Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Arsenal FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 9 Dec 2023 · 17:30 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'
John McGinn 7' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Arsenal FC — Premier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Jarred Gillett
  • Assistant 1 Darren Cann
  • Assistant 2 James Mainwaring
4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 8.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Dec Arsenal FC H 1–0 W
06 Dec Manchester City FC H 1–0 W
03 Dec AFC Bournemouth A 2–2 D
26 Nov Tottenham Hotspur FC A 2–1 W
12 Nov Fulham FC H 3–1 W
05 Nov Nottingham Forest FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Dec Aston Villa FC A 0–1 L
05 Dec Luton Town FC A 4–3 W
02 Dec Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
29 Nov Racing Club de Lens H 6–0 W
25 Nov Brentford FC A 1–0 W
11 Nov Burnley FC H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Arsenal FC
#16 Position #2
4 Points 12
5 Played 5
1 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 4 / 0 / 1
4 Scored 8
9 Conceded 4
-5 GD +4
0.80 PPG 2.40
20% Win % 80%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
60% Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season

Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts). Arsenal FC are 2nd (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Arsenal FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
4/1
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Arsenal FC
Bukayo Saka 3 G
Martin Odegaard 2 G
Kai Havertz 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.89 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52 Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for: Aston Villa FC or Arsenal FC 72% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC29% Draw28% Arsenal FC43%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Arsenal FC
71%
Aston Villa FC or Arsenal FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC16% Draw49% Arsenal FC35%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 1
12.6%
0 – 0
11.1%
0 – 2
10.1%
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
5.2%
0 – 3
5%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
3.4%
2 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Arsenal FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 14% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 50% — 50%
+1 50% 24% 26%
+1.5 74% — 26%
+2 74% 16% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✗
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
41% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.