Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AFC Ajax vs NEC, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
AFC Ajax
1 – 1
Full Time
NEC
Sat 21 Feb 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs NEC — Eredivisie .

  • AFC Ajax 7 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
  • NEC 7 games · 8 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

  • Referee Jeroen Manschot
4 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 24.5 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 AZ 7 19
2 Feyenoord Rotterdam 7 17
3 PSV 7 16
4 FC Twente '65 7 16
5 AFC Ajax 7 14
6 Fortuna Sittard 7 13
7 SBV Excelsior 7 11
8 FC Groningen 7 11
9 Go Ahead Eagles 7 10
10 SC Heerenveen 7 9
11 NEC 7 8
12 Sparta Rotterdam 7 5
13 Telstar 1963 7 5
14 SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 7 5
15 FC Utrecht 7 5
16 PEC Zwolle 7 4
17 ADO Den Haag 7 2
18 Willem II Tilburg 7 2

Head-to-Head

5
4
1
AFC Ajax 10 games · Avg 2.8 goals NEC
Last 5 meetings
2026-02-21 AFC Ajax 1–1 NEC 2025-12-20 NEC 2–2 AFC Ajax 2025-05-11 AFC Ajax 0–3 NEC 2024-12-01 NEC 1–2 AFC Ajax 2024-02-18 AFC Ajax 2–2 NEC

Recent Form

AFC Ajax
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb NEC H 1–1 D
14 Feb Fortuna Sittard H 4–1 W
08 Feb AZ A 1–1 D
01 Feb SBV Excelsior A 2–2 D
28 Jan PAE Olympiakos SFP H 1–2 L
24 Jan FC Volendam H 2–0 W
NEC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb AFC Ajax A 1–1 D
17 Feb Sparta Rotterdam A 1–1 D
11 Feb FC Utrecht H 1–3 L
07 Feb Heracles Almelo H 4–1 W
31 Jan AZ A 3–1 W
24 Jan PEC Zwolle H 2–1 W

Season Stats

AFC Ajax NEC
#5 Position #11
14 Points 8
7 Played 7
4 / 2 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 3
21 Scored 12
9 Conceded 13
+12 GD -1
2.00 PPG 1.14
57% Win % 29%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
0% Clean Sheets
NEC this season

AFC Ajax are 5th (14 pts). NEC are 11th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
NEC
0-15
3/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AFC Ajax
Julian Brandt 4 G
Toluwalas Arokodare 3 G 1 A
Davy Klaassen 3 G
Kasper Dolberg 2 G 2 A
Jorthy Mokio 1 G
NEC
Tjaronn Chery 3 G 2 A
Kaj Sierhuis 2 G
Adam Tahauia 2 G
Bryan Linssen 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. AFC Ajax host NEC — let the battle begin!
  • It finishes all square. AFC Ajax and NEC share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

NEC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.45 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 NEC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax56% Draw22% NEC22%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
78%
Draw or NEC
44%
AFC Ajax or NEC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax46% Draw37% NEC17%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
7.2%
2 – 0
7%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
5.6%
1 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 2
4.7%
4 – 1
4.4%
0 – 0
3.5%
4 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push NEC covers
-2.5 23% — 77%
-2 23% 18% 59%
-1.5 41% — 59%
-1 41% 21% 39%
-0.5 61% — 39%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 11% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 5% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
NEC keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.