Tuesday , 22 September 2026

Brisbane Roar FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sat 21 Mar 2026 · 04:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Brisbane Roar FC vs Wellington Phoenix FCA League .

Match Details

  • Referee Alireza Faghani
  • Referee Sam Kelly (Australia)
7 games this season 🟨 4.0/game 12.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Wellington Phoenix FC H 1–2 L
13 Mar Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 2–2 D
28 Feb Perth Glory FC H 1–1 D
21 Feb Sydney FC A 0–1 L
14 Feb Melbourne Victory FC A 1–1 D
07 Feb Central Coast Mariners FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Brisbane Roar FC A 2–1 W
14 Mar Perth Glory FC H 2–0 W
06 Mar Adelaide United FC A 1–1 D
01 Mar Sydney FC H 0–1 L
21 Feb Auckland FC H 0–5 L
13 Feb Western Sydney Wanderers FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Brisbane Roar FC Wellington Phoenix FC
#11 Position #8
26 Points 33
26 Played 26
6 / 8 / 12 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 11
27 Scored 36
36 Conceded 48
-9 GD -12
1.00 PPG 1.27
23% Win % 35%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Brisbane Roar FC Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.33 Brisbane Roar FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for: Brisbane Roar FC or Wellington Phoenix FC 72% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Brisbane Roar FC32% Draw28% Wellington Phoenix FC40%
Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Brisbane Roar FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
68%
Brisbane Roar FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Brisbane Roar FC25% Draw46% Wellington Phoenix FC29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
7.9%
0 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
5.7%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 1
3.3%
0 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Brisbane Roar FC

Handicap Brisbane Roar FC covers Push Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 17% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 20% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet
23%
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.