Sunday , 16 August 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2023-24
Sat 4 Nov 2023 · 08:45 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FCA League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Alex King
  • Referee Richard Naumovski (Australia)
19 games this season 🟨 1.8/game 6.1 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Adelaide United FC
#4 Position #2
40 Points 43
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 12 / 7 / 7
44 Scored 46
33 Conceded 36
+11 GD +10
1.54 PPG 1.65
42% Win % 46%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
11% Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Adelaide United FC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
/1
46-60
/2
61-75
4/
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
Nikolaos Vergos 7 G 1 A
Clarismario 6 G
Mata 5 G 12 A
Keegan Jelacic 5 G 2 A
Charles Nduka 5 G 2 A
Adelaide United FC
Luka Jovanovic 11 G 3 A
Johnny Yull 4 G 5 A
Ethan Alagich 4 G 4 A
Ryan Kitto 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at AAMI Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Melbourne Victory FC and Adelaide United FC.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' Australia international Nick Ansell has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' Melbourne Victory FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
  • 16' The whistle greets Adama Traore as he departs to be replaced by Stefan Nigro.
  • 21' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 22' That looks like a foul for a card for Panashe Madanha.
  • 27' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 28' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Bruno Fornaroli makes it 1-0.
  • 33' It looks surprising Melbourne Victory FC does not make any changes. Zinedine Machach has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 38' Fabian Monge needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 43' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 46' Giuseppe Bovalina is ready to make an impact after coming on for Panashe Madanha at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' Melbourne Victory FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 56' Ryan Kitto is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Melbourne Victory FC tonight.
  • 58' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Roderick Miranda.
  • 59' Magnificent from Hiroshi Ibusuki! That is 43 goals in 418 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 63' A meaty challenge results in booking for Roderick Miranda on 63.
  • 64' A change in the Adelaide United FC ranks — Ben Halloran exits the field as Ryan Tunnicliffe enters on 64.
  • 69' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 70' Chris Ikonomidis is ready to make an impact after coming on for Bruno Fornaroli at the 70 minute mark.
  • 71' Melbourne Victory FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Franco Lino is hanging Fabian Monge on the field on 71 minute.
  • 72' Fresh legs for Adelaide United FC! Musa Toure comes on to replace Hiroshi Ibusuki.
  • 77' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 3 times this season with Adelaide United FC winning 33.33% of all matches.
  • 79' That is a card for Adelaide United FC. Nestor Irankunda will be fuming at that decision.
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for Ben Folami. He replaces Nishan Velupillay on 80 minute.
  • 84' Another substitution for Adelaide United FC to replace Alexandar Popovic by Lachlan Barr on 84 minute.
  • 89' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 90' Rai Marchan has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Melbourne Victory FC 1-1 Adelaide United FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.66 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC 74% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC44% Draw26% Adelaide United FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
56%
Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC32% Draw44% Adelaide United FC24%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 20% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
27%
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.