Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League at AAMI Park.
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Alex King
- Referee Richard Naumovski (Australia)
19 games this season
🟨 1.8/game
⚽ 6.1 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov | Adelaide United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Oct | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 5–3 | W |
| 21 Oct | Sydney FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Brisbane Roar FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Apr | Macarthur FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Apr | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Oct | Melbourne City FC | H | 6–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | Central Coast Mariners FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 20 May | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 13 May | Central Coast Mariners FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 05 May | Wellington Phoenix FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Adelaide United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #2 |
| 40 | Points | 43 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 12 / 7 / 7 |
| 44 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 36 |
| +11 | GD | +10 |
| 1.54 | PPG | 1.65 |
| 42% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season
Adelaide United FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Adelaide United FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
4/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Adelaide United FC
| Luka Jovanovic | 11 G | 3 A |
| Johnny Yull | 4 G | 5 A |
| Ethan Alagich | 4 G | 4 A |
| Ryan Kitto | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at AAMI Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Melbourne Victory FC and Adelaide United FC.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' Australia international Nick Ansell has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 15' Melbourne Victory FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
- 16' The whistle greets Adama Traore as he departs to be replaced by Stefan Nigro.
- 21' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 22' That looks like a foul for a card for Panashe Madanha.
- 27' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 28' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Bruno Fornaroli makes it 1-0.
- 33' It looks surprising Melbourne Victory FC does not make any changes. Zinedine Machach has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 38' Fabian Monge needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 43' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 46' Giuseppe Bovalina is ready to make an impact after coming on for Panashe Madanha at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' Melbourne Victory FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 56' Ryan Kitto is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Melbourne Victory FC tonight.
- 58' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Roderick Miranda.
- 59' Magnificent from Hiroshi Ibusuki! That is 43 goals in 418 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 63' A meaty challenge results in booking for Roderick Miranda on 63.
- 64' A change in the Adelaide United FC ranks — Ben Halloran exits the field as Ryan Tunnicliffe enters on 64.
- 69' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 70' Chris Ikonomidis is ready to make an impact after coming on for Bruno Fornaroli at the 70 minute mark.
- 71' Melbourne Victory FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Franco Lino is hanging Fabian Monge on the field on 71 minute.
- 72' Fresh legs for Adelaide United FC! Musa Toure comes on to replace Hiroshi Ibusuki.
- 77' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 3 times this season with Adelaide United FC winning 33.33% of all matches.
- 79' That is a card for Adelaide United FC. Nestor Irankunda will be fuming at that decision.
- 80' The supporters are chanting for Ben Folami. He replaces Nishan Velupillay on 80 minute.
- 84' Another substitution for Adelaide United FC to replace Alexandar Popovic by Lachlan Barr on 84 minute.
- 89' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 90' Rai Marchan has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Melbourne Victory FC 1-1 Adelaide United FC.
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 8
- 20
- 21
-
19
Daniel Arzani ↓ Rai Marchan 70'
- 10
-
3
Adama Traore ↓ Stefan Nigro 16'
- 14
- 12
-
17
Nishan Velupillay ↓ Ben Folami 80'
- 18
Bench
-
11
Ben Folami ↑ 80'
-
16
Stefan Nigro ↑ 16'
- 22
-
7
Chris Ikonomidis ↑ 70'
-
4
Rai Marchan ↑ 70'
- 40
Coach
Tony Popović
Adelaide United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 4
- 46
- 7
-
26
Ben Halloran ↓ Ryan Tunnicliffe 64'
-
9
Hiroshi Ibusuki ↓ Musa Toure 72'
- 66
- 8
- 41
- 36
- 37
Bench
-
22
Ryan Tunnicliffe ↑ 64'
-
13
Lachlan Barr ↑ 84'
- 1
- 23
-
31
Bernardo Oliveira ↑ 64'
-
43
Giuseppe Bovalina ↑ 46'
-
49
Musa Toure ↑ 72'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Fornaroli | 6 |
| Marco Rojas | 4 |
| Craig Goodwin | 4 |
| Stefan Mauk | 3 |
| Besart Berisha | 3 |
| Hiroshi Ibusuki | 3 |
| Ola Toivonen | 2 |
| Leroy George | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2023-11-04
Melbourne Victory FC
1–1
Adelaide United FC
D
2023-10-29
Melbourne Victory FC
5–3
Newcastle United Jets FC
W
2023-10-21
Sydney FC
0–2
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2023-04-29
Melbourne Victory FC
0–1
Brisbane Roar FC
L
2023-04-23
Melbourne Victory FC
2–1
Macarthur FC
W
2023-04-15
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
2–1
Melbourne Victory FC
L
Adelaide United FC Form
2023-11-04
Melbourne Victory FC
1–1
Adelaide United FC
D
2023-10-29
Adelaide United FC
6–0
Melbourne City FC
W
2023-10-20
Adelaide United FC
3–0
Central Coast Mariners FC
W
2023-05-20
Central Coast Mariners FC
2–0
Adelaide United FC
L
2023-05-13
Adelaide United FC
1–2
Central Coast Mariners FC
L
2023-05-05
Adelaide United FC
2–0
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.66
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34
Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for:
Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC 74% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
56%
Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Adelaide United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 20% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 16% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

