Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AC Milan vs AS Roma, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
1 – 0
Full Time
Sun 2 Nov 2025 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs AS Roma — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Guida
5 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 11.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov AS Roma H 1–0 W
28 Oct Atalanta BC A 1–1 D
24 Oct AC Pisa 1909 H 2–2 D
19 Oct ACF Fiorentina H 2–1 W
05 Oct Juventus FC A 0–0 D
28 Sep SSC Napoli H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov AC Milan A 0–1 L
29 Oct Parma Calcio 1913 H 2–1 W
26 Oct US Sassuolo Calcio A 1–0 W
23 Oct FC Viktoria Plzen H 1–2 L
18 Oct FC Internazionale Milano H 0–1 L
05 Oct ACF Fiorentina A 2–1 W

Season Stats

AC Milan AS Roma
#5 Position #1
11 Points 13
5 Played 5
3 / 2 / 0 W / D / L 4 / 1 / 0
10 Scored 14
4 Conceded 3
+6 GD +11
2.20 PPG 2.60
60% Win % 80%

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
60% Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season

AC Milan are 5th (11 pts). AS Roma are 1st (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AS Roma
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • The points are shared — AC Milan 1-0 AS Roma. Honours even.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

AS Roma Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.01 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 AS Roma xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or AS Roma 71% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan34% Draw29% AS Roma37%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
64%
Draw or AS Roma
66%
AC Milan or AS Roma
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan20% Draw51% AS Roma29%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12.3%
0 – 1
11.8%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
8.1%
0 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
2.2%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push AS Roma covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 17% 73%
-0.5 27% — 73%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 22% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
28% ✗
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
37% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.