FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

FC Cincinnati

2 – 2

Full Time

Atlanta United FC

Sat 22 Mar 2025 · 18:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Lukas Engel 9' Y

Yuya Kubo 27' Y

Y 27' Will Reilly

DeAndre Yedlin 59' Y

Y 69' Matthew Edwards

Y 90' Emmanuel Latte Lath

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Atlanta United FC 27 games · 27 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 17 games · Avg 2.7 goals Atlanta United FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-22 FC Cincinnati 2–2 Atlanta United FC 2024-05-15 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Atlanta United FC 2024-04-20 Atlanta United FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2023-10-21 FC Cincinnati 2–2 Atlanta United FC 2023-08-30 Atlanta United FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Mar	Atlanta United FC	H	2–2	D
15 Mar	Charlotte FC	A	0–2	L
09 Mar	Toronto FC	H	2–0	W
02 Mar	Philadelphia Union	A	1–4	L
23 Feb	New York Red Bulls	H	1–0	W
19 Oct	Philadelphia Union	A	2–1	W

Atlanta United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Mar	FC Cincinnati	A	2–2	D
16 Mar	Internacional CF Miami	H	1–2	L
09 Mar	New York Red Bulls	H	0–0	D
01 Mar	Charlotte FC	A	0–2	L
23 Feb	Montreal Impact FC	H	3–2	W
19 Oct	Orlando City SC	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		Atlanta United FC
#9	Position	#14
33	Points	27
26	Played	27
8 / 9 / 9	W / D / L	7 / 6 / 14
55	Scored	32
64	Conceded	45
-9	GD	-13
1.27	PPG	1.00
31%	Win %	26%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

15% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Atlanta United FC are 14th (27 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

4/3

16-30

5/9

31-45

9/9

46-60

5/11

61-75

4/4

76+

13/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Atlanta United FC

0-15

2/4

16-30

3/5

31-45

2/5

46-60

3/6

61-75

4/7

76+

5/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	14 G	1 A
Evander	13 G	7 A
Tom Barlow	7 G	2 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Atlanta United FC

Aleksei Miranchuk

6 G

6 A

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. FC Cincinnati host Atlanta United FC — let the battle begin!
5' DeAndre Yedlin has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 341 appearances.
9' That looks like a foul for a card for Lukas Engel.
14' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
19' Atlanta United FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
24' Atlanta United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
27' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Yuya Kubo.
32' FC Cincinnati looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
37' Roman Celentano, a USA , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
41' The crowd applauds Tristan Muyumba as he leaves the pitch. Cayman Togashi steps in for Atlanta United FC.
46' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Nick Hagglund by Corey Baird on 46 minute.
50' Assisted by Saba Lobzhanidze with the perfectly-timed delivery and Emmanuel Latte Lath makes no mistake. 0-1!
55' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gerardo Valenzuela made 252 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
59' Controversy at the stadium! DeAndre Yedlin argues furiously but the card stands.
61' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Sergio Santos exits the field as Brad Smith enters on 61.
66' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
69' Matthew Edwards picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
70' The deadlock is broken! Evander gets on the scoresheet on 70 minutes.
72' A change in the Atlanta United FC ranks — Xande Silva exits the field as Ronald Hernandez enters on 72.
75' Evander adds to his 10 season tally! FC Cincinnati lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
80' Fresh legs for Atlanta United FC! Mateusz Klich comes on to replace Matthew Edwards.
81' Brian Anunga is replacing Yuya Kubo for the FC Cincinnati side.
86' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Cincinnati side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
88' What composure from Alvas Powell! The Jamaica international strokes it home. 3-1.
90' Emmanuel Latte Lath has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
90' Gerardo Valenzuela is ready to make an impact after coming on for Obinna Nwobodo at the 90 minute mark.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

10
Evander
91
DeAndre Yedlin
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Brian Anunga 81'
2
Alvas Powell
4
Nick Hagglund ↓ Corey Baird 46'
20
Pavel Bucha
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↓ Gerardo Valenzuela 90'
23
Luca Orellano
17
Sergio Santos ↓ Brad Smith 61'
18
Roman Celentano
29
Lukas Engel

Bench

11
Corey Baird ↑ 46'
13
Evan Louro
–
Brad Smith ↑ 61'
27
Brian Anunga ↑ 81'
37
Stiven Jimenez
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 90'
35
Kenji Mboma
32
Noah Adnan

Coach Pat Noonan

Atlanta United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ronny Deila

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Josef Martinez	6
Luciano Acosta	4
Brandon Vazquez	2
Georgios Giakoumakis	2
Evander	2
Thiago Almada	2
Ezequiel Barco	2
Yuya Kubo	1

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2025-03-22 FC Cincinnati 2–2 Atlanta United FC D 2025-03-15 Charlotte FC 2–0 FC Cincinnati L 2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC W 2025-03-02 Philadelphia Union 4–1 FC Cincinnati L 2025-02-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York Red Bulls W 2024-10-19 Philadelphia Union 1–2 FC Cincinnati W

Atlanta United FC Form

2025-03-22 FC Cincinnati 2–2 Atlanta United FC D 2025-03-16 Atlanta United FC 1–2 Internacional CF Miami L 2025-03-09 Atlanta United FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls D 2025-03-01 Charlotte FC 2–0 Atlanta United FC L 2025-02-23 Atlanta United FC 3–2 Montreal Impact FC W 2024-10-19 Orlando City SC 1–2 Atlanta United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.19 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.47 Atlanta United FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati53% Draw23% Atlanta United FC24%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 3.66

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	70%	30%
± 3.5	49%	51%
± 4.5	30%	70%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

76%

Draw or Atlanta United FC

47%

FC Cincinnati or Atlanta United FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati40% Draw39% Atlanta United FC21%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.1%

2 – 1

8.8%

2 – 2

Actual

3 – 1

6.3%

2 – 0

6.2%

1 – 2

5.9%

1 – 0

5.2%

3 – 2

4.7%

3 – 0

4.4%

0 – 0

3.9%

4 – 1

3.5%

0 – 1

3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	Atlanta United FC covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	16%	68%
-1.5	32%	—	68%
-1	32%	20%	47%
-0.5	53%	—	47%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	13%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	7%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.