Thursday , 2 July 2026

Arsenal FC vs Manchester United FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2024-25
Arsenal FC
3 – 5
Full Time
Manchester United FC
Sun 12 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Emirates Stadium 60,109 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 52' Bruno Fernandes
Gabriel Magalhaes 63' 1–1
Y 29' Lisandro Martinez
Y 38' Bruno Fernandes
Y 49' Diogo Dalot
Y 56' Kobbie Mainoo
YR 61' Diogo Dalot
Gabriel Magalhaes 70' Y
Y 70' Harry Maguire
Kai Havertz 72' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Arsenal FC vs Manchester United FC — FA Cup at Emirates Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Madley
  • Assistant 1 Nicholas Hopton
  • Assistant 2 Craig Taylor

Head-to-Head

9
4
5
Arsenal FC 18 games · Avg 3.1 goals Manchester United FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-01-12 Arsenal FC 3–5 Manchester United FC 2024-12-04 Arsenal FC 2–0 Manchester United FC 2024-05-12 Manchester United FC 0–1 Arsenal FC 2023-09-03 Arsenal FC 3–1 Manchester United FC 2023-01-22 Arsenal FC 3–2 Manchester United FC

Recent Form

Arsenal FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jan Manchester United FC H 3–5 L
04 Jan Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–1 D
01 Jan Brentford FC A 3–1 W
27 Dec Ipswich Town FC H 1–0 W
21 Dec Crystal Palace FC A 5–1 W
14 Dec Everton FC H 0–0 D
Manchester United FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jan Arsenal FC A 5–3 W
05 Jan Liverpool FC A 2–2 D
30 Dec Newcastle United FC H 0–2 L
26 Dec Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
22 Dec AFC Bournemouth H 0–3 L
15 Dec Manchester City FC A 2–1 W

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Manchester United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Arsenal FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Arsenal FC
Martinelli 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Emirates Stadium that hosts another battle between Arsenal FC and Manchester United FC.
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 10' Manchester United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' It is a cagey affair so far. Arsenal FC in their trying to find a way past Manchester United FC's compact .
  • 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 29' Lisandro Martinez was booked on 29.
  • 34' Matthijs de Ligt has been relatively quiet despite scoring 25 goals in his last 480 appearances.
  • 38' Manchester United FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 40' Raheem Sterling has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gabriel Jesus on 40 minute.
  • 45' It looks surprising Manchester United FC does not make any changes. Gabriel Magalhaes has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 49' Diogo Dalot has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 49.
  • 52' Bruno Fernandes adds to his 1 season tally! Manchester United FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 56' The referee calls foul for Kobbie Mainoo. He receives a card.
  • 61' Diogo Dalot is having his name booked by the referee on 61.
  • 63' GOAL! Gabriel scores on 63.
  • 68' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Martin Odegaard suffering a number of foals already.
  • 70' Poor challenge from Gabriel. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 72' A moment of madness from Kai Havertz on 72 minutes earns him a card. Arsenal FC will be frustrated.
  • 73' Declan Rice is replacing Mikel Merino for the Arsenal FC side.
  • 78' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 80' Manchester United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Amad Diallo is hanging Alejandro Garnacho on the field on 80 minute.
  • 81' The supporters are chanting for Toby Collyer. He replaces Kobbie Mainoo on 81 minute.
  • 86' Manchester United FC is showing some good football. However, Manchester United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Manuel Ugarte as he leaves the pitch. Tyrell Malacia steps in for Manchester United FC.
  • Manchester United FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Arsenal FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Manchester United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Marcus Rashford 5
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 4
Cristiano Ronaldo 3
Bruno Fernandes 3
Eddie Nketiah 3
Bukayo Saka 3
Jesse Lingard 2
Anthony Martial 2

Head to Head

2025-01-12 Arsenal FC 3–5 Manchester United FC 2024-12-04 Arsenal FC 2–0 Manchester United FC 2024-05-12 Manchester United FC 0–1 Arsenal FC 2023-09-03 Arsenal FC 3–1 Manchester United FC 2023-01-22 Arsenal FC 3–2 Manchester United FC

Arsenal FC Form

2025-01-12 Arsenal FC 3–5 Manchester United FC L 2025-01-04 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1–1 Arsenal FC D 2025-01-01 Brentford FC 1–3 Arsenal FC W 2024-12-27 Arsenal FC 1–0 Ipswich Town FC W 2024-12-21 Crystal Palace FC 1–5 Arsenal FC W 2024-12-14 Arsenal FC 0–0 Everton FC D

Manchester United FC Form

2025-01-12 Arsenal FC 3–5 Manchester United FC W 2025-01-05 Liverpool FC 2–2 Manchester United FC D 2024-12-30 Manchester United FC 0–2 Newcastle United FC L 2024-12-26 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 2–0 Manchester United FC L 2024-12-22 Manchester United FC 0–3 AFC Bournemouth L 2024-12-15 Manchester City FC 1–2 Manchester United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.75 Arsenal FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64 Manchester United FC xG
I would bet for: Arsenal FC or Manchester United FC 75% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Arsenal FC43% Draw25% Manchester United FC32%
Actual: Manchester United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Arsenal FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Manchester United FC
57%
Arsenal FC or Manchester United FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Arsenal FC31% Draw42% Manchester United FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–5 not predicted
3 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 0
5.2%
2 – 0
5.2%
0 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 2
3.9%

Asian Handicap — Arsenal FC

Handicap Arsenal FC covers Push Manchester United FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 19% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 17% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.