AFC Ajax vs NEC, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs NEC — Eredivisie .
Match Details
- Referee Jeroen Manschot
8 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 19.9 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | AFC Ajax | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | SBV Excelsior | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar 1963 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 12 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb | NEC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Feb | Fortuna Sittard | H | 4–1 | W |
| 08 Feb | AZ | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Feb | SBV Excelsior | A | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Jan | PAE Olympiakos SFP | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Jan | FC Volendam | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb | AFC Ajax | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Feb | Sparta Rotterdam | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Feb | FC Utrecht | H | 1–3 | L |
| 07 Feb | Heracles Almelo | H | 4–1 | W |
| 31 Jan | AZ | A | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Jan | PEC Zwolle | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| AFC Ajax | NEC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #11 |
| 25 | Points | 14 |
| 12 | Played | 12 |
| 7 / 4 / 1 | W / D / L | 3 / 5 / 4 |
| 32 | Scored | 20 |
| 15 | Conceded | 21 |
| +17 | GD | -1 |
| 2.08 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 58% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
0%
Clean Sheets
NEC this season
NEC this season
AFC Ajax are 3rd (25 pts). NEC are 11th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
NEC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
4/4
61-75
3/5
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 7 G | 1 A |
| Julian Brandt | 6 G | 2 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
NEC
| Tjaronn Chery | 4 G | 2 A |
| Kaj Sierhuis | 2 G | |
| Adam Tahauia | 2 G | |
| Bryan Linssen | 1 G |
Events
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
NEC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bart van Rooij | 3 |
| Dusan Tadic | 2 |
| Noussair Mazraoui | 2 |
| Wout Weghorst | 2 |
| Sontje Hansen | 2 |
| Brian Brobbey | 2 |
| Davy Klaassen | 2 |
| Carlos Forbs | 2 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.15
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27
NEC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 63%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.42
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
76%
Draw or NEC
48%
AFC Ajax or NEC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
6.6%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
5.8%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
4.2%
4 – 1
3.6%
0 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | NEC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 17% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 21% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
NEC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

