FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Atlanta United FC 34 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar | Atlanta United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Mar | Charlotte FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 09 Mar | Toronto FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | Philadelphia Union | A | 1–4 | L |
| 23 Feb | New York Red Bulls | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar | FC Cincinnati | A | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Mar | Internacional CF Miami | H | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Mar | New York Red Bulls | H | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Mar | Charlotte FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Feb | Montreal Impact FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Oct | Orlando City SC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Atlanta United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #13 |
| 46 | Points | 33 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 10 / 12 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 19 |
| 67 | Scored | 43 |
| 75 | Conceded | 60 |
| -8 | GD | -17 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 0.97 |
| 35% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
61%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
15%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). Atlanta United FC are 13th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
5/6
31-45
4/7
46-60
5/12
61-75
6/8
76+
7/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Atlanta United FC
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 6 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FC Cincinnati to score. At the same time, Atlanta United FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Pavel Bucha made 170 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 9' FC Cincinnati receives a card for a hard tackle on 9.
- 14' Brad Guzan is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
- 19' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 24' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 27' That looks like a foul for a card for Yuya Kubo.
- 32' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yuya Kubo suffering a number of foals already.
- 37' Aleksei Miranchuk is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Atlanta United FC so far.
- 41' Atlanta United FC ring the changes. Tristan Muyumba has done his job and it is now time for Cayman Togashi to step up.
- 46' Corey Baird is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nick Hagglund at the 46 minute mark.
- 50' Emmanuel Latte Lath puts Atlanta United FC on the lead.
- 55' FC Cincinnati looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Kevin Denkey scoring 2 goals.
- 59' The referee calls foul for DeAndre Yedlin. He receives a card.
- 61' FC Cincinnati make a change. Sergio Santos trudges off to be replaced by Brad Smith on 61 minutes.
- 66' Supporters expect more eagerness from Derrick Williams, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 69' A meaty challenge results in booking for Matthew Edwards on 69.
- 70' The Brazil Evander breaks the deadlock on 70 minutes. 1-1!
- 72' Ronald Hernandez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Xande Silva on 72 minute.
- 75' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Evander makes it 2-1.
- 80' Fresh legs for Atlanta United FC! Mateusz Klich comes on to replace Matthew Edwards.
- 81' The supporters are chanting for Brian Anunga. He replaces Yuya Kubo on 81 minute.
- 86' FC Cincinnati is showing some good football. However, FC Cincinnati are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 88' Against the run of play, Alvas Powell has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Emmanuel Latte Lath.
- 90' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 90 minute. Obinna Nwobodo leaves to be changed by Gerardo Valenzuela.
- Game over. The scoreline of 2-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 91
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Brian Anunga 81'
- 2
-
4
Nick Hagglund ↓ Corey Baird 46'
- 20
- 5
- 23
-
17
Sergio Santos ↓ Brad Smith 61'
- 18
- 29
Bench
-
11
Corey Baird ↑ 46'
- 13
-
–
Brad Smith ↑ 61'
-
27
Brian Anunga ↑ 81'
- 37
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 90'
- 35
- 32
Coach
Pat Noonan
Atlanta United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 19
- 11
- 59
- 1
-
45
Xande Silva ↓ Ronald Hernandez 72'
- 18
- 8
- 9
-
47
Matthew Edwards ↓ Mateusz Klich 80'
- 28
Bench
-
43
Mateusz Klich ↑ 80'
-
30
Cayman Togashi ↑ 41'
-
2
Ronald Hernandez ↑ 72'
- 22
- 66
- 42
- 27
- 48
Coach
Ronny Deila
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josef Martinez | 6 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Georgios Giakoumakis | 2 |
| Evander | 2 |
| Thiago Almada | 2 |
| Ezequiel Barco | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Atlanta United FC Form
2025-03-22
FC Cincinnati
2–2
Atlanta United FC
D
2025-03-16
Atlanta United FC
1–2
Internacional CF Miami
L
2025-03-09
Atlanta United FC
0–0
New York Red Bulls
D
2025-03-01
Charlotte FC
2–0
Atlanta United FC
L
2025-02-23
Atlanta United FC
3–2
Montreal Impact FC
W
2024-10-19
Orlando City SC
1–2
Atlanta United FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.16
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43
Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.59
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
76%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
47%
FC Cincinnati or Atlanta United FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
5.9%
1 – 0
5.5%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 2
4.5%
0 – 0
4.1%
4 – 1
3.5%
0 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Atlanta United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 16% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 20% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 13% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

