Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bristol Rovers FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 15 Apr 2023 · 14:00 UTC Memorial Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
3
Bristol Rovers FC 4 games · Avg 3.5 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Apr Derby County FC H 1–1 D
10 Apr Fleetwood Town FC A 2–1 W
07 Apr Charlton Athletic FC H 1–0 W
18 Mar Portsmouth FC H 0–2 L
14 Mar Wycombe Wanderers FC H 0–2 L
11 Mar Forest Green Rovers FC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Apr Bristol Rovers FC A 1–1 D
10 Apr Milton Keynes Dons FC H 1–1 D
07 Apr Forest Green Rovers FC A 2–0 W
01 Apr Ipswich Town FC H 0–2 L
25 Mar Peterborough United FC A 0–2 L
18 Mar Fleetwood Town FC H 0–2 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.19 Bristol Rovers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Bristol Rovers FC or Derby County FC 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Bristol Rovers FC36% Draw28% Derby County FC36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Bristol Rovers FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Derby County FC
64%
Bristol Rovers FC or Derby County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bristol Rovers FC23% Draw48% Derby County FC29%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.7%
0 – 1
9.5%
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
8%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 3
3.9%
0 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Bristol Rovers FC

Handicap Bristol Rovers FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 18% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 21% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
26%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.