AFC Ajax vs NEC, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs NEC — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.
Match Details
- Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
- Assistant 1 Erwin Zeinstra
- Assistant 2 Patrick Inia
7 games this season
🟨 0.1/game
⚽ 3.4 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Fortuna Sittard | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | PSV | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | SBV Excelsior | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | NEC | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | AFC Ajax | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | SC Heerenveen | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Telstar 1963 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | FC Twente '65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | FC Utrecht | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Willem II Tilburg | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | NEC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Apr | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | FC Utrecht | A | 0–4 | L |
| 13 Apr | Willem II Tilburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Apr | NAC Breda | H | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Mar | PSV | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | AFC Ajax | A | 3–0 | W |
| 03 May | Willem II Tilburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | SC Heerenveen | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Apr | RKC Waalwijk | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Apr | Sparta Rotterdam | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | AZ | H | 3–3 | D |
Season Stats
| AFC Ajax | NEC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #6 |
| 3 | Points | 3 |
| 1 | Played | 2 |
| 1 / 0 / 0 | W / D / L | 1 / 0 / 1 |
| 2 | Scored | 5 |
| 0 | Conceded | 3 |
| +2 | GD | +2 |
| 3.00 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 100% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
100%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
0%
Clean Sheets
NEC this season
NEC this season
AFC Ajax are 7th (3 pts). NEC are 6th (3 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
NEC
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: NEC gets underway.
- 5' Sami Ouaissa, a Netherlands , has 3 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jorrel Hato is clearly more than just a goal scorer for NEC.
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. AFC Ajax and NEC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 20' AFC Ajax are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against NEC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 25' AFC Ajax are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined NEC backline.
- 27' A moment of madness from Ivan Marquez on 27 minutes earns him a card. NEC will be frustrated.
- 30' The referee has no hesitation. Anton Gaaei is booked for AFC Ajax — card on 30.
- 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 37' It’s gonna be a card for Vito van Crooij.
- 38' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Brayann Pereira on 38 minutes.
- 43' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 46' Time for substitution for AFC Ajax. Josip Sutalo is replaced by Dies Janse.
- 51' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rogier Meijer will be considering his options from the bench.
- 56' Kenneth Taylor is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for NEC tonight.
- 59' GOAL! Sontje Hansen scores on 59. Assisted by Kodai Sano
- 59' Basar Onal has so much to prove this time. He replaces Thomas Ouwejan on 59 minute.
- 64' That looks like a foul for a card for Kian Fitz-Jim.
- 67' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Brayann Pereira makes it 0-2.
- 69' The referee has no hesitation. Calvin Verdonk is booked for NEC — card on 69.
- 73' Another substitution for AFC Ajax to replace Kenneth Taylor by Jorthy Mokio on 73 minute.
- 78' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 80' NEC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kento Shiogai is hanging Bryan Linssen on the field on 80 minute.
- 82' What a strike from Sami Ouaissa! The score is 0-3.
- 87' Fresh legs for NEC! Lasse Schone comes on to replace Sontje Hansen.
- 90' A moment of madness from Steven Berghuis on 90 minutes earns him a card. AFC Ajax will be frustrated.
- With this win, NEC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 18
- 6
- 22
- 23
-
20
Bertrand Traore ↓ Mika Godts 59'
- 25
-
24
Daniele Rugani ↓ Kian Fitz-Jim 59'
-
37
Josip Sutalo ↓ Dies Janse 46'
-
8
Kenneth Taylor ↓ Jorthy Mokio 73'
-
4
Jorrel Hato ↓ Owen Wijndal 73'
- 3
Bench
-
5
Owen Wijndal ↑ 73'
- 12
- 13
- 9
- 44
-
28
Kian Fitz-Jim ↑ 59'
- 16
- 2
- 29
-
11
Mika Godts ↑ 59'
-
31
Jorthy Mokio ↑ 73'
-
36
Dies Janse ↑ 46'
Coach
Francesco Farioli
NEC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
5
Thomas Ouwejan ↓ Basar Onal 59'
-
30
Bryan Linssen ↓ Kento Shiogai 80'
- 32
- 24
- 3
-
10
Sontje Hansen ↓ Lasse Schone 87'
- 22
- 4
-
2
Brayann Pereira ↓ Yousri Sbai 80'
- 23
- 25
Bench
- 6
-
20
Lasse Schone ↑ 87'
- 1
- 31
- 14
-
11
Basar Onal ↑ 59'
-
19
Lefteris Lyratzis ↑ 80'
-
9
Kento Shiogai ↑ 80'
- 8
-
33
Yousri Sbai ↑ 80'
Coach
Rogier Meijer
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bart van Rooij | 3 |
| Davy Klaassen | 2 |
| Carlos Forbs | 2 |
| Dusan Tadic | 2 |
| Noussair Mazraoui | 2 |
| Wout Weghorst | 2 |
| Sontje Hansen | 2 |
| Brian Brobbey | 2 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.63
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78
NEC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 57% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: NEC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
80%
Draw or NEC
47%
AFC Ajax or NEC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–3 not predicted0 – 3Actual
1 – 0
13.7%
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 0
11.5%
0 – 0
11%
2 – 1
9%
3 – 0
6.1%
0 – 1
6%
3 – 1
5%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
2.6%
4 – 0
2.5%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | NEC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 17% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 25% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 11% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
46%
✓
NEC keeps clean sheet
21%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

