Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sat 22 Mar 2025 · 18:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Mar Atlanta United FC H 2–2 D
15 Mar Charlotte FC A 0–2 L
09 Mar Toronto FC H 2–0 W
02 Mar Philadelphia Union A 1–4 L
23 Feb New York Red Bulls H 1–0 W
19 Oct Philadelphia Union A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Mar FC Cincinnati A 2–2 D
16 Mar Internacional CF Miami H 1–2 L
09 Mar New York Red Bulls H 0–0 D
01 Mar Charlotte FC A 0–2 L
23 Feb Montreal Impact FC H 3–2 W
19 Oct Orlando City SC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati Atlanta United FC
#7 Position #14
20 Points 11
15 Played 14
5 / 5 / 5 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 9
36 Scored 14
37 Conceded 23
-1 GD -9
1.33 PPG 0.79
33% Win % 21%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
14% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). Atlanta United FC are 14th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
/2
16-30
/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.3 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Cincinnati57% Draw22% Atlanta United FC21%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
79%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
43%
FC Cincinnati or Atlanta United FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Cincinnati43% Draw38% Atlanta United FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 1
9%
2 – 0
7.1%
3 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
5.7%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
4%
0 – 0
4%
4 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push Atlanta United FC covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 17% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 21% 42%
-0.5 58% 42%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 12% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
27%
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.