Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2023-24

Melbourne Victory FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Adelaide United FC

Sat 4 Nov 2023 · 08:45 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 22' Panashe Madanha

Roderick Miranda 58' Y

Roderick Miranda 63' YR

Y 79' Nestor Irankunda

Rai Marchan 90' Y

YR 90' Nestor Irankunda

Connor Chapman 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne Victory FC 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
Adelaide United FC 3 games · 1 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Alex King
Referee Richard Naumovski (Australia)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Wellington Phoenix FC	4	10
2	Sydney FC	4	7
3	Brisbane Roar FC	3	7
4	Melbourne City FC	4	7
5	Perth Glory FC	4	6
6	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	4	5
7	Macarthur FC	4	5
8	Auckland FC	4	5
9	Melbourne Victory FC	4	3
10	Newcastle United Jets FC	4	2
11	Central Coast Mariners FC	4	2
12	Adelaide United FC	3	1

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 25 games · Avg 2.8 goals Adelaide United FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-11-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC 2023-02-26 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC 2023-01-14 Adelaide United FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2022-11-11 Adelaide United FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2022-04-02 Adelaide United FC 0–1 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Nov	Adelaide United FC	H	1–1	D
29 Oct	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	5–3	W
21 Oct	Sydney FC	A	2–0	W
29 Apr	Brisbane Roar FC	H	0–1	L
23 Apr	Macarthur FC	H	2–1	W
15 Apr	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	1–2	L

Adelaide United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Nov	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–1	D
29 Oct	Melbourne City FC	H	6–0	W
20 Oct	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	3–0	W
20 May	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	0–2	L
13 May	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	1–2	L
05 May	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Adelaide United FC
#9	Position	#12
3	Points	1
4	Played	3
0 / 3 / 1	W / D / L	0 / 1 / 2
5	Scored	3
6	Conceded	8
-1	GD	-5
0.75	PPG	0.33
0%	Win %	0%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

0% Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 9th (3 pts). Adelaide United FC are 12th (1 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/1

61-75

3/1

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Adelaide United FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/2

31-45

1/1

46-60

–/–

61-75

–/4

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

Keegan Jelacic	2 G
Jordi Valadon	2 G
Charles Nduka	1 G	2 A

Adelaide United FC

Brody Burkitt	2 G
Joey Garuccio	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to AAMI Park that hosts another battle between Melbourne Victory FC and Adelaide United FC.
5' Adelaide United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
10' It is a cagey affair so far. Melbourne Victory FC in their trying to find a way past Adelaide United FC's compact .
15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
16' Stefan Nigro has so much to prove this time. He replaces Adama Traore on 16 minute.
21' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Adelaide United FC that had 236 games and scored 371 goals.
22' It’s gonna be a card for Panashe Madanha.
27' Zinedine Machach is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Melbourne Victory FC tonight.
28' A goal from the Australia international Bruno Fornaroli! He fires home on 28 to make it 1-0!
33' Bernardo Oliveira has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
38' A quiet spell here at AAMI Park. Adelaide United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
43' Supporters expect more eagerness from Nick Ansell, as he is very good at scoring at AAMI Park with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
46' The whistle greets Panashe Madanha as he departs to be replaced by Giuseppe Bovalina.
51' Melbourne Victory FC have won 304 goals from 214 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
56' Adelaide United FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
58' A moment of madness from Roderick Miranda on 58 minutes earns him a card. Melbourne Victory FC will be frustrated.
59' What a moment for Hiroshi Ibusuki! That strike on 59 puts his side firmly in control.
63' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Roderick Miranda on 63 minutes.
64' Adelaide United FC make a change. Ben Halloran trudges off to be replaced by Ryan Tunnicliffe on 64 minutes.
69' The travelling Adelaide United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
70' Another change for Melbourne Victory FC made on 70 minute. Bruno Fornaroli leaves to be changed by Chris Ikonomidis.
71' Another substitution for Melbourne Victory FC to replace Fabian Monge by Franco Lino on 71 minute.
72' Adelaide United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Musa Toure is hanging Hiroshi Ibusuki on the field on 72 minute.
77' Melbourne Victory FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
79' A moment of madness from Nestor Irankunda on 79 minutes earns him a card. Adelaide United FC will be frustrated.
80' Another change for Melbourne Victory FC made on 80 minute. Nishan Velupillay leaves to be changed by Ben Folami.
84' The Adelaide United FC manager makes a substitution. Alexandar Popovic departs to be replaced by Lachlan Barr.
89' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Melbourne Victory FC and Adelaide United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
90' Rai Marchan was booked on 90.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Melbourne Victory FC 1-1 Adelaide United FC.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

5
Damien da Silva
8
Zinedine Machach
20
Paul Izzo
21
Roderick Miranda
19
Daniel Arzani ↓ Rai Marchan 70'
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↓ Chris Ikonomidis 70'
3
Adama Traore ↓ Stefan Nigro 16'
14
Connor Chapman
12
Ryan Teague
17
Nishan Velupillay ↓ Ben Folami 80'
18
Fabian Monge

Bench

11
Ben Folami ↑ 80'
16
Stefan Nigro ↑ 16'
22
Jake Brimmer
7
Chris Ikonomidis ↑ 70'
4
Rai Marchan ↑ 70'
40
Christian Siciliano

Coach Tony Popović

Adelaide United FC Lineups

Starting XI

10
Zach Clough
4
Nick Ansell
46
Joe Gauci
7
Ryan Kitto
26
Ben Halloran ↓ Ryan Tunnicliffe 64'
9
Hiroshi Ibusuki ↓ Musa Toure 72'
66
Nestor Irankunda
8
Isaias Sanchez ↓ Bernardo Oliveira 64'
41
Alexandar Popovic ↓ Lachlan Barr 84'
36
Panashe Madanha ↓ Giuseppe Bovalina 46'
37
Johnny Yull

Bench

22
Ryan Tunnicliffe ↑ 64'
13
Lachlan Barr ↑ 84'
1
James Delianov
23
Luke Duzel
31
Bernardo Oliveira ↑ 64'
43
Giuseppe Bovalina ↑ 46'
49
Musa Toure ↑ 72'

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Fornaroli	6
Marco Rojas	4
Craig Goodwin	4
Stefan Mauk	3
Besart Berisha	3
Hiroshi Ibusuki	3
Ola Toivonen	2
Leroy George	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2023-11-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC D 2023-10-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–3 Newcastle United Jets FC W 2023-10-21 Sydney FC 0–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2023-04-29 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Brisbane Roar FC L 2023-04-23 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Macarthur FC W 2023-04-15 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC L

Adelaide United FC Form

2023-11-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC D 2023-10-29 Adelaide United FC 6–0 Melbourne City FC W 2023-10-20 Adelaide United FC 3–0 Central Coast Mariners FC W 2023-05-20 Central Coast Mariners FC 2–0 Adelaide United FC L 2023-05-13 Adelaide United FC 1–2 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2023-05-05 Adelaide United FC 2–0 Wellington Phoenix FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.08 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.1 Adelaide United FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC55% Draw24% Adelaide United FC21%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 3.18

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	39%	61%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

79%

Draw or Adelaide United FC

45%

Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC42% Draw41% Adelaide United FC17%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

9.5%

2 – 0

8.9%

1 – 0

8.1%

3 – 1

6.6%

3 – 0

0 – 0

5.7%

2 – 2

5.2%

1 – 2

5.1%

0 – 1

3.9%

3 – 2

3.7%

4 – 1

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	18%	64%
-1.5	36%	—	64%
-1	36%	22%	42%
-0.5	58%	—	42%
+0.5	81%	—	19%
+1	81%	11%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.