Atalanta BC vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Atalanta BC vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Gewiss Stadium.
- Atalanta BC 8 games · 13 pts (2025/26)
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Szymon Marciniak
- Assistant 1 Tomasz Listkiewicz
- Assistant 2
15 games this season
🟨 1.4/game
⚽ 5.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec | Real Madrid CF | H | 2–3 | L |
| 06 Dec | AC Milan | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Dec | AS Roma | A | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | BSC Young Boys | A | 6–1 | W |
| 23 Nov | Parma Calcio 1913 | A | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Nov | Udinese Calcio | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec | Atalanta BC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 07 Dec | Girona FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Dec | Athletic Club | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Dec | Getafe CF | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Nov | Liverpool FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Nov | CD Leganes | A | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Atalanta BC | Real Madrid CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #9 |
| 13 | Points | 15 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 4 / 1 / 3 | W / D / L | 5 / 0 / 3 |
| 10 | Scored | 21 |
| 10 | Conceded | 12 |
| +0 | GD | +9 |
| 1.63 | PPG | 1.88 |
| 50% | Win % | 63% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season
Atalanta BC this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
Atalanta BC are 15th (13 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Real Madrid CF gets underway.
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Real Madrid CF that had 545 games and scored 775 goals.
- 10' GOAL! Kylian Mbappe scores on 10. Assisted by Brahim Diaz
- 15' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 30' Real Madrid CF is showing some good football. However, Real Madrid CF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 35' It looks surprising Atalanta BC does not make any changes. Marten de Roon has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 36' The supporters are chanting for Rodrygo. He replaces Kylian Mbappe on 36 minute.
- 41' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 45' Real Madrid CF receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
- 47' What an equalizer from Charles De Ketelaere!
- 52' Supporters expect more eagerness from Thibaut Courtois, as he is very good at scoring at Gewiss Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 56' GOAL! Vinicius Junior scores on 56.
- 58' Lazar Samardzic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mario Pasalic on 58 minute.
- 59' Goal! Jude Bellingham scores his 81 goal in 383 matches.
- 64' Ederson needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 65' Goal! Ademola Lookman scores his 68 goal in 319 matches.
- 70' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 74' Another substitution for Atalanta BC to replace Charles De Ketelaere by Mateo Retegui on 74 minute.
- 75' Another change for Atalanta BC made on 75 minute. Raoul Bellanova leaves to be changed by Davide Zappacosta.
- 80' Atalanta BC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 80.
- 84' Another substitution for Real Madrid CF to replace Brahim Diaz by Raul on 84 minute.
- 89' It’s high time Gian Piero Gasperini made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 90' Odilon Kossounou was booked on 90.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Atalanta BC.
Lineups
Atalanta BC Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 13
- 23
- 11
- 15
-
8
Mario Pasalic ↓ Lazar Samardzic 58'
- 16
- 29
- 17
- 22
- 19
- 4
Bench
-
77
Davide Zappacosta ↑ 75'
- 5
- 28
- 31
- 2
- 10
-
32
Mateo Retegui ↑ 74'
- 44
-
24
Lazar Samardzic ↑ 58'
-
3
Odilon Kossounou ↑ 74'
- 27
Coach
Gian Piero Gasperini
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 22
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↓ Raul 84'
-
9
Kylian Mbappe ↓ Rodrygo 36'
- 14
- 17
- 19
- 8
- 7
- 1
-
5
Jude Bellingham ↓ Luka Modric 84'
- 20
Bench
- 13
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 84'
- 18
-
11
Rodrygo ↑ 36'
- 15
- 16
- 34
- 36
-
35
Raul ↑ 84'
- 29
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marco Asensio | 2 |
| Ferland Mendy | 1 |
| Karim Benzema | 1 |
| Sergio Ramos | 1 |
| Luis Muriel | 1 |
| Kylian Mbappe | 1 |
| Vinicius Junior | 1 |
| Jude Bellingham | 1 |
Head to Head
Atalanta BC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.36
Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.04
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.4
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Atalanta BC or Draw
53%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
72%
Atalanta BC or Real Madrid CF
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 2
6.9%
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
6.1%
1 – 3
6.1%
2 – 1
6.1%
0 – 0
4.8%
0 – 3
4.6%
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
3.9%
1 – 4
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC
| Handicap | Atalanta BC covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 7% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +1 | 48% | 21% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +2 | 69% | 16% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

