Melbourne Victory FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2023-24

Melbourne Victory FC

0 – 1

Full Time

Central Coast Mariners FC

Sun 25 Feb 2024 · 06:00 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Jason Geria 21' Y

Daniel Arzani 47' Y

Y 56' Alou Kuol

Roderick Miranda 59' Y

Y 65' Miguel Angel Torres

Roderick Miranda 80' YR

Jordi Valadon 90' R

R 90' Ronald Barcellos

Y 90' Storm Roux

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
Central Coast Mariners FC 26 games · 32 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Kearney Robinson
Referee

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 19 games · Avg 2.9 goals Central Coast Mariners FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-02-25 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Central Coast Mariners FC 2024-01-13 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-12-03 Central Coast Mariners FC 2–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-03-19 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Central Coast Mariners FC 2022-12-31 Central Coast Mariners FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	0–1	L
20 Feb	Western United FC	H	2–1	W
17 Feb	Melbourne City FC	A	0–0	D
10 Feb	Macarthur FC	H	0–1	L
03 Feb	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	1–1	D
26 Jan	Sydney FC	H	1–1	D

Central Coast Mariners FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–0	W
18 Feb	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	1–0	W
10 Feb	Sydney FC	H	1–3	L
06 Feb	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	0–0	D
03 Feb	Adelaide United FC	A	4–0	W
27 Jan	Brisbane Roar FC	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Central Coast Mariners FC
#4	Position	#9
40	Points	32
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	8 / 8 / 10
44	Scored	35
33	Conceded	42
+11	GD	-7
1.54	PPG	1.23
42%	Win %	31%

Key Stats

68% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Central Coast Mariners FC are 9th (32 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Melbourne Victory FC and Central Coast Mariners FC has kicked off!
5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Melbourne Victory FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
21' Jason Geria catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 21.
26' Mikael Doka has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
31' Central Coast Mariners FC have won 311 goals from 208 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
36' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Melbourne Victory FC and Central Coast Mariners FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
41' Melbourne Victory FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Central Coast Mariners FC backline.
46' The crowd applauds Fabian Monge as he leaves the pitch. Jake Brimmer steps in for Melbourne Victory FC.
47' That looks like a foul for a card for Daniel Arzani.
48' Ryan Teague makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Melbourne Victory FC are in front.
53' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Fabian Monge made 210 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
56' Alou Kuol picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
59' Roderick Miranda has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 59.
64' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
65' Miguel Angel Torres is having his name booked by the referee on 65.
67' Time for substitution for Melbourne Victory FC. Salim Khelifi is replaced by Ben Folami.
72' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
76' It is a substitution in Melbourne Victory FC team. Ryan Teague is replaced by Jordi Valadon on 76 minute.
77' Fresh legs for Melbourne Victory FC! Chris Ikonomidis comes on to replace Daniel Arzani.
79' Fresh legs for Central Coast Mariners FC! Miguel Di Pizio comes on to replace Bradley Tapp.
80' The referee has no hesitation. Roderick Miranda is booked for Melbourne Victory FC — card on 80.
85' Central Coast Mariners FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
90' A moment of madness from Jordi Valadon on 90 minutes earns him a card. Melbourne Victory FC will be frustrated.
90' Central Coast Mariners FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ronald Barcellos is hanging Miguel Angel Torres on the field on 90 minute.
Central Coast Mariners FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

11
Ben Folami ↑ 67'
6
Leigh Broxham
22
Jake Brimmer ↑ 46'
7
Chris Ikonomidis ↑ 77'
40
Christian Siciliano
27
Jordi Valadon ↑ 76'
37
Kasey Bos

Coach Tony Popović

Central Coast Mariners FC Lineups

Starting XI

99
Ryan Edmondson ↓ Alou Kuol 46'
15
Storm Roux
20
Danny Vukovic
4
Joshua Nisbet
23
Daniel Hall
33
Nathan Paull
2
Mikael Doka
3
Brian Kaltak
26
Bradley Tapp ↓ Miguel Di Pizio 79'
6
Max Balard
11
Miguel Angel Torres ↓ Ronald Barcellos 90'

Bench

Coach Mark Jackson

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nishan Velupillay	3
Matt Simon	3
Jason Cummings	3
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Dylan Ruiz-Diaz	2
Ben Kennedy	2
Callum McManaman	2
Andrew Hoole	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2024-02-25 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2024-02-20 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Western United FC W 2024-02-17 Melbourne City FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC D 2024-02-10 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Macarthur FC L 2024-02-03 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC D 2024-01-26 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Sydney FC D

Central Coast Mariners FC Form

2024-02-25 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Central Coast Mariners FC W 2024-02-18 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–0 Western Sydney Wanderers FC W 2024-02-10 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–3 Sydney FC L 2024-02-06 Wellington Phoenix FC 0–0 Central Coast Mariners FC D 2024-02-03 Adelaide United FC 0–4 Central Coast Mariners FC W 2024-01-27 Central Coast Mariners FC 2–0 Brisbane Roar FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.46 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.21 Central Coast Mariners FC xG

I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC or Central Coast Mariners FC 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC39% Draw29% Central Coast Mariners FC32%

Actual: Central Coast Mariners FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.67

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	74%	26%
± 2.5	49%	51%
± 3.5	28%	72%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

68%

Draw or Central Coast Mariners FC

61%

Melbourne Victory FC or Central Coast Mariners FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC30% Draw47% Central Coast Mariners FC23%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.2%

1 – 0

9.2%

0 – 0

2 – 1

8.6%

0 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

7.2%

1 – 2

7.1%

2 – 2

5.2%

0 – 2

3 – 1

4.2%

3 – 0

3.5%

1 – 3

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Central Coast Mariners FC covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	13%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	21%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	17%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	9%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Central Coast Mariners FC keeps clean sheet

24% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.