Saturday , 14 November 2026

AFC Ajax vs NEC, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
1 – 1
Full Time
Sat 21 Feb 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs NEC — Eredivisie .

  • AFC Ajax 12 games · 25 pts (2026/27)
  • NEC 12 games · 14 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

  • Referee Jeroen Manschot
8 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 19.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb NEC H 1–1 D
14 Feb Fortuna Sittard H 4–1 W
08 Feb AZ A 1–1 D
01 Feb SBV Excelsior A 2–2 D
28 Jan PAE Olympiakos SFP H 1–2 L
24 Jan FC Volendam H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb AFC Ajax A 1–1 D
17 Feb Sparta Rotterdam A 1–1 D
11 Feb FC Utrecht H 1–3 L
07 Feb Heracles Almelo H 4–1 W
31 Jan AZ A 3–1 W
24 Jan PEC Zwolle H 2–1 W

Season Stats

AFC Ajax NEC
#3 Position #11
25 Points 14
12 Played 12
7 / 4 / 1 W / D / L 3 / 5 / 4
32 Scored 20
15 Conceded 21
+17 GD -1
2.08 PPG 1.17
58% Win % 25%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
0% Clean Sheets
NEC this season

AFC Ajax are 3rd (25 pts). NEC are 11th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
NEC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
4/4
61-75
3/5
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AFC Ajax
Toluwalas Arokodare 7 G 1 A
Julian Brandt 6 G 2 A
Davy Klaassen 3 G 1 A
Jorthy Mokio 3 G 1 A
Kasper Dolberg 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! AFC Ajax vs NEC — let the football do the talking.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

NEC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.15 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 NEC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax52% Draw24% NEC24%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.42
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
76%
Draw or NEC
48%
AFC Ajax or NEC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax41% Draw40% NEC19%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
6.6%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
5.8%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
4.2%
4 – 1
3.6%
0 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push NEC covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 17% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 21% 44%
-0.5 56% — 44%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 12% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
NEC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.