Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League .
- Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan | Melbourne Victory FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Jan | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 02 Jan | Perth Glory FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Dec | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Dec | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 09 Dec | Brisbane Roar FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan | Adelaide United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Jan | Brisbane Roar FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Dec | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Dec | Western United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Dec | Macarthur FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Nov | Adelaide United FC | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Adelaide United FC | Melbourne Victory FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #4 |
| 43 | Points | 40 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 12 / 7 / 7 | W / D / L | 11 / 7 / 8 |
| 46 | Scored | 44 |
| 36 | Conceded | 33 |
| +10 | GD | +11 |
| 1.65 | PPG | 1.54 |
| 46% | Win % | 42% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season
Adelaide United FC this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Adelaide United FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
4/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Adelaide United FC
| Luka Jovanovic | 11 G | 3 A |
| Johnny Yull | 4 G | 5 A |
| Ethan Alagich | 4 G | 4 A |
| Ryan Kitto | 3 G | 1 A |
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Adelaide United FC and Melbourne Victory FC has kicked off!
- 5' Panashe Madanha has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 7' What composure from Craig Goodwin! The Australia international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 12' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 17' It looks like no one’s ball. Melbourne Victory FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 18' Melbourne Victory FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 18.
- 20' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Javi Lopez.
- 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. Adelaide United FC and Melbourne Victory FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Adelaide United FC that had 233 games and scored 368 goals.
- 35' Melbourne Victory FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 45' The referee has no hesitation. Juande is booked for Adelaide United FC — Yellow card on 45.
- 49' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Nicholas D'Agostino makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 52' It’s a booking for Adelaide United FC player. Alexandar Popovic gets a Yellow card.
- 57' Melbourne Victory FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 3 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 59' The supporters are chanting for Jay Barnett. He replaces Noah Smith on 59 minute.
- 60' Controversy at the stadium! Louis D'Arrigo argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 61' The supporters are chanting for Ethan Alagich. He replaces Zach Clough on 61 minute.
- 66' Adelaide United FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Melbourne Victory FC backline.
- 69' George Blackwood has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hiroshi Ibusuki on 69 minute.
- 72' Joshua Brillante makes way for Raimon Marchan at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from Melbourne Victory FC.
- 77' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Javi Lopez suffering a number of foals already.
- 78' The Melbourne Victory FC bench stirs into life. Raimon Marchan is withdrawn and William Wilson gets his opportunity.
- 83' Adelaide United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 84' Melbourne Victory FC ring the changes. Jake Brimmer has done his job and it is now time for Lleyton Brooks to step up.
- 86' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Nicholas D'Agostino.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Ethan Alagich is booked for Adelaide United FC — Yellow card on 90.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Adelaide United FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Zach Clough ↓ Ethan Alagich 61'
- 21
- 46
- 28
- 7
- 6
- 11
- 26
- 9
- 41
- 36
Bench
-
14
George Blackwood ↑ 69'
- 1
- 27
-
66
Nestor Irankunda ↑ 69'
- 47
-
55
Ethan Alagich ↑ 61'
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Ben Folami ↓ Nishan Velupillay 84'
- 18
- 1
- 6
-
22
Jake Brimmer ↓ Lleyton Brooks 84'
- 7
- 5
- 31
- 2
-
25
Noah Smith ↓ Jay Barnett 59'
- 8
Bench
- 10
-
14
Jay Barnett ↑ 59'
-
26
Lleyton Brooks ↑ 84'
-
24
Nishan Velupillay ↑ 84'
- 28
- 30
-
4
Raimon Marchan ↑ 72'
Coach
Anthony Popovic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Fornaroli | 6 |
| Marco Rojas | 4 |
| Craig Goodwin | 4 |
| Besart Berisha | 3 |
| Hiroshi Ibusuki | 3 |
| Stefan Mauk | 3 |
| Ola Toivonen | 2 |
| Leroy George | 2 |
Head to Head
Adelaide United FC Form
2023-01-14
Adelaide United FC
1–1
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2023-01-07
Central Coast Mariners FC
4–0
Adelaide United FC
L
2023-01-02
Adelaide United FC
2–0
Perth Glory FC
W
2022-12-27
Adelaide United FC
0–1
Newcastle United Jets FC
L
2022-12-17
Wellington Phoenix FC
3–1
Adelaide United FC
L
2022-12-09
Brisbane Roar FC
1–1
Adelaide United FC
D
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2023-01-14
Adelaide United FC
1–1
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2023-01-06
Melbourne Victory FC
0–1
Brisbane Roar FC
L
2022-12-31
Central Coast Mariners FC
2–1
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2022-12-26
Western United FC
1–0
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2022-12-11
Macarthur FC
0–1
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2022-11-11
Adelaide United FC
3–0
Melbourne Victory FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.6
Adelaide United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Adelaide United FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
52%
Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Adelaide United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
8.5%
2 – 0
8.2%
0 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC
| Handicap | Adelaide United FC covers | Push | Melbourne Victory FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 22% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.