Thursday , 2 July 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Western United FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2023-24
Tue 20 Feb 2024 · 08:00 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Western United FCA League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Jonathon Barreiro
  • Referee
11 games this season 🟨 0.5/game 2.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Feb Western United FC H 2–1 W
17 Feb Melbourne City FC A 0–0 D
10 Feb Macarthur FC H 0–1 L
03 Feb Newcastle United Jets FC A 1–1 D
26 Jan Sydney FC H 1–1 D
19 Jan Wellington Phoenix FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Feb Melbourne Victory FC A 1–2 L
16 Feb Newcastle United Jets FC H 2–0 W
10 Feb Wellington Phoenix FC A 0–2 L
03 Feb Sydney FC H 2–2 D
27 Jan Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 0–1 L
12 Jan Macarthur FC A 3–3 D

Key Stats

85% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
77% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
Nikolaos Vergos 7 G 1 A
Clarismario 6 G
Mata 5 G 12 A
Keegan Jelacic 5 G 2 A
Charles Nduka 5 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at AAMI Park!
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Western United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 13' The referee shows Melbourne Victory FC player a card on 13.
  • 17' Michael Ruhs catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 17.
  • 21' Tomoki Imai has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 21.
  • 26' Melbourne Victory FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Western United FC's shape.
  • 31' Steven Lustica has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 205 appearances.
  • 36' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ben Folami made 358 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 41' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 46' The whistle greets Nishan Velupillay as he departs to be replaced by Daniel Arzani.
  • 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 56' The crowd applauds Fabian Monge as he leaves the pitch. Jordi Valadon steps in for Melbourne Victory FC.
  • 60' Daniel Penha has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 60 minutes.
  • 64' Zinedine Machach has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jake Brimmer on 64 minute.
  • 65' Western United FC ring the changes. Daniel Penha has done his job and it is now time for Matthew Grimaldi to step up.
  • 69' It is a substitution in Western United FC team. Steven Lustica is replaced by Rhys Bozinovski on 69 minute.
  • 74' Melbourne Victory FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Western United FC backline.
  • 77' Chris Ikonomidis has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ben Folami on 77 minute.
  • 82' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Melbourne Victory FC and Western United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 84' Fresh legs for Western United FC! Nikita Rukavytsya comes on to replace Noah Botic.
  • 89' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 90' Bruno Fornaroli has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • Another three points for Melbourne Victory FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.38 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Western United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC46% Draw28% Western United FC26%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Western United FC
54%
Melbourne Victory FC or Western United FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC30% Draw49% Western United FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 0
10.8%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Western United FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 22% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
35%
Western United FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.