FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Atlanta United FC 18 games · 12 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar | Atlanta United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Mar | Charlotte FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 09 Mar | Toronto FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | Philadelphia Union | A | 1–4 | L |
| 23 Feb | New York Red Bulls | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar | FC Cincinnati | A | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Mar | Internacional CF Miami | H | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Mar | New York Red Bulls | H | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Mar | Charlotte FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Feb | Montreal Impact FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Oct | Orlando City SC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Atlanta United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #15 |
| 26 | Points | 12 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 3 / 3 / 12 |
| 45 | Scored | 19 |
| 44 | Conceded | 33 |
| +1 | GD | -14 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 0.67 |
| 39% | Win % | 17% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). Atlanta United FC are 15th (12 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/6
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Atlanta United FC
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between FC Cincinnati and Atlanta United FC is underway.
- 5' Atlanta United FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 9' Lukas Engel was booked on 9.
- 14' Atlanta United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 19' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 24' It looks surprising FC Cincinnati does not make any changes. Will Reilly has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 27' Poor challenge from Yuya Kubo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 32' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 32.
- 37' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 41' The Atlanta United FC bench stirs into life. Tristan Muyumba is withdrawn and Cayman Togashi gets his opportunity.
- 46' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Nick Hagglund by Corey Baird on 46 minute.
- 50' The deadlock is broken! Emmanuel Latte Lath gets on the scoresheet on 50 minutes.
- 55' FC Cincinnati have won 361 goals from 248 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 59' Poor challenge from DeAndre Yedlin. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 61' Brad Smith gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Sergio Santos and will look to change the dynamic.
- 66' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Cincinnati needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 69' Matthew Edwards is having his name booked by the referee on 69.
- 70' Evander adds to his 9 season tally! FC Cincinnati lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 72' Ronald Hernandez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Xande Silva at the 72 minute mark.
- 75' GOAL! Evander fires home to make it 2-1!
- 80' The crowd applauds Matthew Edwards as he leaves the pitch. Mateusz Klich steps in for Atlanta United FC.
- 81' The crowd applauds Yuya Kubo as he leaves the pitch. Brian Anunga steps in for FC Cincinnati.
- 86' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 88' The deadlock is broken! Alvas Powell gets on the scoresheet on 88 minutes.
- 90' It’s a booking for Atlanta United FC player. Emmanuel Latte Lath gets a card.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Gerardo Valenzuela. He replaces Obinna Nwobodo on 90 minute.
- Game over. The scoreline of 2-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 91
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Brian Anunga 81'
- 2
-
4
Nick Hagglund ↓ Corey Baird 46'
- 20
- 5
- 23
-
17
Sergio Santos ↓ Brad Smith 61'
- 18
- 29
Bench
-
11
Corey Baird ↑ 46'
- 13
-
–
Brad Smith ↑ 61'
-
27
Brian Anunga ↑ 81'
- 37
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 90'
- 35
- 32
Coach
Pat Noonan
Atlanta United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 19
- 11
- 59
- 1
-
45
Xande Silva ↓ Ronald Hernandez 72'
- 18
- 8
- 9
-
47
Matthew Edwards ↓ Mateusz Klich 80'
- 28
Bench
-
43
Mateusz Klich ↑ 80'
-
30
Cayman Togashi ↑ 41'
-
2
Ronald Hernandez ↑ 72'
- 22
- 66
- 42
- 27
- 48
Coach
Ronny Deila
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josef Martinez | 6 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Thiago Almada | 2 |
| Ezequiel Barco | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Georgios Giakoumakis | 2 |
| Evander | 2 |
| Luiz Araujo | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Atlanta United FC Form
2025-03-22
FC Cincinnati
2–2
Atlanta United FC
D
2025-03-16
Atlanta United FC
1–2
Internacional CF Miami
L
2025-03-09
Atlanta United FC
0–0
New York Red Bulls
D
2025-03-01
Charlotte FC
2–0
Atlanta United FC
L
2025-02-23
Atlanta United FC
3–2
Montreal Impact FC
W
2024-10-19
Orlando City SC
1–2
Atlanta United FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.57
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37
Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.94
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
80%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
41%
FC Cincinnati or Atlanta United FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 1
7.7%
3 – 1
7.2%
2 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 0
5.4%
3 – 2
4.9%
1 – 0
4.7%
4 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4.6%
4 – 0
3.4%
4 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Atlanta United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -2 | 24% | 18% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 20% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 5% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

