AC Milan vs AS Roma, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Marco Guida
13 games this season
🟨 0.9/game
⚽ 3.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | AS Roma | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | Atalanta BC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Oct | AC Pisa 1909 | H | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Oct | ACF Fiorentina | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Oct | Juventus FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Sep | SSC Napoli | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | AC Milan | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Oct | Parma Calcio 1913 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | US Sassuolo Calcio | A | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Oct | FC Viktoria Plzen | H | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Oct | ACF Fiorentina | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | AS Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #3 |
| 70 | Points | 73 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 20 / 10 / 8 | W / D / L | 23 / 4 / 11 |
| 53 | Scored | 59 |
| 35 | Conceded | 31 |
| +18 | GD | +28 |
| 1.84 | PPG | 1.92 |
| 53% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
83%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). AS Roma are 3rd (73 pts).
Events
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
AS Roma Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 5 |
| Franck Kessie | 3 |
| Tammy Abraham | 3 |
| Olivier Giroud | 3 |
| Gianluca Mancini | 3 |
| Jordan Veretout | 2 |
| Leandro Paredes | 2 |
| Alexis Saelemaekers | 2 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.07
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11
AS Roma xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan or AS Roma 70% + Under 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
68%
Draw or AS Roma
62%
AC Milan or AS Roma
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
13.6%
0 – 1
11.3%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
6.9%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
4%
1 – 3
2.7%
3 – 1
2.5%
0 – 3
2.5%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | AS Roma covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 19% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 20% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
34%
✗
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

