Sunday , 16 August 2026

Aston Villa FC vs West Ham United FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2024-25
Fri 10 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Villa Park 40,989 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 9' Lucas Paqueta
Amadou Onana 71' 1–1
Morgan Rogers 76' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs West Ham United FCFA Cup at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Tim Robinson
  • Assistant 1 Tim Wood
  • Assistant 2 Steven Meredith (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan West Ham United FC H 2–1 W
04 Jan Leicester City FC H 2–1 W
30 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 2–2 D
26 Dec Newcastle United FC A 0–3 L
21 Dec Manchester City FC H 2–1 W
14 Dec Nottingham Forest FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
04 Jan Manchester City FC A 1–4 L
29 Dec Liverpool FC H 0–5 L
26 Dec Southampton FC A 1–0 W
21 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–1 D
16 Dec AFC Bournemouth A 1–1 D

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
25% Clean Sheets
West Ham United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

West Ham United FC
0-15
/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
2/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.69 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 West Ham United FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC54% Draw25% West Ham United FC21%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
78%
Draw or West Ham United FC
46%
Aston Villa FC or West Ham United FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC36% Draw46% West Ham United FC18%
Actual: West Ham United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5.9%
3 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push West Ham United FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 22% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
34%
West Ham United FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.