Saturday , 14 November 2026

AC Milan vs Genoa CFC, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
1 – 1
Full Time
Thu 8 Jan 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Genoa CFC — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Maurizio Mariani
7 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 11.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Jan Genoa CFC H 1–1 D
02 Jan Cagliari Calcio A 1–0 W
28 Dec Hellas Verona FC H 3–0 W
14 Dec US Sassuolo Calcio H 2–2 D
08 Dec Torino FC A 3–2 W
29 Nov SS Lazio H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Jan AC Milan A 1–1 D
03 Jan AC Pisa 1909 H 1–1 D
29 Dec AS Roma A 1–3 L
21 Dec Atalanta BC H 0–1 L
14 Dec FC Internazionale Milano H 1–2 L
08 Dec Udinese Calcio A 2–1 W

Season Stats

AC Milan Genoa CFC
#4 Position #13
24 Points 13
11 Played 11
7 / 3 / 1 W / D / L 4 / 1 / 6
23 Scored 11
13 Conceded 16
+10 GD -5
2.18 PPG 1.18
64% Win % 36%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
20% Clean Sheets
Genoa CFC this season

AC Milan are 4th (24 pts). Genoa CFC are 13th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Genoa CFC
0-15
4/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Adrien Rabiot 5 G 4 A
Alphadjo Cisse 5 G
Diego Moreira 4 G 3 A
Christian Pulisic 4 G 1 A
Goncalo Ramos 2 G 2 A
Genoa CFC
Milutin Osmajic 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

Genoa CFC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.95 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Genoa CFC xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan60% Draw23% Genoa CFC17%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
83%
Draw or Genoa CFC
40%
AC Milan or Genoa CFC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan43% Draw43% Genoa CFC14%
Actual: Genoa CFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.8%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.6%
3 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.2%
0 – 1
4.4%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
3.4%
4 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Genoa CFC covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 19% 63%
-1.5 37% — 63%
-1 37% 24% 39%
-0.5 61% — 39%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
42% ✓
Genoa CFC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.