AC Milan vs Genoa CFC, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Maurizio Mariani
14 games this season
🟨 1.0/game
⚽ 4.4 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan | Genoa CFC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Jan | Cagliari Calcio | A | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Dec | Hellas Verona FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Dec | US Sassuolo Calcio | H | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Dec | Torino FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Nov | SS Lazio | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan | AC Milan | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Jan | AC Pisa 1909 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Dec | AS Roma | A | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Dec | Atalanta BC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Dec | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | Udinese Calcio | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | Genoa CFC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #16 |
| 70 | Points | 41 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 20 / 10 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 11 / 17 |
| 53 | Scored | 41 |
| 35 | Conceded | 51 |
| +18 | GD | -10 |
| 1.84 | PPG | 1.08 |
| 53% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). Genoa CFC are 16th (41 pts).
Events
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Genoa CFC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mattia Destro | 3 |
| Junior Messias | 3 |
| Suso | 2 |
| Rafael Leao | 2 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 2 |
| Alessio Romagnoli | 2 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 1 |
| Ante Rebic | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.71
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92
Genoa CFC xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
81%
Draw or Genoa CFC
44%
AC Milan or Genoa CFC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Genoa CFC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.5%
2 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
9.1%
3 – 0
5.8%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
2.9%
3 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | Genoa CFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 17% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 24% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
41%
✓
Genoa CFC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

