Saturday , 14 November 2026

AC Milan vs AS Roma, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
1 – 0
Full Time
Sun 2 Nov 2025 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs AS Roma — Serie A .

  • AC Milan 11 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
  • AS Roma 11 games · 27 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Guida
9 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 12.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov AS Roma H 1–0 W
28 Oct Atalanta BC A 1–1 D
24 Oct AC Pisa 1909 H 2–2 D
19 Oct ACF Fiorentina H 2–1 W
05 Oct Juventus FC A 0–0 D
28 Sep SSC Napoli H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov AC Milan A 0–1 L
29 Oct Parma Calcio 1913 H 2–1 W
26 Oct US Sassuolo Calcio A 1–0 W
23 Oct FC Viktoria Plzeň H 1–2 L
18 Oct FC Internazionale Milano H 0–1 L
05 Oct ACF Fiorentina A 2–1 W

Season Stats

AC Milan AS Roma
#4 Position #3
24 Points 27
11 Played 11
7 / 3 / 1 W / D / L 8 / 3 / 0
23 Scored 31
13 Conceded 10
+10 GD +21
2.18 PPG 2.45
64% Win % 73%

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
55% Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season

AC Milan are 4th (24 pts). AS Roma are 3rd (27 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AS Roma
0-15
4/1
16-30
5/1
31-45
5/–
46-60
4/4
61-75
4/–
76+
8/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Adrien Rabiot 5 G 4 A
Alphadjo Cisse 5 G
Diego Moreira 4 G 3 A
Christian Pulisic 4 G 1 A
Goncalo Ramos 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

AS Roma Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.23 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.58 AS Roma xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or AS Roma 74% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan35% Draw26% AS Roma39%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
62%
Draw or AS Roma
65%
AC Milan or AS Roma
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan22% Draw46% AS Roma32%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
8.6%
0 – 0
7.9%
0 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push AS Roma covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 16% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 21% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
22% ✗
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.