Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2023-24
Sat 4 Nov 2023 · 08:45 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Alex King
  • Referee Richard Naumovski (Australia)

Recent Form

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Adelaide United FC
#4 Position #2
40 Points 43
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 12 / 7 / 7
44 Scored 46
33 Conceded 36
+11 GD +10
1.54 PPG 1.65
42% Win % 46%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at AAMI Park. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Adelaide United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' Melbourne Victory FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Adelaide United FC backline.
  • 15' Melbourne Victory FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Adelaide United FC's shape.
  • 16' The whistle greets Adama Traore as he departs to be replaced by Stefan Nigro.
  • 21' A quiet spell here at AAMI Park. Adelaide United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 22' Panashe Madanha has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 22.
  • 27' The travelling Adelaide United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 28' Bruno Fornaroli puts Melbourne Victory FC on the lead.
  • 33' Alexandar Popovic, a Australia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 38' It’s high time Tony Popović made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 43' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 46' Giuseppe Bovalina has so much to prove this time. He replaces Panashe Madanha on 46 minute.
  • 51' Adelaide United FC have won 368 goals from 233 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 56' The 25-year-old Nishan Velupillay has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 58' Roderick Miranda was booked on 58.
  • 59' A goal from the Japan international Hiroshi Ibusuki! He fires home on 59 to make it 1-1!
  • 63' Poor challenge from Roderick Miranda. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 64' A tactical swap from Adelaide United FC — Ryan Tunnicliffe on, Ben Halloran off on 64 minutes.
  • 69' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Melbourne Victory FC that had 210 games and scored 299 goals.
  • 70' Chris Ikonomidis has so much to prove this time. He replaces Bruno Fornaroli on 70 minute.
  • 71' It is a substitution in Melbourne Victory FC team. Fabian Monge is replaced by Franco Lino on 71 minute.
  • 72' Adelaide United FC ring the changes. Hiroshi Ibusuki has done his job and it is now time for Musa Toure to step up.
  • 77' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Paul Izzo suffering a number of foals already.
  • 79' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nestor Irankunda on 79.
  • 80' Another substitution for Melbourne Victory FC to replace Nishan Velupillay by Ben Folami on 80 minute.
  • 84' Another change for Adelaide United FC made on 84 minute. Alexandar Popovic leaves to be changed by Lachlan Barr.
  • 89' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Rai Marchan.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Melbourne Victory FC 1-1 Adelaide United FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.66 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC 74% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC44% Draw26% Adelaide United FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
56%
Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC32% Draw44% Adelaide United FC24%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 20% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.