Thursday , 2 July 2026

Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sun 25 May 2025 · 23:00 UTC Mercedes-Benz Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May FC Cincinnati H 4–2 W
17 May Philadelphia Union H 0–1 L
15 May Austin FC A 1–1 D
10 May Chicago Fire FC A 1–2 L
03 May Nashville SC H 1–1 D
26 Apr Orlando City SC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Atlanta United FC A 2–4 L
17 May Columbus Crew SC A 1–1 D
14 May Toronto FC A 1–0 W
10 May Austin FC H 2–1 W
04 May New York City FC A 0–1 L
26 Apr Sporting Kansas City H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Atlanta United FC FC Cincinnati
#14 Position #7
11 Points 20
14 Played 15
3 / 2 / 9 W / D / L 5 / 5 / 5
14 Scored 36
23 Conceded 37
-9 GD -1
0.79 PPG 1.33
21% Win % 33%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
27% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Atlanta United FC are 14th (11 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atlanta United FC
0-15
/2
16-30
/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Atlanta United FC and FC Cincinnati has kicked off!
  • 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 14' Teenage Hadebe is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nick Hagglund at the 14 minute mark.
  • 15' What composure from Derrick Williams! The Ireland international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 15' Miles Robinson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 15.
  • 20' What composure from Ajani Fortune! The Trinidad & Tobago international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Atlanta United FC and FC Cincinnati are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 35' FC Cincinnati have won 352 goals from 245 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 38' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Obinna Nwobodo gets a card.
  • 43' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 48' A stunning finish from Miles Robinson — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 53' USA international Will Reilly has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 58' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 58 minutes.
  • 60' The crowd applauds Pedro Amador as he leaves the pitch. Ronald Hernandez steps in for Atlanta United FC.
  • 65' Atlanta United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 66' Bartosz Slisz makes no mistake. The score reads 3-1 and Atlanta United FC are in front.
  • 70' Gerardo Valenzuela does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Cincinnati surge ahead!
  • 71' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kei Kamara is hanging Obinna Nwobodo on the field on 71 minute.
  • 76' A quiet spell here at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Atlanta United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for Jamal Thiare. He replaces Emmanuel Latte Lath on 80 minute.
  • 81' Fresh legs for Atlanta United FC! Mateusz Klich comes on to replace Miguel Almiron.
  • 83' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Lukas Engel exits the field as Sergio Santos enters on 83.
  • 88' The home supporters are growing impatient. Atlanta United FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for DeAndre Yedlin on 90 minutes.
  • 90' Noah Cobb is replacing Ajani Fortune for the Atlanta United FC side.
  • Atlanta United FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.8 Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.92 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Atlanta United FC or FC Cincinnati 76% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atlanta United FC39% Draw24% FC Cincinnati37%
Actual: Atlanta United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

Atlanta United FC or Draw
63%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
61%
Atlanta United FC or FC Cincinnati
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Atlanta United FC29% Draw39% FC Cincinnati32%
Actual: Atlanta United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
7.3%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 3
4.9%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
4.1%
2 – 0
4%
1 – 0
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC

Handicap Atlanta United FC covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 17% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 18% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 12% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
16%
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.