Wednesday , 28 October 2026

Aarhus GF vs KKS Lech Poznań, Champions League Q 2026 QUALIFICATION

Tue 21 Jul 2026 · 17:00 UTC Ceres Park HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 29' Mikael Ishak
0–2 42' Patrik Walemark
Kristian Arnstad 55' 1–2
1–3 61' Terry Yegbe
1–4 65' Patrik Walemark

Overview

Match Preview

Aarhus GF vs KKS Lech Poznań — Champions League Q at Ceres Park.

Head-to-Head

1
1
Aarhus GF 2 games · Avg 5.0 goals KKS Lech Poznań

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jul KKS Lech Poznań H 1–4 L
17 Sep NS Mura A 0–3 L
27 Aug Esport Honka H 5–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jul Aarhus GF A 4–1 W
12 Aug FK Crvena Zvezda A 1–1 D
06 Aug FK Crvena Zvezda H 1–3 L
30 Jul Breidablik UBK A 1–0 W
22 Jul Breidablik UBK H 7–1 W
12 Jul Qarabag Agdam FK A 1–5 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Aarhus GF this season
0% Clean Sheets
KKS Lech Poznań this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aarhus GF
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
KKS Lech Poznań
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Aarhus GF
Kristian Arnstad 2 G 1 A
KKS Lech Poznań
Patrik Walemark 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Ceres Park will turn into a battlefield for Aarhus GF and KKS Lech Poznań.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' Aarhus GF are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined KKS Lech Poznań backline.
  • 15' The 23-year-old Kristian Arnstad has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 20' The travelling KKS Lech Poznań supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 25' Aarhus GF started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
  • 29' Assisted by Radoslaw Murawski with the perfectly-timed delivery and Mikael Ishak makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 34' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 37' That is a card for Aarhus GF. Jesper Hansen will be fuming at that decision.
  • 40' The Aarhus GF bench stirs into life. Sebastian Jorgensen is withdrawn and Mads Christiansen gets his opportunity.
  • 42' Patrik Walemark is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
  • 45' Terry Yegbe was booked on 45.
  • 50' That looks like a foul for a card for Radoslaw Murawski.
  • 53' KKS Lech Poznan receives a card for a hard tackle on 53.
  • 54' Filip Jagiello is replacing Radoslaw Murawski for the KKS Lech Poznan side.
  • 55' Brilliant from the ! Kristian Arnstad makes it 1-2 with a superb finish on 55.
  • 60' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Aarhus GF side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 61' A goal from the Ghana international Terry Yegbe! He fires home on 61 to make it 1-3!
  • 65' What a moment for Patrik Walemark! That strike on 65 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 66' KKS Lech Poznan make a change. Mikael Ishak trudges off to be replaced by Yannick Agnero on 66 minutes.
  • 71' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 76' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Michal Gurgul suffering a number of foals already.
  • 81' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 86' Aarhus GF are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against KKS Lech Poznań's shape.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-4 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51 Aarhus GF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.15 KKS Lech Poznań xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aarhus GF28% Draw25% KKS Lech Poznań47%
Actual: KKS Lech Poznań win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.66
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

Aarhus GF or Draw
53%
Draw or KKS Lech Poznań
72%
Aarhus GF or KKS Lech Poznań
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aarhus GF22% Draw39% KKS Lech Poznań39%
Actual: KKS Lech Poznań win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 3
6.2%
2 – 1
6.1%
0 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5%
2 – 3
4.7%
0 – 3
4.2%
0 – 0
3.9%
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Aarhus GF

Handicap Aarhus GF covers Push KKS Lech Poznań covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 14% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 49% — 51%
+1 49% 20% 31%
+1.5 69% — 31%
+2 69% 15% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

Aarhus GF keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
KKS Lech Poznań keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.