Saturday , 14 November 2026

Arsenal FC vs Manchester United FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2024-25
Arsenal FC
3 – 5
Full Time
Manchester United FC
Sun 12 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Emirates Stadium 60,109 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 52' Bruno Fernandes
Gabriel Magalhaes 63' 1–1
Y 29' Lisandro Martinez
Y 38' Bruno Fernandes
Y 49' Diogo Dalot
Y 56' Kobbie Mainoo
YR 61' Diogo Dalot
Gabriel Magalhaes 70' Y
Y 70' Harry Maguire
Kai Havertz 72' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Arsenal FC vs Manchester United FC — FA Cup at Emirates Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Madley
  • Assistant 1 Nicholas Hopton
  • Assistant 2 Craig Taylor
7 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 10.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

9
4
5
Arsenal FC 18 games · Avg 3.1 goals Manchester United FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-01-12 Arsenal FC 3–5 Manchester United FC 2024-12-04 Arsenal FC 2–0 Manchester United FC 2024-05-12 Manchester United FC 0–1 Arsenal FC 2023-09-03 Arsenal FC 3–1 Manchester United FC 2023-01-22 Arsenal FC 3–2 Manchester United FC

Recent Form

Arsenal FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jan Manchester United FC H 3–5 L
04 Jan Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–1 D
01 Jan Brentford FC A 3–1 W
27 Dec Ipswich Town FC H 1–0 W
21 Dec Crystal Palace FC A 5–1 W
14 Dec Everton FC H 0–0 D
Manchester United FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jan Arsenal FC A 5–3 W
05 Jan Liverpool FC A 2–2 D
30 Dec Newcastle United FC H 0–2 L
26 Dec Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
22 Dec AFC Bournemouth H 0–3 L
15 Dec Manchester City FC A 2–1 W

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Arsenal FC to score. At the same time, Manchester United FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Manchester United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' Alejandro Garnacho has been relatively quiet despite scoring 22 goals in his last 423 appearances.
  • 15' Arsenal FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Manchester United FC backline.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 29' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lisandro Martinez on 29.
  • 34' Diogo Dalot, a Portugal , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 38' Bruno Fernandes has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 38.
  • 40' Gabriel Jesus makes way for Raheem Sterling at the 40 minute mark. A tactical switch from Arsenal FC.
  • 45' Tyrell Malacia has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 49' Diogo Dalot catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 49.
  • 52' Assisted by Alejandro Garnacho with the perfectly-timed delivery and Bruno Fernandes makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 56' Kobbie Mainoo is having his name booked by the referee on 56.
  • 61' Diogo Dalot was booked on 61.
  • 63' What an equalizer from Gabriel!
  • 68' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 68 minutes.
  • 70' Gabriel is having his name booked by the referee on 70.
  • 72' Kai Havertz is having his name booked by the referee on 72.
  • 73' Arsenal FC ring the changes. Mikel Merino has done his job and it is now time for Declan Rice to step up.
  • 78' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Arsenal FC and Manchester United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 80' A tactical swap from Manchester United FC — Amad Diallo on, Alejandro Garnacho off on 80 minutes.
  • 81' The supporters are chanting for Toby Collyer. He replaces Kobbie Mainoo on 81 minute.
  • 86' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 90' Tyrell Malacia is replacing Manuel Ugarte for the Manchester United FC side.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Manchester United FC players.

Lineups

Arsenal FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Manchester United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Marcus Rashford 5
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 4
Cristiano Ronaldo 3
Bruno Fernandes 3
Eddie Nketiah 3
Bukayo Saka 3
Jesse Lingard 2
Anthony Martial 2

Head to Head

2025-01-12 Arsenal FC 3–5 Manchester United FC 2024-12-04 Arsenal FC 2–0 Manchester United FC 2024-05-12 Manchester United FC 0–1 Arsenal FC 2023-09-03 Arsenal FC 3–1 Manchester United FC 2023-01-22 Arsenal FC 3–2 Manchester United FC

Arsenal FC Form

2025-01-12 Arsenal FC 3–5 Manchester United FC L 2025-01-04 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1–1 Arsenal FC D 2025-01-01 Brentford FC 1–3 Arsenal FC W 2024-12-27 Arsenal FC 1–0 Ipswich Town FC W 2024-12-21 Crystal Palace FC 1–5 Arsenal FC W 2024-12-14 Arsenal FC 0–0 Everton FC D

Manchester United FC Form

2025-01-12 Arsenal FC 3–5 Manchester United FC W 2025-01-05 Liverpool FC 2–2 Manchester United FC D 2024-12-30 Manchester United FC 0–2 Newcastle United FC L 2024-12-26 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 2–0 Manchester United FC L 2024-12-22 Manchester United FC 0–3 AFC Bournemouth L 2024-12-15 Manchester City FC 1–2 Manchester United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.75 Arsenal FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64 Manchester United FC xG
I would bet for: Arsenal FC or Manchester United FC 75% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Arsenal FC43% Draw25% Manchester United FC32%
Actual: Manchester United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Arsenal FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Manchester United FC
57%
Arsenal FC or Manchester United FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Arsenal FC31% Draw42% Manchester United FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–5 not predicted
3 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 0
5.2%
2 – 0
5.2%
0 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 2
3.9%

Asian Handicap — Arsenal FC

Handicap Arsenal FC covers Push Manchester United FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 19% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 17% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.