AFC Ajax vs NEC, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs NEC — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.
Match Details
- Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
- Assistant 1 Erwin Zeinstra
- Assistant 2 Patrick Inia
12 games this season
🟨 4.2/game
⚽ 13.9 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | AFC Ajax | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | SBV Excelsior | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar 1963 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 12 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | NEC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Apr | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | FC Utrecht | A | 0–4 | L |
| 13 Apr | Willem II Tilburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Apr | NAC Breda | H | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Mar | PSV | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | AFC Ajax | A | 3–0 | W |
| 03 May | Willem II Tilburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | SC Heerenveen | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Apr | RKC Waalwijk | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Apr | Sparta Rotterdam | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | AZ | H | 3–3 | D |
Season Stats
| AFC Ajax | NEC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #11 |
| 25 | Points | 14 |
| 12 | Played | 12 |
| 7 / 4 / 1 | W / D / L | 3 / 5 / 4 |
| 32 | Scored | 20 |
| 15 | Conceded | 21 |
| +17 | GD | -1 |
| 2.08 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 58% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
0%
Clean Sheets
NEC this season
NEC this season
AFC Ajax are 3rd (25 pts). NEC are 11th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
NEC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
4/4
61-75
3/5
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 7 G | 1 A |
| Julian Brandt | 6 G | 2 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
NEC
| Tjaronn Chery | 4 G | 2 A |
| Kaj Sierhuis | 2 G | |
| Adam Tahauia | 2 G | |
| Bryan Linssen | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Johan Cruijff Arena. Ninety minutes of football awaits between AFC Ajax and NEC.
- 5' AFC Ajax are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined NEC backline.
- 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Lasse Schone is clearly more than just a goal scorer for NEC.
- 15' It’s high time Francesco Farioli made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 20' The travelling NEC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with NEC winning 0% of all matches.
- 27' It’s gonna be a card for Ivan Marquez.
- 30' A moment of madness from Anton Gaaei on 30 minutes earns him a card. AFC Ajax will be frustrated.
- 35' Over 35 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 37' Vito van Crooij was booked on 37.
- 38' The referee calls foul for Brayann Pereira. He receives a card.
- 43' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Dies Janse. He replaces Josip Sutalo on 46 minute.
- 51' NEC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 56' Ivan Marquez is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AFC Ajax so far.
- 59' Sontje Hansen is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 59' The whistle greets Thomas Ouwejan as he departs to be replaced by Basar Onal.
- 64' The referee calls foul for Kian Fitz-Jim. He receives a card.
- 67' A goal from the France international Brayann Pereira! He fires home on 67 to make it 0-2!
- 69' Calvin Verdonk is having his name booked by the referee on 69.
- 73' Another change for AFC Ajax made on 73 minute. Kenneth Taylor leaves to be changed by Jorthy Mokio.
- 78' The home supporters are growing impatient. AFC Ajax must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 80' Time for substitution for NEC. Bryan Linssen is replaced by Kento Shiogai.
- 82' Sami Ouaissa has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 82 minutes.
- 87' Lasse Schone is replacing Sontje Hansen for the NEC side.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Steven Berghuis is booked for AFC Ajax — card on 90.
- NEC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 18
- 6
- 22
- 23
-
20
Bertrand Traore ↓ Mika Godts 59'
- 25
-
24
Daniele Rugani ↓ Kian Fitz-Jim 59'
-
37
Josip Sutalo ↓ Dies Janse 46'
-
8
Kenneth Taylor ↓ Jorthy Mokio 73'
-
4
Jorrel Hato ↓ Owen Wijndal 73'
- 3
Bench
-
5
Owen Wijndal ↑ 73'
- 12
- 13
- 9
- 44
-
28
Kian Fitz-Jim ↑ 59'
- 16
- 2
- 29
-
11
Mika Godts ↑ 59'
-
31
Jorthy Mokio ↑ 73'
-
36
Dies Janse ↑ 46'
Coach
Francesco Farioli
NEC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
5
Thomas Ouwejan ↓ Basar Onal 59'
-
30
Bryan Linssen ↓ Kento Shiogai 80'
- 32
- 24
- 3
-
10
Sontje Hansen ↓ Lasse Schone 87'
- 22
- 4
-
2
Brayann Pereira ↓ Yousri Sbai 80'
- 23
- 25
Bench
- 6
-
20
Lasse Schone ↑ 87'
- 1
- 31
- 14
-
11
Basar Onal ↑ 59'
-
19
Lefteris Lyratzis ↑ 80'
-
9
Kento Shiogai ↑ 80'
- 8
-
33
Yousri Sbai ↑ 80'
Coach
Rogier Meijer
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bart van Rooij | 3 |
| Noussair Mazraoui | 2 |
| Wout Weghorst | 2 |
| Sontje Hansen | 2 |
| Brian Brobbey | 2 |
| Davy Klaassen | 2 |
| Carlos Forbs | 2 |
| Dusan Tadic | 2 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.96
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3
NEC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: NEC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.26
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
74%
Draw or NEC
50%
AFC Ajax or NEC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–3 not predicted0 – 3Actual
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 0
6.9%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
6%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 0
5.4%
3 – 0
4.7%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | NEC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 16% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 21% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 14% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
NEC keeps clean sheet
15%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

