Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
- Atlanta United FC 27 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May | FC Cincinnati | H | 4–2 | W |
| 17 May | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–1 | L |
| 15 May | Austin FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | Chicago Fire FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | Nashville SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Apr | Orlando City SC | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May | Atlanta United FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 17 May | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 May | Toronto FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 May | Austin FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 May | New York City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Apr | Sporting Kansas City | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Atlanta United FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #9 |
| 27 | Points | 33 |
| 27 | Played | 26 |
| 7 / 6 / 14 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 9 |
| 32 | Scored | 55 |
| 45 | Conceded | 64 |
| -13 | GD | -9 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 26% | Win % | 31% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Atlanta United FC are 14th (27 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
3/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
3/6
61-75
4/7
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 6 G | 6 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Atlanta United FC launch into their encounter with FC Cincinnati.
- 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Pat Noonan might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 14' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Nick Hagglund is replaced by Teenage Hadebe on 14 minute.
- 15' Magnificent from Derrick Williams! That is 8 goals in 386 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 15' The referee shows FC Cincinnati player a card on 15.
- 20' What composure from Ajani Fortune! The Trinidad & Tobago international strokes it home. 2-0.
- 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. Atlanta United FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 30' With 0 assists to his name this season, Luca Orellano is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Atlanta United FC.
- 35' Matthew Edwards needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 38' A meaty challenge results in booking for Obinna Nwobodo on 38.
- 43' FC Cincinnati is showing some good football. However, FC Cincinnati are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 48' Miles Robinson adds to his 0 season tally! FC Cincinnati lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
- 53' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 58' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Evander suffering a number of foals already.
- 60' The supporters are chanting for Ronald Hernandez. He replaces Pedro Amador on 60 minute.
- 65' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 66' What a moment for Bartosz Slisz! That strike on 66 puts his side firmly in control.
- 70' What a strike from Gerardo Valenzuela! The score is 3-2.
- 71' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Obinna Nwobodo is replaced by Kei Kamara.
- 76' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Atlanta United FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 80' The Atlanta United FC manager makes a substitution. Emmanuel Latte Lath departs to be replaced by Jamal Thiare.
- 81' The Atlanta United FC manager makes a substitution. Miguel Almiron departs to be replaced by Mateusz Klich.
- 83' FC Cincinnati make a change. Lukas Engel trudges off to be replaced by Sergio Santos on 83 minutes.
- 88' Atlanta United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 90' DeAndre Yedlin has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- 90' The Atlanta United FC manager makes a substitution. Ajani Fortune departs to be replaced by Noah Cobb.
- Game over. The scoreline of 4-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Atlanta United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 19
- 44
- 59
- 1
-
10
Miguel Almiron ↓ Mateusz Klich 81'
-
18
Pedro Amador ↓ Ronald Hernandez 60'
- 99
-
35
Ajani Fortune ↓ Noah Cobb 90'
-
9
Saba Lobzhanidze ↓ Will Reilly 90'
- 47
Bench
-
43
Mateusz Klich ↑ 81'
-
14
Jamal Thiare ↑ 80'
-
2
Ronald Hernandez ↑ 60'
- 22
- 70
- 21
-
24
Noah Cobb ↑ 90'
- 20
-
28
Will Reilly ↑ 90'
Coach
Ronny Deila
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
21
Matt Miazga ↓ DeAndre Yedlin 83'
-
4
Nick Hagglund ↓ Teenage Hadebe 14'
- 12
- 20
-
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↓ Kei Kamara 71'
- 9
- 23
- 18
-
29
Lukas Engel ↓ Sergio Santos 83'
- 22
Bench
-
91
DeAndre Yedlin ↑ 83'
- 11
- 13
- 2
-
85
Kei Kamara ↑ 71'
-
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 83'
-
16
Teenage Hadebe ↑ 14'
- 27
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josef Martinez | 6 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Georgios Giakoumakis | 2 |
| Evander | 2 |
| Thiago Almada | 2 |
| Ezequiel Barco | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Miles Robinson | 1 |
Head to Head
Atlanta United FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.98
Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Atlanta United FC or FC Cincinnati 76% + Over 2.5 goals 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atlanta United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.8
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
Atlanta United FC or Draw
67%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
57%
Atlanta United FC or FC Cincinnati
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Atlanta United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–2 not predicted4 – 2Actual
1 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
4.5%
1 – 3
4.3%
2 – 3
4.2%
1 – 0
3.9%
0 – 2
3.8%
0 – 1
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC
| Handicap | Atlanta United FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 13% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 18% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 17% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.