Atalanta BC vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2020-21 ROUND OF 16
Overview
Match Preview
Atalanta BC vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia.
- Atalanta BC 8 games · 13 pts (2025/26)
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Bastian Dankert
- Referee Christian Gittelmann
- Referee Sandro Scharer
- Referee Tobias Stieler
- Referee Eduard Beitinger
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC Kobenhavn | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb | Real Madrid CF | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Feb | SSC Napoli | H | 4–2 | W |
| 14 Feb | Cagliari Calcio | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Feb | Torino FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 31 Jan | SS Lazio | H | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Jan | AC Milan | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb | Atalanta BC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Feb | Real Valladolid CF | A | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Feb | Valencia CF | H | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Feb | Getafe CF | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Feb | SD Huesca | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Jan | Levante UD | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Atalanta BC | Real Madrid CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #9 |
| 13 | Points | 15 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 4 / 1 / 3 | W / D / L | 5 / 0 / 3 |
| 10 | Scored | 21 |
| 10 | Conceded | 12 |
| +0 | GD | +9 |
| 1.63 | PPG | 1.88 |
| 50% | Win % | 63% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season
Atalanta BC this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
Atalanta BC are 15th (13 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Atalanta BC
| Lazar Samardzic | 4 G |
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 15 G | 1 A |
| Vinicius Junior | 5 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia. Atalanta BC are looking to make home advantage count against Real Madrid CF.
- 5' Robin Gosens has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 15' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 17' It’s gonna be a Red card for Remo Freuler.
- 22' Real Madrid CF have won 775 goals from 545 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 23' Casemiro has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 23.
- 28' Atalanta BC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Real Madrid CF's shape.
- 30' Mario Pasalic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Duvan Zapata at the 30 minute mark.
- 35' A quiet spell here at Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia. Atalanta BC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 45' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 50' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 55' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ferland Mendy on 55.
- 56' The Atalanta BC bench stirs into life. Luis Muriel is withdrawn and Josip Ilicic gets his opportunity.
- 57' The supporters are chanting for Mariano Diaz. He replaces Vinicius Junior on 57 minute.
- 62' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lucas Vazquez suffering a number of foals already.
- 67' The 33-year-old Mariano Diaz has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 71' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Robin Gosens.
- 76' Another change for Real Madrid CF made on 76 minute. Isco leaves to be changed by Hugo Duro.
- 81' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 81 minutes.
- 85' Jose Luis Palomino is ready to make an impact after coming on for Joakim Maehle at the 85 minute mark.
- 86' A stunning finish from Ferland Mendy — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 86' Fresh legs for Atalanta BC! Ruslan Malinovskyi comes on to replace Josip Ilicic.
- Full Time. Real Madrid CF beats Atalanta BC
Lineups
Atalanta BC Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Luis Muriel ↓ Josip Ilicic 56'
- 95
- 2
- 11
- 8
- 15
-
91
Duvan Zapata ↓ Mario Pasalic 30'
- 19
- 32
- 3
- 17
Bench
- 7
- 31
-
6
Jose Luis Palomino ↑ 85'
-
72
Josip Ilicic ↑ 56'
-
88
Mario Pasalic ↑ 30'
- 13
- 57
- 59
- 18
- 4
- 40
Coach
Gian Piero Gasperini
Real Madrid CF Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 10
- 17
- 8
- 6
-
11
Marco Asensio ↓ Sergio Arribas 76'
- 22
-
20
Vinicius Junior ↓ Mariano Diaz 57'
- 14
- 5
- 1
Bench
- 13
-
34
Hugo Duro ↑ 76'
-
24
Mariano Diaz ↑ 57'
- 26
- 35
- 32
-
30
Sergio Arribas ↑ 76'
- 31
Coach
Zinedine Zidane
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marco Asensio | 2 |
| Karim Benzema | 1 |
| Sergio Ramos | 1 |
| Luis Muriel | 1 |
| Kylian Mbappe | 1 |
| Vinicius Junior | 1 |
| Jude Bellingham | 1 |
| Ademola Lookman | 1 |
Head to Head
Atalanta BC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.99
Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Atalanta BC or Draw
52%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
75%
Atalanta BC or Real Madrid CF
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
9.5%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
5.2%
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
3.4%
2 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC
| Handicap | Atalanta BC covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +1 | 48% | 23% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

