Thursday , 1 October 2026

Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2022-23
Sat 14 Jan 2023 · 08:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

Season Stats

Adelaide United FC Melbourne Victory FC
#2 Position #4
43 Points 40
26 Played 26
12 / 7 / 7 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 8
46 Scored 44
36 Conceded 33
+10 GD +11
1.65 PPG 1.54
46% Win % 42%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at . Adelaide United FC are looking to make home advantage count against Melbourne Victory FC.
  • 5' North Macedonia international Matthew Bozinovski has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 7' Goal! Craig Goodwin scores his 44 goal in 233 matches.
  • 12' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 17' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Chris Ikonomidis made 209 appearances and scored 25 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 18' Melbourne Victory FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 20' Javi Lopez was booked on 20.
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Adelaide United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Anthony Popovic will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 35' A quiet spell here at . Melbourne Victory FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 40' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jason Geria, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 45' Juande has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 45.
  • 49' Nicholas D'Agostino is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 52' Controversy at the stadium! Alexandar Popovic argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 57' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 59' Noah Smith makes way for Jay Barnett at the 59 minute mark. A tactical switch from Melbourne Victory FC.
  • 60' Louis D'Arrigo is having his name booked by the referee on 60.
  • 61' Adelaide United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ethan Alagich is hanging Zach Clough on the field on 61 minute.
  • 66' Melbourne Victory FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 69' George Blackwood is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hiroshi Ibusuki at the 69 minute mark.
  • 72' Time for substitution for Melbourne Victory FC. Joshua Brillante is replaced by Raimon Marchan.
  • 77' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 78' William Wilson is replacing Raimon Marchan for the Melbourne Victory FC side.
  • 83' Both keepers have barely been tested. Adelaide United FC and Melbourne Victory FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 84' Fresh legs for Melbourne Victory FC! Lleyton Brooks comes on to replace Jake Brimmer.
  • 86' Melbourne Victory FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 86.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Ethan Alagich argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.6 Adelaide United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Adelaide United FC48% Draw27% Melbourne Victory FC25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Adelaide United FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
52%
Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Adelaide United FC34% Draw46% Melbourne Victory FC20%
Actual: Adelaide United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
8.5%
2 – 0
8.2%
0 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC

Handicap Adelaide United FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.