FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Atlanta United FC 18 games · 12 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 May | Columbus Crew SC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 May | Orlando City SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Apr | Atlanta United FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 May | D.C. United SC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 04 May | Minnesota United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Apr | Chicago Fire FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Apr | FC Cincinnati | H | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Apr | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Atlanta United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #15 |
| 26 | Points | 12 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 3 / 3 / 12 |
| 45 | Scored | 19 |
| 44 | Conceded | 33 |
| +1 | GD | -14 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 0.67 |
| 39% | Win % | 17% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). Atlanta United FC are 15th (12 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/6
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Atlanta United FC
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at TQL Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between FC Cincinnati and Atlanta United FC.
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Atlanta United FC that had 287 games and scored 433 goals.
- 7' The Venezuela Kevin Kelsy breaks the deadlock on 7 minutes. 1-0!
- 12' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Cincinnati must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 16' The supporters are chanting for Xande Silva. He replaces Thiago Almada on 16 minute.
- 21' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Pat Noonan will be considering his options from the bench.
- 23' A meaty challenge results in booking for Bartosz Slisz on 23.
- 28' FC Cincinnati are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Atlanta United FC backline.
- 33' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 38' It looks like no one’s ball. Atlanta United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 43' FC Cincinnati looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 48' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Cincinnati side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 53' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 58' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 61' Atlanta United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Stian Gregersen is hanging Ajani Fortune on the field on 61 minute.
- 65' The whistle greets Kevin Kelsy as he departs to be replaced by Sergio Santos.
- 70' Jamal Thiare is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Cincinnati so far.
- 74' Controversy at the stadium! Georgios Giakoumakis argues furiously but the card stands.
- 75' The Atlanta United FC manager makes a substitution. Xande Silva departs to be replaced by Edwin Mosquera.
- 77' The whistle greets Dax McCarty as he departs to be replaced by Tristan Muyumba.
- 82' FC Cincinnati are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 83' The whistle greets Gerardo Valenzuela as he departs to be replaced by Bret Halsey.
- 88' Georgia international Saba Lobzhanidze has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 89' Nick Hagglund gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Miles Robinson and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' Yamil Asad gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Luca Orellano and will look to change the dynamic.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FC Cincinnati players.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 7
- 10
-
12
Miles Robinson ↓ Nick Hagglund 89'
- 20
-
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↓ Malik Pinto 65'
-
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Yamil Asad 90'
- 32
- 18
-
19
Kevin Kelsy ↓ Sergio Santos 65'
- 22
Bench
-
4
Nick Hagglund ↑ 89'
-
27
Yamil Asad ↑ 90'
- 1
-
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 65'
-
15
Bret Halsey ↑ 83'
- 14
-
26
Malik Pinto ↑ 65'
- 33
- 37
Coach
Pat Noonan
Atlanta United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 4
-
13
Dax McCarty ↓ Tristan Muyumba 77'
- 1
-
10
Thiago Almada ↓ Xande Silva 16'
- 6
- 26
-
35
Ajani Fortune ↓ Stian Gregersen 61'
- 24
- 7
-
9
Saba Lobzhanidze ↓ Jamal Thiare 61'
Bench
-
29
Jamal Thiare ↑ 61'
-
5
Stian Gregersen ↑ 61'
-
16
Xande Silva ↑ 16'
- 2
- 30
- 22
-
19
Daniel Rios ↑ 89'
-
8
Tristan Muyumba ↑ 77'
- 20
Coach
Gonzalo Pineda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josef Martinez | 6 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Georgios Giakoumakis | 2 |
| Evander | 2 |
| Thiago Almada | 2 |
| Ezequiel Barco | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Marcelino Moreno | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Atlanta United FC Form
2024-05-15
FC Cincinnati
1–0
Atlanta United FC
L
2024-05-11
Atlanta United FC
2–3
D.C. United SC
L
2024-05-04
Atlanta United FC
1–2
Minnesota United FC
L
2024-04-28
Chicago Fire FC
0–0
Atlanta United FC
D
2024-04-20
Atlanta United FC
1–2
FC Cincinnati
L
2024-04-14
Atlanta United FC
2–2
Philadelphia Union
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.32
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07
Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for:
FC Cincinnati to win 66% + Over 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
86%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
34%
FC Cincinnati or Atlanta United FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
9%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
7.2%
3 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 0
4.8%
1 – 2
4.4%
4 – 1
4.2%
4 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.9%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Atlanta United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 19% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 22% | 36% |
| -0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 10% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

