Sunday , 16 August 2026

Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2022-23
Sat 14 Jan 2023 · 08:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

Season Stats

Adelaide United FC Melbourne Victory FC
#2 Position #4
43 Points 40
26 Played 26
12 / 7 / 7 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 8
46 Scored 44
36 Conceded 33
+10 GD +11
1.65 PPG 1.54
46% Win % 42%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season
23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Adelaide United FC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
/1
46-60
/2
61-75
4/
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Adelaide United FC
Luka Jovanovic 11 G 3 A
Johnny Yull 4 G 5 A
Ethan Alagich 4 G 4 A
Ryan Kitto 3 G 1 A
Melbourne Victory FC
Nikolaos Vergos 7 G 1 A
Clarismario 6 G
Mata 5 G 12 A
Keegan Jelacic 5 G 2 A
Charles Nduka 5 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.6 Adelaide United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Adelaide United FC48% Draw27% Melbourne Victory FC25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Adelaide United FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
52%
Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Adelaide United FC34% Draw46% Melbourne Victory FC20%
Actual: Adelaide United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
8.5%
2 – 0
8.2%
0 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC

Handicap Adelaide United FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.