Thursday , 2 July 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Arsenal FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 9 Dec 2023 · 17:30 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'
John McGinn 7' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Arsenal FCPremier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Jarred Gillett
  • Assistant 1 Darren Cann
  • Assistant 2 James Mainwaring

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Dec Arsenal FC H 1–0 W
06 Dec Manchester City FC H 1–0 W
03 Dec AFC Bournemouth A 2–2 D
26 Nov Tottenham Hotspur FC A 2–1 W
12 Nov Fulham FC H 3–1 W
05 Nov Nottingham Forest FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Dec Aston Villa FC A 0–1 L
05 Dec Luton Town FC A 4–3 W
02 Dec Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
29 Nov Racing Club de Lens H 6–0 W
25 Nov Brentford FC A 1–0 W
11 Nov Burnley FC H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Arsenal FC
#11 Position #8
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

46% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts). Arsenal FC are 8th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Villa Park that hosts another battle between Aston Villa FC and Arsenal FC.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Aston Villa FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 7' A goal from the Scotland international John McGinn! He fires home on 7 to make it 1-0!
  • 12' Arsenal FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 17' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 22' Aston Villa FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 22.
  • 27' Aston Villa FC is showing some good football. However, Aston Villa FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 28' Oleksandr Zinchenko has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 28.
  • 33' Aston Villa FC are deployed in a 4-4-1-1 today, looking to exploit space against Arsenal FC's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 38' It is a cagey affair so far. Aston Villa FC in their 4-4-1-1 trying to find a way past Arsenal FC's compact 4-3-3.
  • 43' Arsenal FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 46' The whistle greets Leon Bailey as he departs to be replaced by Moussa Diaby.
  • 51' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 53' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Lucas Digne.
  • 56' The whistle greets Youri Tielemans as he departs to be replaced by Jacob Ramsey.
  • 61' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Martin Odegaard suffering a number of foals already.
  • 62' Poor challenge from Douglas Luiz. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 63' Douglas Luiz catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 63.
  • 66' The Aston Villa FC manager makes a substitution. Boubacar Kamara departs to be replaced by Leander Dendoncker.
  • 70' Arsenal FC ring the changes. Martinelli has done his job and it is now time for Leandro Trossard to step up.
  • 73' John McGinn has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 73.
  • 77' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Declan Rice.
  • 78' Another substitution for Aston Villa FC to replace Lucas Digne by Alex Moreno on 78 minute.
  • 81' A tactical swap from Arsenal FCEddie Nketiah on, Gabriel Jesus off on 81 minutes.
  • 86' Over 86 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 88' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Diego Carlos on 88 minutes.
  • 90' Arsenal FC make a change. Oleksandr Zinchenko trudges off to be replaced by Reiss Nelson on 90 minutes.
  • The points are shared — Aston Villa FC 1-0 Arsenal FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.63 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.54 Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 88% + Under — clean sheet likely 78%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC35% Draw40% Arsenal FC25%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes22% 0% No78%
Avg goals/match: 1.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 66%
34%
± 1.5 34%
66%
± 2.5 12%
88%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Arsenal FC
65%
Aston Villa FC or Arsenal FC
60%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC17% Draw69% Arsenal FC14%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
33.8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
14.9%
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 0
5.6%
0 – 2
4%
2 – 1
3.6%
1 – 2
3%
3 – 0
1.1%
2 – 2
1.1%
3 – 1
0.8%
0 – 3
0.7%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Arsenal FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 22% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 18% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
58%
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
54%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.