Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Bristol Rovers FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 29 Oct 2022 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

3
1
Derby County FC 4 games · Avg 3.5 goals Bristol Rovers FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Bristol Rovers FC H 4–2 W
25 Oct Exeter City FC H 0–0 D
21 Oct Ipswich Town FC A 0–1 L
15 Oct Accrington Stanley FC A 3–0 W
08 Oct Port Vale FC H 1–2 L
01 Oct Cambridge United FC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Derby County FC A 2–4 L
26 Oct Sheffield Wednesday FC A 1–1 D
22 Oct Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–2 D
15 Oct Cheltenham Town FC A 4–1 W
11 Oct Milton Keynes Dons FC A 1–0 W
08 Oct Cambridge United FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Derby County FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' GOAL! David McGoldrick fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 10' Derby County FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Bristol Rovers FC backline.
  • 12' James Collins has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 12 minutes.
  • 17' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 22' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 23' Bristol Rovers FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 24' Goal! David McGoldrick scores his 60 goal in 366 matches.
  • 29' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 34' A moment of madness from Conor Hourihane on 34 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
  • 35' Bobby Thomas is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 40' What composure from David McGoldrick! The Ireland international strokes it home. 4-1.
  • 45' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 48' What composure from Antony Evans! The England international strokes it home. 4-2.
  • 53' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 56' The Bristol Rovers FC manager makes a substitution. Luca Hoole departs to be replaced by James Connolly.
  • 57' Fresh legs for Bristol Rovers FC! Scott Sinclair comes on to replace Lewis Gordon.
  • 59' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for David McGoldrick on 59 minutes.
  • 64' Bristol Rovers FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 68' Derby County FC make a change. Lewis Dobbin trudges off to be replaced by Louie Sibley on 68 minutes.
  • 71' David McGoldrick makes way for William Osula at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
  • 72' A meaty challenge results in booking for Haydon Roberts on 72.
  • 77' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for James Gibbons suffering a number of foals already.
  • 80' Derby County FC ring the changes. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing has done his job and it is now time for Liam Thompson to step up.
  • 85' Harvey Saunders is ready to make an impact after coming on for Trevor Clarke at the 85 minute mark.
  • 90' Joseph Wildsmith picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Derby County FC 4-2 Bristol Rovers FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.04 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45 Bristol Rovers FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC51% Draw23% Bristol Rovers FC26%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Bristol Rovers FC
49%
Derby County FC or Bristol Rovers FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC38% Draw40% Bristol Rovers FC22%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
9.9%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 2
6.3%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 0
5.7%
0 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 1
3.8%
0 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Bristol Rovers FC covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 15% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 20% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 14% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
24%
Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.