Aston Villa FC vs West Ham United FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3

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FA Cup · 2024-25

Aston Villa FC

2 – 1

Full Time

West Ham United FC

Fri 10 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Villa Park 40,989 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 9' Lucas Paqueta

Amadou Onana 71' 1–1

Morgan Rogers 76' 2–1

Y 29' Mohammed Kudus

Morgan Rogers 57' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs West Ham United FC — FA Cup at Villa Park.

Aston Villa FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
West Ham United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Tim Robinson
Assistant 1 Tim Wood
Assistant 2 Steven Meredith (England)

4 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 9.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

Aston Villa FC 15 games · Avg 2.8 goals West Ham United FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-10 Aston Villa FC 2–1 West Ham United FC 2024-08-17 West Ham United FC 1–2 Aston Villa FC 2024-03-17 West Ham United FC 1–1 Aston Villa FC 2023-10-22 Aston Villa FC 4–1 West Ham United FC 2023-03-12 West Ham United FC 1–1 Aston Villa FC

Recent Form

Aston Villa FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Jan	West Ham United FC	H	2–1	W
04 Jan	Leicester City FC	H	2–1	W
30 Dec	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	H	2–2	D
26 Dec	Newcastle United FC	A	0–3	L
21 Dec	Manchester City FC	H	2–1	W
14 Dec	Nottingham Forest FC	A	1–2	L

West Ham United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Jan	Aston Villa FC	A	1–2	L
04 Jan	Manchester City FC	A	1–4	L
29 Dec	Liverpool FC	H	0–5	L
26 Dec	Southampton FC	A	1–0	W
21 Dec	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	H	1–1	D
16 Dec	AFC Bournemouth	A	1–1	D

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

25% Clean Sheets
West Ham United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

West Ham United FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

–/1

76+

2/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! Aston Villa FC welcome West Ham United FC for this crunch clash at Villa Park.
5' Ghana international Mohammed Kudus has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
9' Lucas Paqueta is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 3 goals this season for the .
14' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
15' The crowd applauds Niclas Fullkrug as he leaves the pitch. Danny Ings steps in for West Ham United FC.
20' The 41-year-old Lukasz Fabianski has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
23' Amadou Onana has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ross Barkley on 23 minute.
28' Over 28 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
29' Mohammed Kudus picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
34' It is a cagey affair so far. Aston Villa FC in their trying to find a way past West Ham United FC's compact .
39' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
44' Aston Villa FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
46' Another change for West Ham United FC made on 46 minute. Crysencio Summerville leaves to be changed by Vladimir Coufal.
51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
56' It looks surprising Aston Villa FC does not make any changes. Ian Maatsen has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
57' A meaty challenge results in booking for Morgan Rogers on 57.
62' Aston Villa FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
67' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering West Ham United FC that had 345 games and scored 470 goals.
71' GOAL! Amadou Onana fires home to make it 1-1!
72' Aston Villa FC ring the changes. Matty Cash has done his job and it is now time for Kosta Nedeljkovic to step up.
76' Morgan Rogers doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
77' Aaron Cresswell is ready to make an impact after coming on for Oliver Scarles at the 77 minute mark.
82' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Luis Guilherme made 393 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
85' West Ham United FC make a change. Konstantinos Mavropanos trudges off to be replaced by Luis Guilherme on 85 minutes.
90' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Edson Alvarez suffering a number of foals already.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Aston Villa FC players.

Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

Starting XI

27
Morgan Rogers
5
Tyrone Mings
6
Ross Barkley ↓ Amadou Onana 23'
2
Matty Cash ↓ Kosta Nedeljkovic 72'
11
Ollie Watkins
4
Ezri Konsa
8
Youri Tielemans
44
Boubacar Kamara ↓ Emiliano Buendia 72'
31
Leon Bailey ↓ Jacob Ramsey 72'
25
Robin Olsen
22
Ian Maatsen

Bench

West Ham United FC Lineups

Starting XI

10
Lucas Paqueta
15
Konstantinos Mavropanos ↓ Luis Guilherme 85'
29
Aaron Wan-Bissaka
1
Lukasz Fabianski
11
Niclas Fullkrug ↓ Danny Ings 15'
19
Edson Alvarez ↓ Carlos Soler 85'
28
Tomas Soucek
14
Mohammed Kudus
26
Max Kilman
7
Crysencio Summerville ↓ Vladimir Coufal 46'
57
Oliver Scarles ↓ Aaron Cresswell 77'

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ollie Watkins	6
Pablo Fornals	3
Jarrod Bowen	3
Jacob Ramsey	2
Jack Grealish	2
Andrii Yarmolenko	2
Douglas Luiz	2
Jesse Lingard	2

Head to Head

Aston Villa FC Form

2025-01-10 Aston Villa FC 2–1 West Ham United FC W 2025-01-04 Aston Villa FC 2–1 Leicester City FC W 2024-12-30 Aston Villa FC 2–2 Brighton & Hove Albion FC D 2024-12-26 Newcastle United FC 3–0 Aston Villa FC L 2024-12-21 Aston Villa FC 2–1 Manchester City FC W 2024-12-14 Nottingham Forest FC 2–1 Aston Villa FC L

West Ham United FC Form

2025-01-10 Aston Villa FC 2–1 West Ham United FC L 2025-01-04 Manchester City FC 4–1 West Ham United FC L 2024-12-29 West Ham United FC 0–5 Liverpool FC L 2024-12-26 Southampton FC 0–1 West Ham United FC W 2024-12-21 West Ham United FC 1–1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC D 2024-12-16 AFC Bournemouth 1–1 West Ham United FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.69 Aston Villa FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.09 West Ham United FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Aston Villa FC54% Draw25% West Ham United FC21%

Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.78

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	52%	48%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw

78%

Draw or West Ham United FC

46%

Aston Villa FC or West Ham United FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Aston Villa FC36% Draw46% West Ham United FC18%

Actual: West Ham United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.3%

1 – 0

9.7%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

8.7%

0 – 0

8.1%

1 – 2

0 – 1

5.9%

3 – 1

5.2%

2 – 2

5.1%

3 – 0

4.8%

0 – 2

3.6%

3 – 2

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap	Aston Villa FC covers	Push	West Ham United FC covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	15%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	22%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	14%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

West Ham United FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.