Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Arsenal FC vs Manchester United FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2024-25
Arsenal FC
3 – 5
Full Time
Manchester United FC
Sun 12 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Emirates Stadium 60,109 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 52' Bruno Fernandes
Gabriel Magalhaes 63' 1–1
Y 29' Lisandro Martinez
Y 38' Bruno Fernandes
Y 49' Diogo Dalot
Y 56' Kobbie Mainoo
YR 61' Diogo Dalot
Gabriel Magalhaes 70' Y
Y 70' Harry Maguire
Kai Havertz 72' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Arsenal FC vs Manchester United FC — FA Cup at Emirates Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Madley
  • Assistant 1 Nicholas Hopton
  • Assistant 2 Craig Taylor
5 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 11.4 goals/game

Head-to-Head

9
4
5
Arsenal FC 18 games · Avg 3.1 goals Manchester United FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-01-12 Arsenal FC 3–5 Manchester United FC 2024-12-04 Arsenal FC 2–0 Manchester United FC 2024-05-12 Manchester United FC 0–1 Arsenal FC 2023-09-03 Arsenal FC 3–1 Manchester United FC 2023-01-22 Arsenal FC 3–2 Manchester United FC

Recent Form

Arsenal FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jan Manchester United FC H 3–5 L
04 Jan Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–1 D
01 Jan Brentford FC A 3–1 W
27 Dec Ipswich Town FC H 1–0 W
21 Dec Crystal Palace FC A 5–1 W
14 Dec Everton FC H 0–0 D
Manchester United FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jan Arsenal FC A 5–3 W
05 Jan Liverpool FC A 2–2 D
30 Dec Newcastle United FC H 0–2 L
26 Dec Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
22 Dec AFC Bournemouth H 0–3 L
15 Dec Manchester City FC A 2–1 W

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Manchester United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Arsenal FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Arsenal FC
Martinelli 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Arsenal FC vs Manchester United FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Bruno Fernandes needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 77 Yellow cards this season.
  • 10' Arsenal FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 15' Harry Maguire is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Manchester United FC so far.
  • 20' Toby Collyer has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 411 appearances.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 29' Manchester United FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 34' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Rasmus Hojlund suffering a number of foals already.
  • 38' The referee shows Manchester United FC player a card on 38.
  • 40' Raheem Sterling is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gabriel Jesus at the 40 minute mark.
  • 45' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 49' Diogo Dalot is having his name booked by the referee on 49.
  • 52' The Portugal Bruno Fernandes breaks the deadlock on 52 minutes. 0-1!
  • 56' Manchester United FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 61' Manchester United FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 63' Brilliant from the ! Gabriel makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 63.
  • 68' Manchester United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 68.
  • 70' Arsenal FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 72' Arsenal FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 72.
  • 73' The Arsenal FC bench stirs into life. Mikel Merino is withdrawn and Declan Rice gets his opportunity.
  • 78' Manchester United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 80' The whistle greets Alejandro Garnacho as he departs to be replaced by Amad Diallo.
  • 81' It is a substitution in Manchester United FC team. Kobbie Mainoo is replaced by Toby Collyer on 81 minute.
  • 86' Arsenal FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 90' The Manchester United FC bench stirs into life. Manuel Ugarte is withdrawn and Tyrell Malacia gets his opportunity.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Arsenal FC 3-5 Manchester United FC.

Lineups

Arsenal FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Manchester United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Marcus Rashford 5
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 4
Cristiano Ronaldo 3
Bruno Fernandes 3
Eddie Nketiah 3
Bukayo Saka 3
Jesse Lingard 2
Anthony Martial 2

Head to Head

2025-01-12 Arsenal FC 3–5 Manchester United FC 2024-12-04 Arsenal FC 2–0 Manchester United FC 2024-05-12 Manchester United FC 0–1 Arsenal FC 2023-09-03 Arsenal FC 3–1 Manchester United FC 2023-01-22 Arsenal FC 3–2 Manchester United FC

Arsenal FC Form

2025-01-12 Arsenal FC 3–5 Manchester United FC L 2025-01-04 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1–1 Arsenal FC D 2025-01-01 Brentford FC 1–3 Arsenal FC W 2024-12-27 Arsenal FC 1–0 Ipswich Town FC W 2024-12-21 Crystal Palace FC 1–5 Arsenal FC W 2024-12-14 Arsenal FC 0–0 Everton FC D

Manchester United FC Form

2025-01-12 Arsenal FC 3–5 Manchester United FC W 2025-01-05 Liverpool FC 2–2 Manchester United FC D 2024-12-30 Manchester United FC 0–2 Newcastle United FC L 2024-12-26 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 2–0 Manchester United FC L 2024-12-22 Manchester United FC 0–3 AFC Bournemouth L 2024-12-15 Manchester City FC 1–2 Manchester United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.75 Arsenal FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64 Manchester United FC xG
I would bet for: Arsenal FC or Manchester United FC 75% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Arsenal FC43% Draw25% Manchester United FC32%
Actual: Manchester United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Arsenal FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Manchester United FC
57%
Arsenal FC or Manchester United FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Arsenal FC31% Draw42% Manchester United FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–5 not predicted
3 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 0
5.2%
2 – 0
5.2%
0 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 2
3.9%

Asian Handicap — Arsenal FC

Handicap Arsenal FC covers Push Manchester United FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 19% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 17% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.