ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2025-26

ACF Fiorentina

1 – 1

Full Time

AC Milan

Sun 11 Jan 2026 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan — Serie A .

ACF Fiorentina 11 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
AC Milan 11 games · 24 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Davide Massa

9 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 9.9 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SS Lazio	11	29
2	FC Internazionale Milano	11	28
3	AS Roma	11	27
4	AC Milan	11	24
5	Como 1907	11	23
6	Frosinone Calcio	11	20
7	Juventus FC	11	18
8	Bologna FC 1909	11	17
9	Cagliari Calcio	11	16
10	SSC Napoli	11	15
11	Torino FC	11	14
12	Atalanta BC	11	14
13	Genoa CFC	11	13
14	US Lecce	11	10
15	ACF Fiorentina	11	9
16	Parma Calcio 1913	11	8
17	US Sassuolo Calcio	11	8
18	AC Monza	11	7
19	Venezia FC	11	6
20	Udinese Calcio	11	5

Head-to-Head

ACF Fiorentina 24 games · Avg 2.6 goals AC Milan

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-11 ACF Fiorentina 1–1 AC Milan 2025-10-19 AC Milan 2–1 ACF Fiorentina 2025-04-05 AC Milan 2–2 ACF Fiorentina 2024-10-06 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan 2024-03-30 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 AC Milan

Recent Form

ACF Fiorentina

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jan	AC Milan	H	1–1	D
07 Jan	SS Lazio	A	2–2	D
04 Jan	US Cremonese	H	1–0	W
27 Dec	Parma Calcio 1913	A	0–1	L
21 Dec	Udinese Calcio	H	5–1	W
14 Dec	Hellas Verona FC	H	1–2	L

AC Milan

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jan	ACF Fiorentina	A	1–1	D
08 Jan	Genoa CFC	H	1–1	D
02 Jan	Cagliari Calcio	A	1–0	W
28 Dec	Hellas Verona FC	H	3–0	W
14 Dec	US Sassuolo Calcio	H	2–2	D
08 Dec	Torino FC	A	3–2	W

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina		AC Milan
#15	Position	#4
9	Points	24
11	Played	11
2 / 3 / 6	W / D / L	7 / 3 / 1
17	Scored	23
25	Conceded	13
-8	GD	+10
0.82	PPG	2.18
18%	Win %	64%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season

27% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

ACF Fiorentina are 15th (9 pts). AC Milan are 4th (24 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

ACF Fiorentina

0-15

1/2

16-30

2/5

31-45

2/5

46-60

5/3

61-75

3/5

76+

3/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

AC Milan

0-15

6/2

16-30

3/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

10/3

76+

–/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

ACF Fiorentina

Mateo Pellegrino	4 G
Franco Mastantuono	4 G
Alieu Njie	3 G	2 A

AC Milan

Adrien Rabiot	5 G	4 A
Alphadjo Cisse	5 G
Diego Moreira	4 G	3 A
Christian Pulisic	4 G	1 A
Goncalo Ramos	2 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at . Ninety minutes of football awaits between ACF Fiorentina and AC Milan.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Rafael Leao	4
Dusan Vlahovic	3
Erick Pulgar	3
Zlatan Ibrahimovic	3
Hakan Calhanoglu	2
Alfred Duncan	2
Franck Ribery	2
Theo Hernandez	2

Head to Head

ACF Fiorentina Form

2026-01-11 ACF Fiorentina 1–1 AC Milan D 2026-01-07 SS Lazio 2–2 ACF Fiorentina D 2026-01-04 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 US Cremonese W 2025-12-27 Parma Calcio 1913 1–0 ACF Fiorentina L 2025-12-21 ACF Fiorentina 5–1 Udinese Calcio W 2025-12-14 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 Hellas Verona FC L

AC Milan Form

2026-01-11 ACF Fiorentina 1–1 AC Milan D 2026-01-08 AC Milan 1–1 Genoa CFC D 2026-01-02 Cagliari Calcio 0–1 AC Milan W 2025-12-28 AC Milan 3–0 Hellas Verona FC W 2025-12-14 AC Milan 2–2 US Sassuolo Calcio D 2025-12-08 Torino FC 2–3 AC Milan W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.38 ACF Fiorentina xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.16 AC Milan xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

ACF Fiorentina28% Draw24% AC Milan48%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.54

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	47%	53%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw

52%

Draw or AC Milan

72%

ACF Fiorentina or AC Milan

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

ACF Fiorentina20% Draw40% AC Milan40%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

0 – 2

6.8%

1 – 3

6.4%

2 – 2

6.2%

2 – 1

5.8%

0 – 1

5.7%

0 – 3

4.8%

2 – 3

4.5%

0 – 0

4.2%

1 – 4

3.5%

1 – 0

3.4%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap	ACF Fiorentina covers	Push	AC Milan covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	7%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	13%	76%
-0.5	24%	—	76%
+0.5	46%	—	54%
+1	46%	21%	33%
+1.5	67%	—	33%
+2	67%	16%	17%
+2.5	83%	—	17%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

AC Milan keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.