AFC Ajax vs NEC, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs NEC — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.
Match Details
- Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
- Assistant 1 Erwin Zeinstra
- Assistant 2 Patrick Inia
6 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 9.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | AFC Ajax | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | SBV Excelsior | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | FC Groningen | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | SC Heerenveen | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar 1963 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | FC Utrecht | 7 | 5 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | NEC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Apr | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | FC Utrecht | A | 0–4 | L |
| 13 Apr | Willem II Tilburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Apr | NAC Breda | H | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Mar | PSV | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | AFC Ajax | A | 3–0 | W |
| 03 May | Willem II Tilburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | SC Heerenveen | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Apr | RKC Waalwijk | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Apr | Sparta Rotterdam | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | AZ | H | 3–3 | D |
Season Stats
| AFC Ajax | NEC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #11 |
| 14 | Points | 8 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 4 / 2 / 1 | W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 3 |
| 21 | Scored | 12 |
| 9 | Conceded | 13 |
| +12 | GD | -1 |
| 2.00 | PPG | 1.14 |
| 57% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
0%
Clean Sheets
NEC this season
NEC this season
AFC Ajax are 5th (14 pts). NEC are 11th (8 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
NEC
0-15
3/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Julian Brandt | 4 G | |
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 3 G | 1 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 1 G |
NEC
| Tjaronn Chery | 3 G | 2 A |
| Kaj Sierhuis | 2 G | |
| Adam Tahauia | 2 G | |
| Bryan Linssen | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' AFC Ajax have kicked off against NEC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AFC Ajax and NEC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 20' AFC Ajax started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
- 25' It looks like no one’s ball. NEC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 27' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ivan Marquez on 27 minutes.
- 30' The referee has no hesitation. Anton Gaaei is booked for AFC Ajax — card on 30.
- 35' Over 35 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 37' Vito van Crooij has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 37.
- 38' Controversy at the stadium! Brayann Pereira argues furiously but the card stands.
- 43' Josip Sutalo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 46' AFC Ajax make a change. Josip Sutalo trudges off to be replaced by Dies Janse on 46 minutes.
- 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Davy Klaassen, as he is very good at scoring at Johan Cruijff Arena with 19 goals in the last 16 games.
- 56' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 56 minutes.
- 59' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Sontje Hansen makes it 0-1.
- 59' The whistle greets Thomas Ouwejan as he departs to be replaced by Basar Onal.
- 64' Poor challenge from Kian Fitz-Jim. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 67' Goal! Brayann Pereira scores his 3 goal in 448 matches.
- 69' A moment of madness from Calvin Verdonk on 69 minutes earns him a card. NEC will be frustrated.
- 73' AFC Ajax make a change. Kenneth Taylor trudges off to be replaced by Jorthy Mokio on 73 minutes.
- 78' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 80' Kento Shiogai is ready to make an impact after coming on for Bryan Linssen at the 80 minute mark.
- 82' Sami Ouaissa is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the forward.
- 87' Sontje Hansen makes way for Lasse Schone at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from NEC.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Steven Berghuis.
- Another three points for NEC.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 18
- 6
- 22
- 23
-
20
Bertrand Traore ↓ Mika Godts 59'
- 25
-
24
Daniele Rugani ↓ Kian Fitz-Jim 59'
-
37
Josip Sutalo ↓ Dies Janse 46'
-
8
Kenneth Taylor ↓ Jorthy Mokio 73'
-
4
Jorrel Hato ↓ Owen Wijndal 73'
- 3
Bench
-
5
Owen Wijndal ↑ 73'
- 12
- 13
- 9
- 44
-
28
Kian Fitz-Jim ↑ 59'
- 16
- 2
- 29
-
11
Mika Godts ↑ 59'
-
31
Jorthy Mokio ↑ 73'
-
36
Dies Janse ↑ 46'
Coach
Francesco Farioli
NEC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
5
Thomas Ouwejan ↓ Basar Onal 59'
-
30
Bryan Linssen ↓ Kento Shiogai 80'
- 32
- 24
- 3
-
10
Sontje Hansen ↓ Lasse Schone 87'
- 22
- 4
-
2
Brayann Pereira ↓ Yousri Sbai 80'
- 23
- 25
Bench
- 6
-
20
Lasse Schone ↑ 87'
- 1
- 31
- 14
-
11
Basar Onal ↑ 59'
-
19
Lefteris Lyratzis ↑ 80'
-
9
Kento Shiogai ↑ 80'
- 8
-
33
Yousri Sbai ↑ 80'
Coach
Rogier Meijer
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bart van Rooij | 3 |
| Carlos Forbs | 2 |
| Dusan Tadic | 2 |
| Noussair Mazraoui | 2 |
| Wout Weghorst | 2 |
| Sontje Hansen | 2 |
| Brian Brobbey | 2 |
| Davy Klaassen | 2 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.26
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34
NEC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: NEC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.6
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
76%
Draw or NEC
47%
AFC Ajax or NEC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–3 not predicted0 – 3Actual
1 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.7%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
5.2%
3 – 2
4.5%
0 – 0
4%
4 – 1
3.8%
0 – 1
3.1%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | NEC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 17% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 21% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
NEC keeps clean sheet
11%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

