FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Atlanta United FC 27 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 May | Columbus Crew SC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 May | Orlando City SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Apr | Atlanta United FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 May | D.C. United SC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 04 May | Minnesota United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Apr | Chicago Fire FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Apr | FC Cincinnati | H | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Apr | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Atlanta United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #14 |
| 33 | Points | 27 |
| 26 | Played | 27 |
| 8 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 7 / 6 / 14 |
| 55 | Scored | 32 |
| 64 | Conceded | 45 |
| -9 | GD | -13 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 31% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
15%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Atlanta United FC are 14th (27 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
3/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
3/6
61-75
4/7
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Atlanta United FC
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 6 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Atlanta United FC gets underway.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 7' A stunning finish from Kevin Kelsy — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 12' Caleb Wiley is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Atlanta United FC so far.
- 16' The whistle greets Thiago Almada as he departs to be replaced by Xande Silva.
- 21' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 23' Atlanta United FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 28' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Cincinnati side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 33' It’s high time Pat Noonan made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 38' FC Cincinnati has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 43' Senegal international Jamal Thiare has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 48' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Cincinnati and Atlanta United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 53' FC Cincinnati are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 58' Roman Celentano has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 61' A tactical swap from Atlanta United FC — Stian Gregersen on, Ajani Fortune off on 61 minutes.
- 65' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Kevin Kelsy by Sergio Santos on 65 minute.
- 70' Gerardo Valenzuela, a USA , has 4 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 74' The referee shows Atlanta United FC player a card on 74.
- 75' Fresh legs for Atlanta United FC! Edwin Mosquera comes on to replace Xande Silva.
- 77' Tristan Muyumba has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dax McCarty on 77 minute.
- 82' FC Cincinnati currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 83' Bret Halsey is replacing Gerardo Valenzuela for the FC Cincinnati side.
- 88' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 89' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Miles Robinson departs to be replaced by Nick Hagglund.
- 90' The whistle greets Luca Orellano as he departs to be replaced by Yamil Asad.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Cincinnati take all three points.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 7
- 10
-
12
Miles Robinson ↓ Nick Hagglund 89'
- 20
-
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↓ Malik Pinto 65'
-
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Yamil Asad 90'
- 32
- 18
-
19
Kevin Kelsy ↓ Sergio Santos 65'
- 22
Bench
-
4
Nick Hagglund ↑ 89'
-
27
Yamil Asad ↑ 90'
- 1
-
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 65'
-
15
Bret Halsey ↑ 83'
- 14
-
26
Malik Pinto ↑ 65'
- 33
- 37
Coach
Pat Noonan
Atlanta United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 4
-
13
Dax McCarty ↓ Tristan Muyumba 77'
- 1
-
10
Thiago Almada ↓ Xande Silva 16'
- 6
- 26
-
35
Ajani Fortune ↓ Stian Gregersen 61'
- 24
- 7
-
9
Saba Lobzhanidze ↓ Jamal Thiare 61'
Bench
-
29
Jamal Thiare ↑ 61'
-
5
Stian Gregersen ↑ 61'
-
16
Xande Silva ↑ 16'
- 2
- 30
- 22
-
19
Daniel Rios ↑ 89'
-
8
Tristan Muyumba ↑ 77'
- 20
Coach
Gonzalo Pineda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josef Martinez | 6 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Thiago Almada | 2 |
| Ezequiel Barco | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Georgios Giakoumakis | 2 |
| Evander | 2 |
| Miles Robinson | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Atlanta United FC Form
2024-05-15
FC Cincinnati
1–0
Atlanta United FC
L
2024-05-11
Atlanta United FC
2–3
D.C. United SC
L
2024-05-04
Atlanta United FC
1–2
Minnesota United FC
L
2024-04-28
Chicago Fire FC
0–0
Atlanta United FC
D
2024-04-20
Atlanta United FC
1–2
FC Cincinnati
L
2024-04-14
Atlanta United FC
2–2
Philadelphia Union
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.94
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for:
FC Cincinnati to win 59% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.11
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
81%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
41%
FC Cincinnati or Atlanta United FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.3%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6.1%
0 – 0
6.1%
1 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Atlanta United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 17% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 22% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 13% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

