Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
- Atlanta United FC 14 games · 11 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May | FC Cincinnati | H | 4–2 | W |
| 17 May | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–1 | L |
| 15 May | Austin FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | Chicago Fire FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | Nashville SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Apr | Orlando City SC | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May | Atlanta United FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 17 May | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 May | Toronto FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 May | Austin FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 May | New York City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Apr | Sporting Kansas City | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Atlanta United FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #7 |
| 11 | Points | 20 |
| 14 | Played | 15 |
| 3 / 2 / 9 | W / D / L | 5 / 5 / 5 |
| 14 | Scored | 36 |
| 23 | Conceded | 37 |
| -9 | GD | -1 |
| 0.79 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 21% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Atlanta United FC are 14th (11 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Atlanta United FC and FC Cincinnati has kicked off!
- 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 14' Teenage Hadebe is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nick Hagglund at the 14 minute mark.
- 15' What composure from Derrick Williams! The Ireland international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 15' Miles Robinson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 15.
- 20' What composure from Ajani Fortune! The Trinidad & Tobago international strokes it home. 2-0.
- 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Atlanta United FC and FC Cincinnati are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 35' FC Cincinnati have won 352 goals from 245 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 38' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Obinna Nwobodo gets a card.
- 43' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 48' A stunning finish from Miles Robinson — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 53' USA international Will Reilly has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 58' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 58 minutes.
- 60' The crowd applauds Pedro Amador as he leaves the pitch. Ronald Hernandez steps in for Atlanta United FC.
- 65' Atlanta United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 66' Bartosz Slisz makes no mistake. The score reads 3-1 and Atlanta United FC are in front.
- 70' Gerardo Valenzuela does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Cincinnati surge ahead!
- 71' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kei Kamara is hanging Obinna Nwobodo on the field on 71 minute.
- 76' A quiet spell here at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Atlanta United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 80' The supporters are chanting for Jamal Thiare. He replaces Emmanuel Latte Lath on 80 minute.
- 81' Fresh legs for Atlanta United FC! Mateusz Klich comes on to replace Miguel Almiron.
- 83' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Lukas Engel exits the field as Sergio Santos enters on 83.
- 88' The home supporters are growing impatient. Atlanta United FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for DeAndre Yedlin on 90 minutes.
- 90' Noah Cobb is replacing Ajani Fortune for the Atlanta United FC side.
- Atlanta United FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Atlanta United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 19
- 44
- 59
- 1
-
10
Miguel Almiron ↓ Mateusz Klich 81'
-
18
Pedro Amador ↓ Ronald Hernandez 60'
- 99
-
35
Ajani Fortune ↓ Noah Cobb 90'
-
9
Saba Lobzhanidze ↓ Will Reilly 90'
- 47
Bench
-
43
Mateusz Klich ↑ 81'
-
14
Jamal Thiare ↑ 80'
-
2
Ronald Hernandez ↑ 60'
- 22
- 70
- 21
-
24
Noah Cobb ↑ 90'
- 20
-
28
Will Reilly ↑ 90'
Coach
Ronny Deila
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
21
Matt Miazga ↓ DeAndre Yedlin 83'
-
4
Nick Hagglund ↓ Teenage Hadebe 14'
- 12
- 20
-
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↓ Kei Kamara 71'
- 9
- 23
- 18
-
29
Lukas Engel ↓ Sergio Santos 83'
- 22
Bench
-
91
DeAndre Yedlin ↑ 83'
- 11
- 13
- 2
-
85
Kei Kamara ↑ 71'
-
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 83'
-
16
Teenage Hadebe ↑ 14'
- 27
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josef Martinez | 6 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Evander | 2 |
| Thiago Almada | 2 |
| Ezequiel Barco | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Georgios Giakoumakis | 2 |
| Luiz Araujo | 1 |
Head to Head
Atlanta United FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.8
Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.92
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Atlanta United FC or FC Cincinnati 76% + Both teams to score 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atlanta United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.72
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
Atlanta United FC or Draw
63%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
61%
Atlanta United FC or FC Cincinnati
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Atlanta United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–2 not predicted4 – 2Actual
1 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
7.3%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 3
4.9%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
4.1%
2 – 0
4%
1 – 0
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC
| Handicap | Atlanta United FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 11% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 17% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 18% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 12% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

