Thursday , 2 July 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
ACF Fiorentina
1 – 1
Full Time
AC Milan
Sun 11 Jan 2026 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Davide Massa
11 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 8.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Internazionale Milano 38 87
2 SSC Napoli 38 76
3 AS Roma 38 73
4 Como 1907 38 71
5 AC Milan 38 70
6 Juventus FC 38 69
7 Atalanta BC 38 59
8 Bologna FC 1909 38 56
9 SS Lazio 38 54
10 Udinese Calcio 38 50
11 US Sassuolo Calcio 38 49
12 Parma Calcio 1913 38 45
13 Torino FC 38 45
14 Cagliari Calcio 38 43
15 ACF Fiorentina 38 42
16 Genoa CFC 38 41
17 US Lecce 38 38
18 US Cremonese 38 34
19 Hellas Verona FC 38 21
20 AC Pisa 1909 38 18

Head-to-Head

8
5
11
ACF Fiorentina 24 games · Avg 2.6 goals AC Milan
Last 5 meetings
2026-01-11 ACF Fiorentina 1–1 AC Milan 2025-10-19 AC Milan 2–1 ACF Fiorentina 2025-04-05 AC Milan 2–2 ACF Fiorentina 2024-10-06 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan 2024-03-30 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 AC Milan

Recent Form

ACF Fiorentina
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan AC Milan H 1–1 D
07 Jan SS Lazio A 2–2 D
04 Jan US Cremonese H 1–0 W
27 Dec Parma Calcio 1913 A 0–1 L
21 Dec Udinese Calcio H 5–1 W
14 Dec Hellas Verona FC H 1–2 L
AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan ACF Fiorentina A 1–1 D
08 Jan Genoa CFC H 1–1 D
02 Jan Cagliari Calcio A 1–0 W
28 Dec Hellas Verona FC H 3–0 W
14 Dec US Sassuolo Calcio H 2–2 D
08 Dec Torino FC A 3–2 W

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina AC Milan
#15 Position #5
42 Points 70
38 Played 38
9 / 15 / 14 W / D / L 20 / 10 / 8
41 Scored 53
50 Conceded 35
-9 GD +18
1.11 PPG 1.84
24% Win % 53%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between ACF Fiorentina and AC Milan.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rafael Leao 4
Zlatan Ibrahimovic 3
Dusan Vlahovic 3
Erick Pulgar 3
Theo Hernandez 2
Franck Kessie 2
Hakan Calhanoglu 2
Alfred Duncan 2

Head to Head

2026-01-11 ACF Fiorentina 1–1 AC Milan 2025-10-19 AC Milan 2–1 ACF Fiorentina 2025-04-05 AC Milan 2–2 ACF Fiorentina 2024-10-06 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan 2024-03-30 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 AC Milan

ACF Fiorentina Form

2026-01-11 ACF Fiorentina 1–1 AC Milan D 2026-01-07 SS Lazio 2–2 ACF Fiorentina D 2026-01-04 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 US Cremonese W 2025-12-27 Parma Calcio 1913 1–0 ACF Fiorentina L 2025-12-21 ACF Fiorentina 5–1 Udinese Calcio W 2025-12-14 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 Hellas Verona FC L

AC Milan Form

2026-01-11 ACF Fiorentina 1–1 AC Milan D 2026-01-08 AC Milan 1–1 Genoa CFC D 2026-01-02 Cagliari Calcio 0–1 AC Milan W 2025-12-28 AC Milan 3–0 Hellas Verona FC W 2025-12-14 AC Milan 2–2 US Sassuolo Calcio D 2025-12-08 Torino FC 2–3 AC Milan W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.18 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: ACF Fiorentina or AC Milan 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina32% Draw29% AC Milan39%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
61%
Draw or AC Milan
68%
ACF Fiorentina or AC Milan
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina23% Draw48% AC Milan29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
7.7%
0 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
5.1%
2 – 0
5%
1 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
2.8%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 17% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 21% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.