Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2023-24

Melbourne Victory FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Adelaide United FC

Sat 4 Nov 2023 · 08:45 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 22' Panashe Madanha

Roderick Miranda 58' Y

Roderick Miranda 63' YR

Y 79' Nestor Irankunda

Rai Marchan 90' Y

YR 90' Nestor Irankunda

Connor Chapman 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Alex King
Referee Richard Naumovski (Australia)

19 games this season 🟨 1.8/game ⚽ 6.1 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 24 games · Avg 2.8 goals Adelaide United FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-11-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC 2023-02-26 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC 2023-01-14 Adelaide United FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2022-11-11 Adelaide United FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2022-04-02 Adelaide United FC 0–1 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Nov	Adelaide United FC	H	1–1	D
29 Oct	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	5–3	W
21 Oct	Sydney FC	A	2–0	W
29 Apr	Brisbane Roar FC	H	0–1	L
23 Apr	Macarthur FC	H	2–1	W
15 Apr	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	1–2	L

Adelaide United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Nov	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–1	D
29 Oct	Melbourne City FC	H	6–0	W
20 Oct	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	3–0	W
20 May	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	0–2	L
13 May	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	1–2	L
05 May	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Adelaide United FC
#4	Position	#2
40	Points	43
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	12 / 7 / 7
44	Scored	46
33	Conceded	36
+11	GD	+10
1.54	PPG	1.65
42%	Win %	46%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

11% Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Adelaide United FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/2

61-75

4/–

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Adelaide United FC

Luka Jovanovic	11 G	3 A
Johnny Yull	4 G	5 A
Ethan Alagich	4 G	4 A
Ryan Kitto	3 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Melbourne Victory FC is hosting Adelaide United FC for another epic battle.
5' Bruno Fornaroli has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
10' Hiroshi Ibusuki has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 12 cards already picked up this season.
15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
16' Melbourne Victory FC make a change. Adama Traore trudges off to be replaced by Stefan Nigro on 16 minutes.
21' Giuseppe Bovalina has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
22' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Panashe Madanha.
27' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
28' Bruno Fornaroli adds to his 0 season tally! Melbourne Victory FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
33' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
38' Melbourne Victory FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
43' Melbourne Victory FC have won 299 goals from 210 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
46' The Adelaide United FC manager makes a substitution. Panashe Madanha departs to be replaced by Giuseppe Bovalina.
51' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
56' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Melbourne Victory FC and Adelaide United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
58' Roderick Miranda picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
59' Assisted by Zach Clough with the perfectly-timed delivery and Hiroshi Ibusuki makes no mistake. 1-1!
63' The referee has no hesitation. Roderick Miranda is booked for Melbourne Victory FC — card on 63.
64' Adelaide United FC make a change. Ben Halloran trudges off to be replaced by Ryan Tunnicliffe on 64 minutes.
69' Fabian Monge is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Melbourne Victory FC tonight.
70' A tactical swap from Melbourne Victory FC — Chris Ikonomidis on, Bruno Fornaroli off on 70 minutes.
71' Time for substitution for Melbourne Victory FC. Fabian Monge is replaced by Franco Lino.
72' Adelaide United FC make a change. Hiroshi Ibusuki trudges off to be replaced by Musa Toure on 72 minutes.
77' Adelaide United FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 3 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
79' Adelaide United FC player sees a card in front of him.
80' The Melbourne Victory FC manager makes a substitution. Nishan Velupillay departs to be replaced by Ben Folami.
84' Alexandar Popovic makes way for Lachlan Barr at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from Adelaide United FC.
89' The 24-year-old Ryan Teague has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
90' The referee has no hesitation. Rai Marchan is booked for Melbourne Victory FC — card on 90.
The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

5
Damien da Silva
8
Zinedine Machach
20
Paul Izzo
21
Roderick Miranda
19
Daniel Arzani ↓ Rai Marchan 70'
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↓ Chris Ikonomidis 70'
3
Adama Traore ↓ Stefan Nigro 16'
14
Connor Chapman
12
Ryan Teague
17
Nishan Velupillay ↓ Ben Folami 80'
18
Fabian Monge

Bench

11
Ben Folami ↑ 80'
16
Stefan Nigro ↑ 16'
22
Jake Brimmer
7
Chris Ikonomidis ↑ 70'
4
Rai Marchan ↑ 70'
40
Christian Siciliano

Coach Tony Popović

Adelaide United FC Lineups

Starting XI

10
Zach Clough
4
Nick Ansell
46
Joe Gauci
7
Ryan Kitto
26
Ben Halloran ↓ Ryan Tunnicliffe 64'
9
Hiroshi Ibusuki ↓ Musa Toure 72'
66
Nestor Irankunda
8
Isaias Sanchez ↓ Bernardo Oliveira 64'
41
Alexandar Popovic ↓ Lachlan Barr 84'
36
Panashe Madanha ↓ Giuseppe Bovalina 46'
37
Johnny Yull

Bench

22
Ryan Tunnicliffe ↑ 64'
13
Lachlan Barr ↑ 84'
1
James Delianov
23
Luke Duzel
31
Bernardo Oliveira ↑ 64'
43
Giuseppe Bovalina ↑ 46'
49
Musa Toure ↑ 72'

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Fornaroli	6
Marco Rojas	4
Craig Goodwin	4
Stefan Mauk	3
Besart Berisha	3
Hiroshi Ibusuki	3
Nikolaos Vergos	2
Riley McGree	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2023-11-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC D 2023-10-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–3 Newcastle United Jets FC W 2023-10-21 Sydney FC 0–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2023-04-29 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Brisbane Roar FC L 2023-04-23 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Macarthur FC W 2023-04-15 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC L

Adelaide United FC Form

2023-11-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC D 2023-10-29 Adelaide United FC 6–0 Melbourne City FC W 2023-10-20 Adelaide United FC 3–0 Central Coast Mariners FC W 2023-05-20 Central Coast Mariners FC 2–0 Adelaide United FC L 2023-05-13 Adelaide United FC 1–2 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2023-05-05 Adelaide United FC 2–0 Wellington Phoenix FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.66 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.34 Adelaide United FC xG

I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC 74% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC44% Draw26% Adelaide United FC30%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

71%

Draw or Adelaide United FC

56%

Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC32% Draw44% Adelaide United FC24%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

8.8%

1 – 0

7.4%

1 – 2

7.1%

2 – 0

6.8%

0 – 0

6.7%

2 – 2

5.9%

0 – 1

5.8%

3 – 1

4.9%

0 – 2

4.4%

3 – 0

3.7%

3 – 2

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	13%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	20%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	16%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	9%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.