Wednesday , 22 July 2026

Aarhus GF vs KKS Lech Poznan, Champions League Q 2026 QUALIFICATION

Tue 21 Jul 2026 · 17:00 UTC Ceres Park HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 29' Mikael Ishak
0–2 42' Patrik Walemark
Kristian Arnstad 55' 1–2
1–3 61' Terry Yegbe
1–4 65' Patrik Walemark

Overview

Match Preview

Aarhus GF vs KKS Lech PoznańChampions League Q at Ceres Park.

Head-to-Head

1
Aarhus GF 1 games · Avg 5.0 goals KKS Lech Poznan

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jul KKS Lech Poznan H 1–4 L
17 Sep NS Mura A 0–3 L
27 Aug Esport Honka H 5–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jul Aarhus GF A 4–1 W
12 Aug FK Crvena Zvezda A 1–1 D
06 Aug FK Crvena Zvezda H 1–3 L
30 Jul Breidablik UBK A 1–0 W
22 Jul Breidablik UBK H 7–1 W
12 Jul Qarabağ Ağdam FK A 1–5 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Aarhus GF this season
0% Clean Sheets
KKS Lech Poznan this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aarhus GF
0-15
/
16-30
/1
31-45
/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/2
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
KKS Lech Poznan
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
1/
46-60
/1
61-75
2/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Ceres Park that hosts another battle between Aarhus GF and KKS Lech Poznań.
  • 5' Magnus Knudsen has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 20' Wojciech Monka, a Poland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 29' Mikael Ishak doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 34' KKS Lech Poznań has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 37' Poor challenge from Jesper Hansen. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 40' A change in the Aarhus GF ranks — Sebastian Jorgensen exits the field as Mads Christiansen enters on 40.
  • 42' The Sweden Patrik Walemark breaks the deadlock on 42 minutes. 0-2!
  • 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Terry Yegbe.
  • 50' Radoslaw Murawski was booked on 50.
  • 53' Controversy at the stadium! Radoslaw Murawski argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 54' The crowd applauds Radoslaw Murawski as he leaves the pitch. Filip Jagiello steps in for KKS Lech Poznan.
  • 55' Kristian Arnstad does the damage! The net is bulging and Aarhus GF surge ahead!
  • 60' The 33-year-old Frederik Tingager has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 61' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Terry Yegbe makes it 1-3.
  • 65' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Patrik Walemark makes it 1-4.
  • 66' Another change for KKS Lech Poznan made on 66 minute. Mikael Ishak leaves to be changed by Yannick Agnero.
  • 71' KKS Lech Poznań looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Patrik Walemark scoring 2 goals.
  • 76' Aarhus GF currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 81' Michal Gurgul has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 86' It looks like no one’s ball. Aarhus GF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-4 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51 Aarhus GF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.15 KKS Lech Poznań xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aarhus GF28% Draw25% KKS Lech Poznań47%
Actual: KKS Lech Poznań win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.66
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

Aarhus GF or Draw
53%
Draw or KKS Lech Poznań
72%
Aarhus GF or KKS Lech Poznań
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aarhus GF22% Draw39% KKS Lech Poznań39%
Actual: KKS Lech Poznań win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 3
6.2%
2 – 1
6.1%
0 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5%
2 – 3
4.7%
0 – 3
4.2%
0 – 0
3.9%
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Aarhus GF

Handicap Aarhus GF covers Push KKS Lech Poznań covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 14% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 49% 51%
+1 49% 20% 31%
+1.5 69% 31%
+2 69% 15% 16%
+2.5 84% 16%

Clean Sheet

Aarhus GF keeps clean sheet
12%
KKS Lech Poznań keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.