Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Brisbane Roar FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sun 26 Oct 2025 · 02:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Brisbane Roar FC — A League .

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Elder
  • Referee Andrew Meimarakis

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Brisbane Roar FC H 2–1 W
18 Oct Perth Glory FC A 2–2 D
04 May Perth Glory FC H 0–2 L
26 Apr Brisbane Roar FC A 0–1 L
18 Apr Adelaide United FC A 2–3 L
12 Apr Melbourne Victory FC H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Wellington Phoenix FC A 1–2 L
17 Oct Macarthur FC H 1–0 W
02 May Central Coast Mariners FC A 2–1 W
26 Apr Wellington Phoenix FC H 1–0 W
22 Apr Adelaide United FC H 1–1 D
17 Apr Western United FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC Brisbane Roar FC
#8 Position #11
33 Points 26
26 Played 26
9 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 6 / 8 / 12
36 Scored 27
48 Conceded 36
-12 GD -9
1.27 PPG 1.00
35% Win % 23%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Brisbane Roar FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.44 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 Brisbane Roar FC xG
I would bet for: Wellington Phoenix FC or Brisbane Roar FC 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Wellington Phoenix FC40% Draw28% Brisbane Roar FC32%
Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Brisbane Roar FC
60%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Brisbane Roar FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Wellington Phoenix FC29% Draw46% Brisbane Roar FC25%
Actual: Brisbane Roar FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
7.6%
0 – 1
7.4%
2 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap Wellington Phoenix FC covers Push Brisbane Roar FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.