Thursday , 2 July 2026

SS Lazio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
2 2
Full Time
Sat 31 Aug 2024 · 18:45 UTC Stadio Olimpico, Rome 53,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Boulaye Dia 66' 2–1
2–2 72' Rafael Leao

Overview

Match Preview

SS Lazio vs AC MilanSerie A at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

Match Details

  • Referee Davide Massa
  • Assistant 1 Filippo Meli
  • Assistant 2 Stefano Alassio
11 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 8.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug AC Milan H 2–2 D
24 Aug Udinese Calcio A 1–2 L
18 Aug Venezia FC H 3–1 W
26 May US Sassuolo Calcio H 1–1 D
19 May FC Internazionale Milano A 1–1 D
12 May Empoli FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug SS Lazio A 2–2 D
24 Aug Parma Calcio 1913 A 1–2 L
17 Aug Torino FC H 2–2 D
25 May US Salernitana 1919 H 3–3 D
18 May Torino FC A 1–3 L
11 May Cagliari Calcio H 5–1 W

Season Stats

SS Lazio AC Milan
#9 Position #5
54 Points 70
38 Played 38
14 / 12 / 12 W / D / L 20 / 10 / 8
41 Scored 53
40 Conceded 35
+1 GD +18
1.42 PPG 1.84
37% Win % 53%

Key Stats

46% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

SS Lazio are 9th (54 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for SS Lazio to score. At the same time, AC Milan does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' SS Lazio are deployed in a 4-4-1-1 today, looking to exploit space against AC Milan's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 8' Strahinja Pavlovic doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 13' With 0 assists to his name this season, Filippo Terracciano is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AC Milan.
  • 18' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 20' The referee calls foul for Youssouf Fofana. He receives a card.
  • 25' Tammy Abraham has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 21 cards already picked up this season.
  • 30' Nuno Tavares has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 50 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 35' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
  • 39' Nicolo Rovella picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 44' AC Milan is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 46' Adam Marusic is replacing Manuel Lazzari for the SS Lazio side.
  • 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
  • 56' SS Lazio are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AC Milan backline.
  • 61' AC Milan come into this ranked 14 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 62' What a strike from Valentin Castellanos! The score is 1-1.
  • 64' The referee shows SS Lazio player a card on 64.
  • 66' GOAL! Boulaye Dia scores on 66.
  • 70' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Emerson Royal by Theo Hernandez on 70 minute.
  • 71' Yunus Musah has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tijjani Reijnders on 71 minute.
  • 72' Rafael Leao is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 77' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Loum Tchaouna suffering a number of foals already.
  • 81' Fisayo Dele-Bashiru has so much to prove this time. He replaces Boulaye Dia on 81 minute.
  • 85' That looks like a foul for a card for Patric.
  • 87' Time for substitution for SS Lazio. Valentin Castellanos is replaced by Tijjani Noslin.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Filippo Terracciano. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 90' Fresh legs for SS Lazio! Elseid Hysaj comes on to replace Nuno Tavares.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.39 SS Lazio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: SS Lazio or AC Milan 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SS Lazio40% Draw28% AC Milan32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

SS Lazio or Draw
68%
Draw or AC Milan
60%
SS Lazio or AC Milan
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SS Lazio28% Draw47% AC Milan25%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
8.9%
1 – 0
8.6%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
3.9%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — SS Lazio

Handicap SS Lazio covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 20% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

SS Lazio keeps clean sheet
29%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.