Melbourne Victory FC vs Brisbane Roar FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2025-26

Melbourne Victory FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Brisbane Roar FC

Sat 14 Feb 2026 · 06:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Brisbane Roar FC — A League .

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Brisbane Roar FC 26 games · 26 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Shaun Evans
Referee

18 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 3.1 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 18 games · Avg 2.4 goals Brisbane Roar FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC 2025-11-28 Brisbane Roar FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-03-01 Brisbane Roar FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-11-09 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Brisbane Roar FC 2024-04-20 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Brisbane Roar FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Feb	Brisbane Roar FC	H	1–1	D
06 Feb	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	3–2	W
01 Feb	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	0–1	L
26 Jan	Sydney FC	H	4–0	W
17 Jan	Adelaide United FC	A	1–2	L
10 Jan	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	0–1	L

Brisbane Roar FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Feb	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–1	D
07 Feb	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	1–2	L
31 Jan	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	1–4	L
24 Jan	Adelaide United FC	H	2–3	L
16 Jan	Perth Glory FC	A	2–1	W
09 Jan	Auckland FC	H	0–2	L

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Brisbane Roar FC
#4	Position	#11
40	Points	26
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	6 / 8 / 12
44	Scored	27
33	Conceded	36
+11	GD	-9
1.54	PPG	1.00
42%	Win %	23%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

27% Clean Sheets
Brisbane Roar FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Brisbane Roar FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/2

61-75

1/2

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Brisbane Roar FC

Justin Vidic	4 G	2 A
Chris Long	4 G	1 A
Samuel Klein	4 G

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Melbourne Victory FC and Brisbane Roar FC has kicked off!
The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Brisbane Roar FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kosta Barbarouses	7
Ola Toivonen	3
Scott McDonald	3
Marco Rojas	2
Riku Danzaki	2
Andrew Nabbout	2
Luis Lawrie-Lattanzio	1
Roly Bonevacia	1

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2026-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC D 2026-02-06 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2026-02-01 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2026-01-26 Melbourne Victory FC 4–0 Sydney FC W 2026-01-17 Adelaide United FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2026-01-10 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L

Brisbane Roar FC Form

2026-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC D 2026-02-07 Brisbane Roar FC 1–2 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2026-01-31 Newcastle United Jets FC 4–1 Brisbane Roar FC L 2026-01-24 Brisbane Roar FC 2–3 Adelaide United FC L 2026-01-16 Perth Glory FC 1–2 Brisbane Roar FC W 2026-01-09 Brisbane Roar FC 0–2 Auckland FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.69 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.87 Brisbane Roar FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC53% Draw26% Brisbane Roar FC21%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.56

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	47%	53%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

79%

Draw or Brisbane Roar FC

47%

Melbourne Victory FC or Brisbane Roar FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC38% Draw47% Brisbane Roar FC15%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

12.2%

2 – 0

10.7%

0 – 0

9.7%

2 – 1

9.3%

3 – 0

5.9%

0 – 1

5.8%

3 – 1

5.3%

1 – 2

4.8%

2 – 2

4.1%

0 – 2

2.9%

4 – 0

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Brisbane Roar FC covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	17%	69%
-1.5	31%	—	69%
-1	31%	24%	45%
-0.5	55%	—	45%
+0.5	82%	—	18%
+1	82%	12%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

42% ✓

Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.