
| 11 | CS Independiente Rivadavia | 27 | 38 |
| 12 | Estudiantes de La Plata | 27 | 36 |
| 13 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 27 | 36 |
| 14 | CA Lanus | 27 | 36 |
| 15 | CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba | 27 | 35 |
| 16 | CA Belgrano | 27 | 35 |
| 17 | CD Riestra | 27 | 35 |
| 18 | CA Tigre | 27 | 34 |
| 19 | Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | 27 | 32 |
| 20 | CA Rosario Central | 27 | 32 |
| 21 | CSyD Defensa y Justicia | 27 | 32 |
| 22 | CA Central Cordoba | 27 | 31 |
| 23 | AA Argentinos Juniors | 27 | 30 |
| 24 | CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 27 | 29 |
| 25 | CA Newell's Old Boys | 27 | 28 |
| 26 | CA Sarmiento de Junin | 27 | 26 |
| 27 | CA Banfield | 27 | 24 |
| 28 | CA Barracas Central | 27 | 23 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug | CA Independiente | H | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Aug | CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Jul | Instituto AC Cordoba | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Jul | CA Platense | A | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Jul | CA Tigre | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Dec | CA Huracan | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug | CA Vélez Sarsfield | A | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Aug | CA River Plate | H | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Jul | Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Jul | CA Talleres | H | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Jul | CA Sarmiento de Junin | A | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Dec | CA Boca Juniors | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| CA Vélez Sarsfield | CA Independiente | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #7 |
| 51 | Points | 40 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 14 / 9 / 4 | W / D / L | 9 / 13 / 5 |
| 38 | Scored | 25 |
| 16 | Conceded | 17 |
| +22 | GD | +8 |
| 1.89 | PPG | 1.48 |
| 52% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
CA Vélez Sarsfield this season
CA Vélez Sarsfield this season
27%
Clean Sheets
CA Independiente this season
CA Independiente this season
CA Vélez Sarsfield are 1st (51 pts). CA Independiente are 7th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Vélez Sarsfield
0-15
9/4
16-30
4/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
3/4
61-75
4/1
76+
7/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Independiente
0-15
4/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
4/4
46-60
5/6
61-75
1/4
76+
6/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Vélez Sarsfield
| Ronaldo Martinez | 13 G | 2 A |
| Manuel Lanzini | 6 G | |
| Florian Monzon | 6 G | |
| Matias Pellegrini | 5 G | 6 A |
CA Independiente
| Gabriel Avalos | 11 G | 5 A |
| Matias Abaldo | 5 G | 3 A |
| Santiago Gabriel Montiel | 4 G | 5 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! CA Velez Sarsfield vs CA Independiente — let the football do the talking.
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CA Independiente that had 190 games and scored 192 goals.
- 10' CA Independiente is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 20' The 20-year-old Dilan Godoy has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 25' CA Velez Sarsfield currently sit 8 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 32' A moment of madness from Kevin Lomonaco on 32 minutes earns him a card. CA Independiente will be frustrated.
- 35' The Argentina forward Dilan Godoy breaks the deadlock on 35 minutes. 1-0!
- 36' The whistle greets Diego Tarzia as he departs to be replaced by Franco Paredes.
- 41' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 46' CA Independiente started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 46.
- 49' CA Velez Sarsfield player sees a card in front of him.
- 52' The referee shows CA Velez Sarsfield player a card on 52.
- 54' That is a card for CA Independiente. Ivan Marcone will be fuming at that decision.
- 55' The CA Velez Sarsfield bench stirs into life. Tobias Andrada is withdrawn and Claudio Baeza gets his opportunity.
- 60' Controversy at the stadium! Ignacio Pussetto argues furiously but the card stands.
- 62' Gabriel Avalos is replacing Ignacio Pussetto for the CA Independiente side.
- 67' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CA Velez Sarsfield and CA Independiente are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 68' Maher Carrizo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Dilan Godoy at the 68 minute mark.
- 73' Matias Abaldo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for CA Velez Sarsfield so far.
- 74' CA Velez Sarsfield receives a card for a hard tackle on 74.
- 76' GOAL! Felipe Loyola fires home to make it 1-1!
- 77' Poor challenge from Felipe Loyola. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 82' It is a cagey affair so far. CA Velez Sarsfield in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past CA Independiente's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 84' GOAL! Braian Romero scores on 84.
- 85' The CA Independiente manager makes a substitution. Lautaro Millan departs to be replaced by Santiago Gabriel Montiel.
- 88' Walter Mazzantti was booked on 88.
- 89' The crowd applauds Imanol Machuca as he leaves the pitch. Matias Pellegrini steps in for CA Velez Sarsfield.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Agustin Lagos.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for CA Velez Sarsfield players.
Lineups
CA Vélez Sarsfield Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 29
- 3
- 16
- 20
- 39
- 14
- 1
- 8
- 6
- 50
- 15
Bench
- 7
- 9
- 12
- 5
- 37
- 11
- 28
- 21
- 40
- 35
- 17
- 19
CA Independiente Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
- 33
- 3
- 29
- 8
-
23
Ivan Marcone ↓ Felipe Loyola 62'
- 26
- 36
- 19
- 14
-
27
Diego Tarzia ↓ Franco Paredes 36'
Bench
- 11
-
9
Gabriel Avalos ↑ 62'
- 4
- 1
-
32
Franco Paredes ↑ 36'
- 20
-
7
Santiago Gabriel Montiel ↑ 85'
-
17
Walter Mazzantti ↑ 62'
- 22
-
5
Felipe Loyola ↑ 62'
- 39
- 10
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Silvio Romero | 3 |
| Thiago Almada | 2 |
| Juan Lucero | 1 |
| Matias De los Santos | 1 |
| Ayrton Costa | 1 |
| Lucas Pratto | 1 |
| Alan Sonora | 1 |
| Leandro Fernandez | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Vélez Sarsfield Form
2025-08-16
CA Vélez Sarsfield
2–1
CA Independiente
W
2025-08-07
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
1–0
CA Vélez Sarsfield
L
2025-07-26
CA Vélez Sarsfield
0–0
Instituto AC Cordoba
D
2025-07-19
CA Platense
0–0
CA Vélez Sarsfield
D
2025-07-15
CA Vélez Sarsfield
2–1
CA Tigre
W
2024-12-15
CA Vélez Sarsfield
2–0
CA Huracan
W
CA Independiente Form
2025-08-16
CA Vélez Sarsfield
2–1
CA Independiente
L
2025-08-09
CA Independiente
0–0
CA River Plate
D
2025-07-27
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata
1–0
CA Independiente
L
2025-07-21
CA Independiente
1–2
CA Talleres
L
2025-07-13
CA Sarmiento de Junin
2–2
CA Independiente
D
2024-12-14
CA Boca Juniors
0–0
CA Independiente
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.24
CA Vélez Sarsfield xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.71
CA Independiente xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 69% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Vélez Sarsfield win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 1.95
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 1.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 2.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 3.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
CA Vélez Sarsfield or Draw
80%
Draw or CA Independiente
49%
CA Vélez Sarsfield or CA Independiente
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CA Vélez Sarsfield win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.6%
1 – 0
16.4%
1 – 1
13.4%
2 – 0
10.4%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 1
3.2%
2 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
1.3%
Asian Handicap — CA Vélez Sarsfield
| Handicap | CA Vélez Sarsfield covers | Push | CA Independiente covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 25% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 14% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
CA Vélez Sarsfield keeps clean sheet
50%
✓
CA Independiente keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.