Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
- Atlanta United FC 18 games · 12 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May | FC Cincinnati | H | 4–2 | W |
| 17 May | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–1 | L |
| 15 May | Austin FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | Chicago Fire FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | Nashville SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Apr | Orlando City SC | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May | Atlanta United FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 17 May | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 May | Toronto FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 May | Austin FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 May | New York City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Apr | Sporting Kansas City | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Atlanta United FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #6 |
| 12 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 3 / 3 / 12 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 6 |
| 19 | Scored | 45 |
| 33 | Conceded | 44 |
| -14 | GD | +1 |
| 0.67 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 17% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Atlanta United FC are 15th (12 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/6
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 5 G | 2 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Atlanta United FC to score. At the same time, FC Cincinnati does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Atlanta United FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Cincinnati's shape.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Atlanta United FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 14' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Teenage Hadebe is hanging Nick Hagglund on the field on 14 minute.
- 15' Derrick Williams does the damage! The net is bulging and Atlanta United FC surge ahead!
- 15' It’s gonna be a card for Miles Robinson.
- 20' Brilliant from the ! Ajani Fortune makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 20.
- 25' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 30' Emmanuel Latte Lath is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Atlanta United FC tonight.
- 35' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 38' Obinna Nwobodo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 38.
- 43' It is a cagey affair so far. Atlanta United FC in their trying to find a way past FC Cincinnati's compact .
- 48' Assisted by Evander with the perfectly-timed delivery and Miles Robinson makes no mistake. 2-1!
- 53' FC Cincinnati are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 58' With 0 assists to his name this season, Will Reilly is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
- 60' The crowd applauds Pedro Amador as he leaves the pitch. Ronald Hernandez steps in for Atlanta United FC.
- 65' Kevin Denkey needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 66' Bartosz Slisz does the damage! The net is bulging and Atlanta United FC surge ahead!
- 70' Gerardo Valenzuela has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 70 minutes.
- 71' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Kei Kamara comes on to replace Obinna Nwobodo.
- 76' Miguel Almiron has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
- 80' The crowd applauds Emmanuel Latte Lath as he leaves the pitch. Jamal Thiare steps in for Atlanta United FC.
- 81' The Atlanta United FC manager makes a substitution. Miguel Almiron departs to be replaced by Mateusz Klich.
- 83' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Lukas Engel is replaced by Sergio Santos on 83 minute.
- 88' Supporters expect more eagerness from Saba Lobzhanidze, as he is very good at scoring at Mercedes-Benz Stadium with 5 goals in the last 5 games.
- 90' That is a card for FC Cincinnati. DeAndre Yedlin will be fuming at that decision.
- 90' Atlanta United FC ring the changes. Ajani Fortune has done his job and it is now time for Noah Cobb to step up.
- The final score is 4-2.
Lineups
Atlanta United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 19
- 44
- 59
- 1
-
10
Miguel Almiron ↓ Mateusz Klich 81'
-
18
Pedro Amador ↓ Ronald Hernandez 60'
- 99
-
35
Ajani Fortune ↓ Noah Cobb 90'
-
9
Saba Lobzhanidze ↓ Will Reilly 90'
- 47
Bench
-
43
Mateusz Klich ↑ 81'
-
14
Jamal Thiare ↑ 80'
-
2
Ronald Hernandez ↑ 60'
- 22
- 70
- 21
-
24
Noah Cobb ↑ 90'
- 20
-
28
Will Reilly ↑ 90'
Coach
Ronny Deila
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
21
Matt Miazga ↓ DeAndre Yedlin 83'
-
4
Nick Hagglund ↓ Teenage Hadebe 14'
- 12
- 20
-
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↓ Kei Kamara 71'
- 9
- 23
- 18
-
29
Lukas Engel ↓ Sergio Santos 83'
- 22
Bench
-
91
DeAndre Yedlin ↑ 83'
- 11
- 13
- 2
-
85
Kei Kamara ↑ 71'
-
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 83'
-
16
Teenage Hadebe ↑ 14'
- 27
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josef Martinez | 6 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Georgios Giakoumakis | 2 |
| Evander | 2 |
| Thiago Almada | 2 |
| Ezequiel Barco | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Miles Robinson | 1 |
Head to Head
Atlanta United FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.86
Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.14
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Atlanta United FC or FC Cincinnati 77% + Over 2.5 goals 75%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Atlanta United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
Atlanta United FC or Draw
61%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
63%
Atlanta United FC or FC Cincinnati
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Atlanta United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–2 not predicted4 – 2Actual
1 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.6%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 3
4.9%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
4.1%
0 – 1
3.5%
2 – 0
3.3%
3 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC
| Handicap | Atlanta United FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 10% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 16% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 18% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 13% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.