Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

Atlanta United FC

4 – 2

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sun 25 May 2025 · 23:00 UTC Mercedes-Benz Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 15' Miles Robinson

Y 38' Obinna Nwobodo

Y 90' DeAndre Yedlin

Overview

Match Preview

Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Atlanta United FC 34 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

Atlanta United FC 18 games · Avg 2.8 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-25 Atlanta United FC 4–2 FC Cincinnati 2025-03-22 FC Cincinnati 2–2 Atlanta United FC 2024-05-15 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Atlanta United FC 2024-04-20 Atlanta United FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2023-10-21 FC Cincinnati 2–2 Atlanta United FC

Recent Form

Atlanta United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 May	FC Cincinnati	H	4–2	W
17 May	Philadelphia Union	H	0–1	L
15 May	Austin FC	A	1–1	D
10 May	Chicago Fire FC	A	1–2	L
03 May	Nashville SC	H	1–1	D
26 Apr	Orlando City SC	A	0–3	L

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 May	Atlanta United FC	A	2–4	L
17 May	Columbus Crew SC	A	1–1	D
14 May	Toronto FC	A	1–0	W
10 May	Austin FC	H	2–1	W
04 May	New York City FC	A	0–1	L
26 Apr	Sporting Kansas City	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

Atlanta United FC		FC Cincinnati
#13	Position	#8
33	Points	46
34	Played	34
9 / 6 / 19	W / D / L	12 / 10 / 12
43	Scored	67
60	Conceded	75
-17	GD	-8
0.97	PPG	1.35
26%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Atlanta United FC are 13th (33 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atlanta United FC

0-15

3/4

16-30

5/6

31-45

4/7

46-60

5/12

61-75

6/8

76+

7/11

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

6/3

16-30

5/11

31-45

10/11

46-60

8/13

61-75

6/7

76+

17/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Atlanta United FC

Aleksei Miranchuk

6 G

6 A

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	17 G	2 A
Evander	14 G	13 A
Tom Barlow	10 G	4 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Atlanta United FC launch into their encounter with FC Cincinnati.
5' A quiet spell here at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Atlanta United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ronny Deila will be considering his options from the bench.
14' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Teenage Hadebe comes on to replace Nick Hagglund.
15' Derrick Williams has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 15 minutes.
15' The referee calls foul for Miles Robinson. He receives a card.
20' A stunning finish from Ajani Fortune — that came from absolutely nowhere!
25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
30' Nigeria international Obinna Nwobodo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
35' It is a cagey affair so far. Atlanta United FC in their trying to find a way past FC Cincinnati's compact .
38' Obinna Nwobodo was booked on 38.
43' Both keepers have barely been tested. Atlanta United FC and FC Cincinnati are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
48' A goal from the USA international Miles Robinson! He fires home on 48 to make it 2-1!
53' Atlanta United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 53.
58' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lukas Engel made 2 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
60' Time for substitution for Atlanta United FC. Pedro Amador is replaced by Ronald Hernandez.
65' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
66' Bartosz Slisz does the damage! The net is bulging and Atlanta United FC surge ahead!
70' Gerardo Valenzuela adds to his 0 season tally! FC Cincinnati lead 3-2 — and this changes everything.
71' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Obinna Nwobodo exits the field as Kei Kamara enters on 71.
76' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Atlanta United FC and FC Cincinnati are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
80' Atlanta United FC ring the changes. Emmanuel Latte Lath has done his job and it is now time for Jamal Thiare to step up.
81' Mateusz Klich is replacing Miguel Almiron for the Atlanta United FC side.
83' The whistle greets Lukas Engel as he departs to be replaced by Sergio Santos.
88' Atlanta United FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Cincinnati backline.
90' DeAndre Yedlin is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
90' Ajani Fortune makes way for Noah Cobb at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Atlanta United FC.
It finishes all square. Atlanta United FC and FC Cincinnati share the spoils 4-2.

Lineups

Atlanta United FC Lineups

Starting XI

3
Derrick Williams
19
Emmanuel Latte Lath ↓ Jamal Thiare 80'
44
Luis Abram
59
Aleksei Miranchuk
1
Brad Guzan
10
Miguel Almiron ↓ Mateusz Klich 81'
18
Pedro Amador ↓ Ronald Hernandez 60'
99
Bartosz Slisz
35
Ajani Fortune ↓ Noah Cobb 90'
9
Saba Lobzhanidze ↓ Will Reilly 90'
47
Matthew Edwards

Bench

43
Mateusz Klich ↑ 81'
14
Jamal Thiare ↑ 80'
2
Ronald Hernandez ↑ 60'
22
Josh Cohen
70
Edwin Mosquera
21
Efrain Morales
24
Noah Cobb ↑ 90'
20
Luke Brennan
28
Will Reilly ↑ 90'

Coach Ronny Deila

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Josef Martinez	6
Luciano Acosta	4
Evander	2
Thiago Almada	2
Ezequiel Barco	2
Brandon Vazquez	2
Kevin Denkey	2
Georgios Giakoumakis	2

Head to Head

Atlanta United FC Form

2025-05-25 Atlanta United FC 4–2 FC Cincinnati W 2025-05-17 Atlanta United FC 0–1 Philadelphia Union L 2025-05-15 Austin FC 1–1 Atlanta United FC D 2025-05-10 Chicago Fire FC 2–1 Atlanta United FC L 2025-05-03 Atlanta United FC 1–1 Nashville SC D 2025-04-26 Orlando City SC 3–0 Atlanta United FC L

FC Cincinnati Form

2025-05-25 Atlanta United FC 4–2 FC Cincinnati L 2025-05-17 Columbus Crew SC 1–1 FC Cincinnati D 2025-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati W 2025-05-10 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Austin FC W 2025-05-04 New York City FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati L 2025-04-26 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Sporting Kansas City W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.93 Atlanta United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.8 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Atlanta United FC or FC Cincinnati 76% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Atlanta United FC42% Draw24% FC Cincinnati34%

Actual: Atlanta United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes71% 0% No29%

Avg goals/match: 3.73

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	71%	29%
± 3.5	50%	50%
± 4.5	32%	68%

Double Chance

Atlanta United FC or Draw

66%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

58%

Atlanta United FC or FC Cincinnati

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Atlanta United FC32% Draw39% FC Cincinnati29%

Actual: Atlanta United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted

4 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

9.2%

2 – 1

7.8%

1 – 2

7.3%

2 – 2

6.9%

3 – 1

2 – 0

4.6%

3 – 2

4.4%

1 – 3

4.3%

2 – 3

4.2%

1 – 0

4.1%

0 – 2

0 – 1

3.8%

Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC

Handicap	Atlanta United FC covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	12%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	18%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	17%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	11%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.