Thursday , 2 July 2026

Brisbane Roar FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Sat 26 Apr 2025 · 05:00 UTC Suncorp Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Brisbane Roar FC vs Wellington Phoenix FCA League at Suncorp Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Ben Abraham
  • Referee
23 games this season 🟨 0.4/game 3.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Wellington Phoenix FC H 1–0 W
22 Apr Adelaide United FC H 1–1 D
17 Apr Western United FC H 2–1 W
11 Apr Melbourne City FC A 2–3 L
04 Apr Macarthur FC H 1–5 L
30 Mar Auckland FC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Brisbane Roar FC Wellington Phoenix FC
#11 Position #8
26 Points 33
26 Played 26
6 / 8 / 12 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 11
27 Scored 36
36 Conceded 48
-9 GD -12
1.00 PPG 1.27
23% Win % 35%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Brisbane Roar FC this season
15% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season

Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Brisbane Roar FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
/2
61-75
1/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Wellington Phoenix FC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
/2
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Brisbane Roar FC
Justin Vidic 4 G 2 A
Chris Long 4 G 1 A
Samuel Klein 4 G
Wellington Phoenix FC
Ifeanyi Eze 10 G 1 A
Carlo Armiento 5 G 2 A
Corban Piper 4 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Wellington Phoenix FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' Wellington Phoenix FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 15' It looks surprising Wellington Phoenix FC does not make any changes. Corban Piper has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Brisbane Roar FC that had 205 games and scored 245 goals.
  • 30' Wellington Phoenix FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 3 of the last 3 meetings.
  • 35' Lukas Kelly-Heald has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 209 appearances.
  • 40' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 3 times this season with Wellington Phoenix FC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 45' Australia international Hosine Bility has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 50' The travelling Wellington Phoenix FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 55' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Asumah Abubakar-Ankra made 6 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 58' Florin Berenguer doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 60' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alex Rufer on 60 minutes.
  • 63' Wellington Phoenix FC ring the changes. Hideki Ishige has done his job and it is now time for Nathan Walker to step up.
  • 64' Wellington Phoenix FC ring the changes. Alex Rufer has done his job and it is now time for Paulo Retre to step up.
  • 66' Luke Brooke-Smith gets the nod from Wellington Phoenix FC. He replaces Matt Sheridan and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 71' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Brisbane Roar FC and Wellington Phoenix FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 76' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 80' Wellington Phoenix FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 80.
  • 80' Time for substitution for Wellington Phoenix FC. Lukas Kelly-Heald is replaced by Kazuki Nagasawa.
  • 82' Brisbane Roar FC ring the changes. Florin Berenguer has done his job and it is now time for Adam Zimarino to step up.
  • 85' It’s gonna be a card for Adam Zimarino.
  • 86' Nathan Amanatidis is replacing Asumah Abubakar-Ankra for the Brisbane Roar FC side.
  • 90' Brisbane Roar FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Brisbane Roar FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.4 Brisbane Roar FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for: Brisbane Roar FC or Wellington Phoenix FC 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Brisbane Roar FC41% Draw27% Wellington Phoenix FC32%
Actual: Brisbane Roar FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Brisbane Roar FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
59%
Brisbane Roar FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Brisbane Roar FC27% Draw46% Wellington Phoenix FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
7.6%
2 – 0
5.9%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Brisbane Roar FC

Handicap Brisbane Roar FC covers Push Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 19% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 19% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet
26%
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.