Melbourne Victory FC vs Western United FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2023-24

Melbourne Victory FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Western United FC

Tue 20 Feb 2024 · 08:00 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Nishan Velupillay 13' Y

Y 17' Michael Ruhs

Y 21' Tomoki Imai

Bruno Fornaroli 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Western United FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Western United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Jonathon Barreiro
Referee

11 games this season 🟨 0.5/game ⚽ 2.1 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 13 games · Avg 3.9 goals Western United FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-02-20 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Western United FC 2023-03-13 Melbourne Victory FC 1–2 Western United FC 2022-12-26 Western United FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2022-03-23 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Western United FC 2021-11-20 Western United FC 0–1 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Feb	Western United FC	H	2–1	W
17 Feb	Melbourne City FC	A	0–0	D
10 Feb	Macarthur FC	H	0–1	L
03 Feb	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	1–1	D
26 Jan	Sydney FC	H	1–1	D
19 Jan	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	1–1	D

Western United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Feb	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–2	L
16 Feb	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	2–0	W
10 Feb	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	0–2	L
03 Feb	Sydney FC	H	2–2	D
27 Jan	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	0–1	L
12 Jan	Macarthur FC	A	3–3	D

Key Stats

85% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

77% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at AAMI Park. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
5' Western United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Tony Popović will be considering his options from the bench.
13' Nishan Velupillay is having his name booked by the referee on 13.
17' Michael Ruhs has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 17.
21' It’s gonna be a card for Tomoki Imai.
26' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
31' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
36' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
41' Western United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
46' The Melbourne Victory FC bench stirs into life. Nishan Velupillay is withdrawn and Daniel Arzani gets his opportunity.
51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Western United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
56' Another substitution for Melbourne Victory FC to replace Fabian Monge by Jordi Valadon on 56 minute.
60' GOAL! Daniel Penha scores on 60. Assisted by Michael Ruhs
64' A tactical swap from Melbourne Victory FC — Zinedine Machach on, Jake Brimmer off on 64 minutes.
65' The crowd applauds Daniel Penha as he leaves the pitch. Matthew Grimaldi steps in for Western United FC.
69' It is a substitution in Western United FC team. Steven Lustica is replaced by Rhys Bozinovski on 69 minute.
74' It’s high time John Aloisi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
77' The Melbourne Victory FC bench stirs into life. Ben Folami is withdrawn and Chris Ikonomidis gets his opportunity.
82' Rhys Bozinovski, a Australia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
84' Nikita Rukavytsya is replacing Noah Botic for the Western United FC side.
89' Western United FC have won 248 goals from 150 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
90' Bruno Fornaroli has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
Western United FC will have plenty to reflect on. Melbourne Victory FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

11
Ben Folami ↓ Chris Ikonomidis 77'
5
Damien da Silva
16
Stefan Nigro ↓ Connor Chapman 56'
22
Jake Brimmer ↓ Zinedine Machach 64'
20
Paul Izzo
21
Roderick Miranda
10
Bruno Fornaroli
12
Ryan Teague
2
Jason Geria
17
Nishan Velupillay ↓ Daniel Arzani 46'
18
Fabian Monge ↓ Jordi Valadon 56'

Bench

8
Zinedine Machach ↑ 64'
7
Chris Ikonomidis ↑ 77'
19
Daniel Arzani ↑ 46'
14
Connor Chapman ↑ 56'
40
Christian Siciliano
27
Jordi Valadon ↑ 56'
34
Kasey Bos

Coach Tony Popović

Western United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach John Aloisi

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Besart Berisha	4
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Noah Botic	3
Ben Folami	2
Daniel Penha	2
Elvis Kamsoba	2
Brendan Hamill	2
Hiroshi Ibusuki	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2024-02-20 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Western United FC W 2024-02-17 Melbourne City FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC D 2024-02-10 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Macarthur FC L 2024-02-03 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC D 2024-01-26 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Sydney FC D 2024-01-19 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC D

Western United FC Form

2024-02-20 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Western United FC L 2024-02-16 Western United FC 2–0 Newcastle United Jets FC W 2024-02-10 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–0 Western United FC L 2024-02-03 Western United FC 2–2 Sydney FC D 2024-01-27 Western United FC 0–1 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L 2024-01-12 Macarthur FC 3–3 Western United FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.38 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.06 Western United FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC46% Draw28% Western United FC26%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.44

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	70%	30%
± 2.5	44%	56%
± 3.5	23%	77%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

74%

Draw or Western United FC

54%

Melbourne Victory FC or Western United FC

72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC30% Draw49% Western United FC21%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.7%

1 – 0

10.9%

0 – 0

10.8%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 1

8.1%

2 – 0

1 – 2

6.5%

0 – 2

4.8%

2 – 2

4.6%

3 – 1

3.9%

3 – 0

3.6%

1 – 3

2.3%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Western United FC covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	13%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	22%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	17%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	8%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Western United FC keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.