UD Almería vs AD Ceuta FC, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
UD Almería vs AD Ceuta FC — Segunda Division .
- UD Almería 42 games · 75 pts (2026/27)
- AD Ceuta FC 42 games · 59 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Alejandro Ojaos Valera (Spain)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Racing Club de Santander | 42 | 82 |
| 2 | RC Deportivo La Coruna | 42 | 77 |
| 3 | UD Almería | 42 | 75 |
| 4 | Malaga CF | 42 | 73 |
| 5 | UD Las Palmas | 42 | 73 |
| 6 | CD Castellon | 42 | 72 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 42 | 72 |
| 8 | SD Eibar | 42 | 67 |
| 9 | Real Sporting de Gijon | 42 | 61 |
| 10 | Cordoba CF | 42 | 61 |
| 11 | Albacete Balompie | 42 | 59 |
| 12 | AD Ceuta FC | 42 | 59 |
| 13 | Andorra CF | 42 | 58 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 42 | 48 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad B | 42 | 47 |
| 16 | CD Leganes | 42 | 46 |
| 17 | Real Valladolid CF | 42 | 46 |
| 18 | Cadiz CF | 42 | 43 |
| 19 | CD Mirandes | 42 | 40 |
| 20 | SD Huesca | 42 | 38 |
| 21 | Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | 42 | 37 |
| 22 | Real Zaragoza | 42 | 36 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | AD Ceuta FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 25 Jan | SD Eibar | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Jan | RC Deportivo La Coruna | H | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Jan | CD Mirandes | A | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Jan | Granada CF | H | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Dec | Malaga CF | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | UD Almería | A | 2–4 | L |
| 26 Jan | Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | H | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Jan | Real Valladolid CF | H | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Jan | Malaga CF | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Jan | Andorra CF | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Dec | Real Sociedad B | A | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| UD Almería | AD Ceuta FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #12 |
| 75 | Points | 59 |
| 42 | Played | 42 |
| 22 / 9 / 11 | W / D / L | 16 / 11 / 15 |
| 80 | Scored | 49 |
| 61 | Conceded | 62 |
| +19 | GD | -13 |
| 1.79 | PPG | 1.40 |
| 52% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
UD Almería are 3rd (75 pts). AD Ceuta FC are 12th (59 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between UD Almeria and AD Ceuta FC.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for UD Almeria players.
Lineups
UD Almería Lineups
AD Ceuta FC Lineups
H2H
UD Almería Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.72
UD Almería xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.75
AD Ceuta FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: UD Almería win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.47
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 3.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 4.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
Double Chance
UD Almería or Draw
76%
Draw or AD Ceuta FC
45%
UD Almería or AD Ceuta FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: UD Almería win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.3%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 1
6.2%
3 – 2
5.6%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 0
4.4%
4 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.9%
4 – 2
Actual
2 – 3
3.6%
3 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — UD Almería
| Handicap | UD Almería covers | Push | AD Ceuta FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 16% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 19% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 12% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 7% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
UD Almería keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
AD Ceuta FC keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

