Atalanta BC vs AS Roma, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2025-26

Atalanta BC

1 – 0

Full Time

AS Roma

Sat 3 Jan 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs AS Roma — Serie A .

Atalanta BC 38 games · 59 pts (2026/27)
AS Roma 38 games · 73 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Michael Fabbri

4 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 6.0 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Internazionale Milano	38	87
2	SSC Napoli	38	76
3	AS Roma	38	73
4	Como 1907	38	71
5	AC Milan	38	70
6	Juventus FC	38	69
7	Atalanta BC	38	59
8	Bologna FC 1909	38	56
9	SS Lazio	38	54
10	Udinese Calcio	38	50
11	US Sassuolo Calcio	38	49
12	Parma Calcio 1913	38	45
13	Torino FC	38	45
14	Cagliari Calcio	38	43
15	ACF Fiorentina	38	42
16	Genoa CFC	38	41
17	US Lecce	38	38
18	US Cremonese	38	34
19	Hellas Verona FC	38	21
20	AC Pisa 1909	38	18

Head-to-Head

Atalanta BC 16 games · Avg 3.0 goals AS Roma

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-03 Atalanta BC 1–0 AS Roma 2025-05-12 Atalanta BC 2–1 AS Roma 2024-12-02 AS Roma 0–2 Atalanta BC 2024-05-12 Atalanta BC 2–1 AS Roma 2024-01-07 AS Roma 1–1 Atalanta BC

Recent Form

Atalanta BC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Jan	AS Roma	H	1–0	W
28 Dec	FC Internazionale Milano	H	0–1	L
21 Dec	Genoa CFC	A	1–0	W
13 Dec	Cagliari Calcio	H	2–1	W
09 Dec	Chelsea FC	H	2–1	W
06 Dec	Hellas Verona FC	A	1–3	L

AS Roma

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Jan	Atalanta BC	A	0–1	L
29 Dec	Genoa CFC	H	3–1	W
20 Dec	Juventus FC	A	1–2	L
15 Dec	Como 1907	H	1–0	W
11 Dec	Celtic FC	A	3–0	W
07 Dec	Cagliari Calcio	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Atalanta BC		AS Roma
#7	Position	#3
59	Points	73
38	Played	38
15 / 14 / 9	W / D / L	23 / 4 / 11
51	Scored	59
36	Conceded	31
+15	GD	+28
1.55	PPG	1.92
39%	Win %	61%

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Atalanta BC are 7th (59 pts). AS Roma are 3rd (73 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Atalanta BC and AS Roma.
Another three points for Atalanta BC.

Lineups

Atalanta BC Lineups

AS Roma Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Edin Dzeko	4
Duvan Zapata	4
Tammy Abraham	3
Emiliano Rigoni	2
Bryan Cristante	2
Rafael Toloi	2
Marten de Roon	2
Emiliano Rigoni	2

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.19 Atalanta BC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.95 AS Roma xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Atalanta BC46% Draw29% AS Roma25%

Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes44% 0% No56%

Avg goals/match: 2.14

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	86%	14%
± 1.5	63%	37%
± 2.5	36%	64%
± 3.5	17%	83%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw

75%

Draw or AS Roma

54%

Atalanta BC or AS Roma

71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Atalanta BC27% Draw53% AS Roma20%

Actual: Atalanta BC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.2%

0 – 0

14.2%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

9.9%

2 – 0

2 – 1

7.7%

1 – 2

6.1%

0 – 2

5.1%

2 – 2

3.8%

3 – 0

3.1%

3 – 1

3.1%

1 – 3

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap	Atalanta BC covers	Push	AS Roma covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	12%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	22%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	17%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet

39% ✗

AS Roma keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.