Sunday , 16 August 2026

Arsenal FC vs Manchester United FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2024-25
Sun 12 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Emirates Stadium 60,109 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 52' Bruno Fernandes
Gabriel Magalhaes 63' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Arsenal FC vs Manchester United FCFA Cup at Emirates Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Madley
  • Assistant 1 Nicholas Hopton
  • Assistant 2 Craig Taylor

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jan Manchester United FC H 3–5 L
04 Jan Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–1 D
01 Jan Brentford FC A 3–1 W
27 Dec Ipswich Town FC H 1–0 W
21 Dec Crystal Palace FC A 5–1 W
14 Dec Everton FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jan Arsenal FC A 5–3 W
05 Jan Liverpool FC A 2–2 D
30 Dec Newcastle United FC H 0–2 L
26 Dec Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
22 Dec AFC Bournemouth H 0–3 L
15 Dec Manchester City FC A 2–1 W

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Manchester United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Arsenal FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/1
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Arsenal FC
Martinelli 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Arsenal FC and Manchester United FC has kicked off!
  • 5' Manchester United FC have won 674 goals from 409 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Bruno Fernandes suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 20' Manchester United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 29' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lisandro Martinez on 29 minutes.
  • 34' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 38' It’s gonna be a card for Bruno Fernandes.
  • 40' Another change for Arsenal FC made on 40 minute. Gabriel Jesus leaves to be changed by Raheem Sterling.
  • 45' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Arsenal FC and Manchester United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 49' The referee has no hesitation. Diogo Dalot is booked for Manchester United FC — card on 49.
  • 52' Brilliant from the ! Bruno Fernandes makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 52.
  • 56' Kobbie Mainoo was booked on 56.
  • 61' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Diogo Dalot.
  • 63' Gabriel adds to his 0 season tally! Arsenal FC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 68' Leny Yoro is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Arsenal FC so far.
  • 70' The referee calls foul for Gabriel. He receives a card.
  • 72' Poor challenge from Kai Havertz. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 73' Declan Rice is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mikel Merino at the 73 minute mark.
  • 78' Over 78 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 80' A change in the Manchester United FC ranks — Alejandro Garnacho exits the field as Amad Diallo enters on 80.
  • 81' Manchester United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Toby Collyer is hanging Kobbie Mainoo on the field on 81 minute.
  • 86' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 90' Manchester United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tyrell Malacia is hanging Manuel Ugarte on the field on 90 minute.
  • Full Time. Manchester United FC beats Arsenal FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.75 Arsenal FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64 Manchester United FC xG
I would bet for: Arsenal FC or Manchester United FC 75% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Arsenal FC43% Draw25% Manchester United FC32%
Actual: Manchester United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Arsenal FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Manchester United FC
57%
Arsenal FC or Manchester United FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Arsenal FC31% Draw42% Manchester United FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–5 not predicted
3 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 0
5.2%
2 – 0
5.2%
0 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 2
3.9%

Asian Handicap — Arsenal FC

Handicap Arsenal FC covers Push Manchester United FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 19% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 17% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
20%
Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.