Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Atalanta BC vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2020-21 ROUND OF 16

Wed 24 Feb 2021 · 20:00 UTC Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia.

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert
  • Referee Christian Gittelmann
  • Referee Sandro Scharer
  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Referee Eduard Beitinger

Head-to-Head

3
Atalanta BC 3 games · Avg 3.3 goals Real Madrid CF

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Feb Real Madrid CF H 0–1 L
21 Feb SSC Napoli H 4–2 W
14 Feb Cagliari Calcio A 1–0 W
06 Feb Torino FC H 3–3 D
31 Jan SS Lazio H 1–3 L
23 Jan AC Milan A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Feb Atalanta BC A 1–0 W
20 Feb Real Valladolid CF A 1–0 W
14 Feb Valencia CF H 2–0 W
09 Feb Getafe CF H 2–0 W
06 Feb SD Huesca A 2–1 W
30 Jan Levante UD H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Atalanta BC Real Madrid CF
#15 Position #9
13 Points 15
8 Played 8
4 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 3
10 Scored 21
10 Conceded 12
+0 GD +9
1.63 PPG 1.88
50% Win % 63%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Atalanta BC are 15th (13 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 1 G
Federico Valverde 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia that hosts another battle between Atalanta BC and Real Madrid CF.
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Atalanta BC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 10' Duvan Zapata has been relatively quiet despite scoring 102 goals in his last 527 appearances.
  • 15' It looks surprising Atalanta BC does not make any changes. Hugo Duro has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 17' Remo Freuler was booked on 17.
  • 22' Pierluigi Gollini has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 23' The referee shows Real Madrid CF player a Yellow card on 23.
  • 28' The 35-year-old Rafael Toloi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 30' Atalanta BC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mario Pasalic is hanging Duvan Zapata on the field on 30 minute.
  • 35' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Atalanta BC and Real Madrid CF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 40' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 40 minutes.
  • 45' Atalanta BC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 50' Supporters expect more eagerness from Thibaut Courtois, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 55' Real Madrid CF receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 55.
  • 56' Another substitution for Atalanta BC to replace Luis Muriel by Josip Ilicic on 56 minute.
  • 57' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Vinicius Junior is replaced by Mariano Diaz on 57 minute.
  • 62' Luis Muriel is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Real Madrid CF so far.
  • 67' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 71' Robin Gosens has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 71.
  • 76' The Real Madrid CF manager makes a substitution. Isco departs to be replaced by Hugo Duro.
  • 81' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Casemiro suffering a number of foals already.
  • 85' A change in the Atalanta BC ranks — Joakim Maehle exits the field as Jose Luis Palomino enters on 85.
  • 86' Ferland Mendy puts Real Madrid CF on the lead.
  • 86' Ruslan Malinovskyi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Josip Ilicic at the 86 minute mark.
  • The final score is 0-1.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.99 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC25% Draw28% Real Madrid CF47%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
52%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
75%
Atalanta BC or Real Madrid CF
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC17% Draw46% Real Madrid CF37%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
9.5%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
5.2%
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
3.4%
2 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 13% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 48% — 52%
+1 48% 23% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 16% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
38% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.