Sunday , 16 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Bristol Rovers FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 29 Oct 2022 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

3
1
Derby County FC 4 games · Avg 3.5 goals Bristol Rovers FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Bristol Rovers FC H 4–2 W
25 Oct Exeter City FC H 0–0 D
21 Oct Ipswich Town FC A 0–1 L
15 Oct Accrington Stanley FC A 3–0 W
08 Oct Port Vale FC H 1–2 L
01 Oct Cambridge United FC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Derby County FC A 2–4 L
26 Oct Sheffield Wednesday FC A 1–1 D
22 Oct Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–2 D
15 Oct Cheltenham Town FC A 4–1 W
11 Oct Milton Keynes Dons FC A 1–0 W
08 Oct Cambridge United FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.04 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45 Bristol Rovers FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC51% Draw23% Bristol Rovers FC26%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Bristol Rovers FC
49%
Derby County FC or Bristol Rovers FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC38% Draw40% Bristol Rovers FC22%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
9.9%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 2
6.3%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 0
5.7%
0 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 1
3.8%
0 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Bristol Rovers FC covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 15% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 20% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 14% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
24%
Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.