Atalanta BC vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2020-21 ROUND OF 16
Overview
Match Preview
Atalanta BC vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia.
- Atalanta BC 8 games · 13 pts (2025/26)
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Bastian Dankert
- Referee Christian Gittelmann
- Referee Sandro Scharer
- Referee Tobias Stieler
- Referee Eduard Beitinger
16 games this season
🟨 0.4/game
⚽ 4.1 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb | Real Madrid CF | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Feb | SSC Napoli | H | 4–2 | W |
| 14 Feb | Cagliari Calcio | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Feb | Torino FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 31 Jan | SS Lazio | H | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Jan | AC Milan | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb | Atalanta BC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Feb | Real Valladolid CF | A | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Feb | Valencia CF | H | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Feb | Getafe CF | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Feb | SD Huesca | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Jan | Levante UD | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Atalanta BC | Real Madrid CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #9 |
| 13 | Points | 15 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 4 / 1 / 3 | W / D / L | 5 / 0 / 3 |
| 10 | Scored | 21 |
| 10 | Conceded | 12 |
| +0 | GD | +9 |
| 1.63 | PPG | 1.88 |
| 50% | Win % | 63% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season
Atalanta BC this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
Atalanta BC are 15th (13 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia that hosts another battle between Atalanta BC and Real Madrid CF.
- 5' Real Madrid CF have won 775 goals from 545 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Atalanta BC and Real Madrid CF are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 17' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Red card for Remo Freuler.
- 22' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Atalanta BC and Real Madrid CF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 23' The referee has no hesitation. Casemiro is booked for Real Madrid CF — Yellow card on 23.
- 28' Supporters expect more eagerness from Rafael Toloi, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia with 4 goals in the last 4 games.
- 30' Another substitution for Atalanta BC to replace Duvan Zapata by Mario Pasalic on 30 minute.
- 35' Belgium international Thibaut Courtois has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 40' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 45' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Zinedine Zidane will be considering his options from the bench.
- 50' Remo Freuler has been relatively quiet despite scoring 15 goals in his last 525 appearances.
- 55' A moment of madness from Ferland Mendy on 55 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Real Madrid CF will be frustrated.
- 56' The whistle greets Luis Muriel as he departs to be replaced by Josip Ilicic.
- 57' Fresh legs for Real Madrid CF! Mariano Diaz comes on to replace Vinicius Junior.
- 62' Real Madrid CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 67' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 71' Controversy at the stadium! Robin Gosens argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 76' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Isco is replaced by Hugo Duro.
- 81' Luis Muriel has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 85' Jose Luis Palomino is replacing Joakim Maehle for the Atalanta BC side.
- 86' GOAL! Ferland Mendy fires home to make it 0-1!
- 86' Atalanta BC make a change. Josip Ilicic trudges off to be replaced by Ruslan Malinovskyi on 86 minutes.
- It finishes all square. Atalanta BC and Real Madrid CF share the spoils 0-1.
Lineups
Atalanta BC Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Luis Muriel ↓ Josip Ilicic 56'
- 95
- 2
- 11
- 8
- 15
-
91
Duvan Zapata ↓ Mario Pasalic 30'
- 19
- 32
- 3
- 17
Bench
- 7
- 31
-
6
Jose Luis Palomino ↑ 85'
-
72
Josip Ilicic ↑ 56'
-
88
Mario Pasalic ↑ 30'
- 13
- 57
- 59
- 18
- 4
- 40
Coach
Gian Piero Gasperini
Real Madrid CF Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 10
- 17
- 8
- 6
-
11
Marco Asensio ↓ Sergio Arribas 76'
- 22
-
20
Vinicius Junior ↓ Mariano Diaz 57'
- 14
- 5
- 1
Bench
- 13
-
34
Hugo Duro ↑ 76'
-
24
Mariano Diaz ↑ 57'
- 26
- 35
- 32
-
30
Sergio Arribas ↑ 76'
- 31
Coach
Zinedine Zidane
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marco Asensio | 2 |
| Jude Bellingham | 1 |
| Ademola Lookman | 1 |
| Charles De Ketelaere | 1 |
| Ferland Mendy | 1 |
| Karim Benzema | 1 |
| Sergio Ramos | 1 |
| Luis Muriel | 1 |
Head to Head
Atalanta BC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.99
Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Atalanta BC or Draw
52%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
75%
Atalanta BC or Real Madrid CF
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
9.5%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
5.2%
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
3.4%
2 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC
| Handicap | Atalanta BC covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +1 | 48% | 23% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.