Thursday , 2 July 2026

Atalanta BC vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Tue 10 Dec 2024 · 20:00 UTC Gewiss Stadium 22,967 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 10' Kylian Mbappe
Charles De Ketelaere pen 45+2' 1–1
1–2 56' Vinicius Junior
1–3 59' Jude Bellingham
Ademola Lookman 65' 2–3

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs Real Madrid CFChampions League at Gewiss Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Szymon Marciniak
  • Assistant 1 Tomasz Listkiewicz
  • Assistant 2
15 games this season 🟨 1.4/game 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Real Madrid CF H 2–3 L
06 Dec AC Milan H 2–1 W
02 Dec AS Roma A 2–0 W
26 Nov BSC Young Boys A 6–1 W
23 Nov Parma Calcio 1913 A 3–1 W
10 Nov Udinese Calcio H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Atalanta BC A 3–2 W
07 Dec Girona FC A 3–0 W
04 Dec Athletic Club A 1–2 L
01 Dec Getafe CF H 2–0 W
27 Nov Liverpool FC A 0–2 L
24 Nov CD Leganes A 3–0 W

Season Stats

Atalanta BC Real Madrid CF
#15 Position #9
13 Points 15
8 Played 8
4 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 3
10 Scored 21
10 Conceded 12
+0 GD +9
1.63 PPG 1.88
50% Win % 63%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Atalanta BC are 15th (13 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/2
46-60
/1
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Real Madrid CF gets underway.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Real Madrid CF that had 545 games and scored 775 goals.
  • 10' GOAL! Kylian Mbappe scores on 10. Assisted by Brahim Diaz
  • 15' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 30' Real Madrid CF is showing some good football. However, Real Madrid CF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 35' It looks surprising Atalanta BC does not make any changes. Marten de Roon has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 36' The supporters are chanting for Rodrygo. He replaces Kylian Mbappe on 36 minute.
  • 41' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 45' Real Madrid CF receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
  • 47' What an equalizer from Charles De Ketelaere!
  • 52' Supporters expect more eagerness from Thibaut Courtois, as he is very good at scoring at Gewiss Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 56' GOAL! Vinicius Junior scores on 56.
  • 58' Lazar Samardzic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mario Pasalic on 58 minute.
  • 59' Goal! Jude Bellingham scores his 81 goal in 383 matches.
  • 64' Ederson needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 65' Goal! Ademola Lookman scores his 68 goal in 319 matches.
  • 70' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 74' Another substitution for Atalanta BC to replace Charles De Ketelaere by Mateo Retegui on 74 minute.
  • 75' Another change for Atalanta BC made on 75 minute. Raoul Bellanova leaves to be changed by Davide Zappacosta.
  • 80' Atalanta BC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 80.
  • 84' Another substitution for Real Madrid CF to replace Brahim Diaz by Raul on 84 minute.
  • 89' It’s high time Gian Piero Gasperini made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 90' Odilon Kossounou was booked on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Atalanta BC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.36 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.04 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC28% Draw25% Real Madrid CF47%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
53%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
72%
Atalanta BC or Real Madrid CF
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC21% Draw41% Real Madrid CF38%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 2
6.9%
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
6.1%
1 – 3
6.1%
2 – 1
6.1%
0 – 0
4.8%
0 – 3
4.6%
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
3.9%
1 – 4
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 14% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 48% 52%
+1 48% 21% 31%
+1.5 69% 31%
+2 69% 16% 15%
+2.5 85% 15%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
14%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.