Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Brisbane Roar FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Sat 26 Apr 2025 · 05:00 UTC Suncorp Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Brisbane Roar FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League at Suncorp Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Ben Abraham
  • Referee

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Wellington Phoenix FC H 1–0 W
22 Apr Adelaide United FC H 1–1 D
17 Apr Western United FC H 2–1 W
11 Apr Melbourne City FC A 2–3 L
04 Apr Macarthur FC H 1–5 L
30 Mar Auckland FC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Brisbane Roar FC Wellington Phoenix FC
#11 Position #8
26 Points 33
26 Played 26
6 / 8 / 12 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 11
27 Scored 36
36 Conceded 48
-9 GD -12
1.00 PPG 1.27
23% Win % 35%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Wellington Phoenix FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Wellington Phoenix FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' Brisbane Roar FC is showing some good football. However, Brisbane Roar FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 25' Wellington Phoenix FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 3 of the last 3 meetings.
  • 30' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Brisbane Roar FC and Wellington Phoenix FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 45' The travelling Wellington Phoenix FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 50' It looks like no one’s ball. Wellington Phoenix FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 55' Matthew Acton has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 205 appearances.
  • 58' Florin Berenguer has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 58 minutes.
  • 60' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alex Rufer on 60 minutes.
  • 63' Nathan Walker has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hideki Ishige on 63 minute.
  • 64' Another substitution for Wellington Phoenix FC to replace Alex Rufer by Paulo Retre on 64 minute.
  • 66' The Wellington Phoenix FC manager makes a substitution. Matt Sheridan departs to be replaced by Luke Brooke-Smith.
  • 71' It’s high time Giancarlo Italiano made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 76' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 80' Lukas Kelly-Heald was booked on 80.
  • 80' Kazuki Nagasawa is replacing Lukas Kelly-Heald for the Wellington Phoenix FC side.
  • 82' Another substitution for Brisbane Roar FC to replace Florin Berenguer by Adam Zimarino on 82 minute.
  • 85' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Adam Zimarino.
  • 86' Fresh legs for Brisbane Roar FC! Nathan Amanatidis comes on to replace Asumah Abubakar-Ankra.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Matthew Acton argues furiously but the card stands.
  • Another three points for Brisbane Roar FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.4 Brisbane Roar FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for: Brisbane Roar FC or Wellington Phoenix FC 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Brisbane Roar FC41% Draw27% Wellington Phoenix FC32%
Actual: Brisbane Roar FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Brisbane Roar FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
59%
Brisbane Roar FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Brisbane Roar FC27% Draw46% Wellington Phoenix FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
7.6%
2 – 0
5.9%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Brisbane Roar FC

Handicap Brisbane Roar FC covers Push Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 19% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 19% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✗
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.