Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League .
- Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan | Melbourne Victory FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Jan | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 02 Jan | Perth Glory FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Dec | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Dec | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 09 Dec | Brisbane Roar FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan | Adelaide United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Jan | Brisbane Roar FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Dec | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Dec | Western United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Dec | Macarthur FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Nov | Adelaide United FC | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Adelaide United FC | Melbourne Victory FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #4 |
| 43 | Points | 40 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 12 / 7 / 7 | W / D / L | 11 / 7 / 8 |
| 46 | Scored | 44 |
| 36 | Conceded | 33 |
| +10 | GD | +11 |
| 1.65 | PPG | 1.54 |
| 46% | Win % | 42% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season
Adelaide United FC this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Adelaide United FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
4/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Adelaide United FC
| Luka Jovanovic | 11 G | 3 A |
| Johnny Yull | 4 G | 5 A |
| Ethan Alagich | 4 G | 4 A |
| Ryan Kitto | 3 G | 1 A |
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Melbourne Victory FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 7' Craig Goodwin does the damage! The net is bulging and Adelaide United FC surge ahead!
- 12' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 17' Nicholas D'Agostino, a Australia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 18' Melbourne Victory FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 18.
- 20' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Javi Lopez.
- 25' Ryan Kitto has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 30' Melbourne Victory FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 3 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 3 times this season with Melbourne Victory FC winning 33.33% of all matches.
- 40' Lleyton Brooks has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 45' Juande picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 49' Nicholas D'Agostino has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 49 minutes.
- 52' Alexandar Popovic is having his name booked by the referee on 52.
- 57' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 59' It is a substitution in Melbourne Victory FC team. Noah Smith is replaced by Jay Barnett on 59 minute.
- 60' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Louis D'Arrigo.
- 61' Adelaide United FC make a change. Zach Clough trudges off to be replaced by Ethan Alagich on 61 minutes.
- 66' Leigh Broxham needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 69' Adelaide United FC make a change. Hiroshi Ibusuki trudges off to be replaced by George Blackwood on 69 minutes.
- 72' Joshua Brillante makes way for Raimon Marchan at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from Melbourne Victory FC.
- 77' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 78' Melbourne Victory FC make a change. Raimon Marchan trudges off to be replaced by William Wilson on 78 minutes.
- 83' Adelaide United FC is showing some good football. However, Adelaide United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 84' A tactical swap from Melbourne Victory FC — Lleyton Brooks on, Jake Brimmer off on 84 minutes.
- 86' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Nicholas D'Agostino.
- 90' The referee shows Adelaide United FC player a Yellow card on 90.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
Adelaide United FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Zach Clough ↓ Ethan Alagich 61'
- 21
- 46
- 28
- 7
- 6
- 11
- 26
- 9
- 41
- 36
Bench
-
14
George Blackwood ↑ 69'
- 1
- 27
-
66
Nestor Irankunda ↑ 69'
- 47
-
55
Ethan Alagich ↑ 61'
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Ben Folami ↓ Nishan Velupillay 84'
- 18
- 1
- 6
-
22
Jake Brimmer ↓ Lleyton Brooks 84'
- 7
- 5
- 31
- 2
-
25
Noah Smith ↓ Jay Barnett 59'
- 8
Bench
- 10
-
14
Jay Barnett ↑ 59'
-
26
Lleyton Brooks ↑ 84'
-
24
Nishan Velupillay ↑ 84'
- 28
- 30
-
4
Raimon Marchan ↑ 72'
Coach
Anthony Popovic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Fornaroli | 6 |
| Marco Rojas | 4 |
| Craig Goodwin | 4 |
| Stefan Mauk | 3 |
| Besart Berisha | 3 |
| Hiroshi Ibusuki | 3 |
| Vince Lia | 2 |
| Ola Toivonen | 2 |
Head to Head
Adelaide United FC Form
2023-01-14
Adelaide United FC
1–1
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2023-01-07
Central Coast Mariners FC
4–0
Adelaide United FC
L
2023-01-02
Adelaide United FC
2–0
Perth Glory FC
W
2022-12-27
Adelaide United FC
0–1
Newcastle United Jets FC
L
2022-12-17
Wellington Phoenix FC
3–1
Adelaide United FC
L
2022-12-09
Brisbane Roar FC
1–1
Adelaide United FC
D
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2023-01-14
Adelaide United FC
1–1
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2023-01-06
Melbourne Victory FC
0–1
Brisbane Roar FC
L
2022-12-31
Central Coast Mariners FC
2–1
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2022-12-26
Western United FC
1–0
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2022-12-11
Macarthur FC
0–1
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2022-11-11
Adelaide United FC
3–0
Melbourne Victory FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.6
Adelaide United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Adelaide United FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
52%
Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Adelaide United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
8.5%
2 – 0
8.2%
0 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC
| Handicap | Adelaide United FC covers | Push | Melbourne Victory FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 22% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

