Wednesday , 22 July 2026

UD Almería vs AD Ceuta FC, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2025-26
Sun 1 Feb 2026 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

UD Almería vs AD Ceuta FCSegunda Division .

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Ojaos Valera (Spain)

Head-to-Head

1
1
UD Almería 2 games · Avg 5.5 goals AD Ceuta FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb AD Ceuta FC H 4–2 W
25 Jan SD Eibar A 0–1 L
17 Jan RC Deportivo La Coruna H 1–2 L
10 Jan CD Mirandes A 2–2 D
03 Jan Granada CF H 3–2 W
21 Dec Malaga CF A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb UD Almería A 2–4 L
26 Jan Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa H 3–1 W
17 Jan Real Valladolid CF H 0–3 L
11 Jan Malaga CF A 1–2 L
04 Jan Andorra CF H 2–1 W
21 Dec Real Sociedad B A 3–1 W

Season Stats

UD Almería AD Ceuta FC
#3 Position #12
75 Points 59
42 Played 42
22 / 9 / 11 W / D / L 16 / 11 / 15
80 Scored 49
61 Conceded 62
+19 GD -13
1.79 PPG 1.40
52% Win % 38%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

UD Almería are 3rd (75 pts). AD Ceuta FC are 12th (59 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between UD Almeria and AD Ceuta FC.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for UD Almeria players.

Lineups

UD Almería Lineups

AD Ceuta FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.72 UD Almería xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.75 AD Ceuta FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
UD Almería55% Draw21% AD Ceuta FC24%
Actual: UD Almería win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes76% 0% No24%
Avg goals/match: 4.47
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 81%
19%
± 3.5 64%
36%
± 4.5 45%
55%

Double Chance

UD Almería or Draw
76%
Draw or AD Ceuta FC
45%
UD Almería or AD Ceuta FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
UD Almería44% Draw34% AD Ceuta FC22%
Actual: UD Almería win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.3%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 1
6.2%
3 – 2
5.6%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 0
4.4%
4 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.9%
4 – 2
Actual
2 – 3
3.6%
3 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — UD Almería

Handicap UD Almería covers Push AD Ceuta FC covers
-2.5 22% 78%
-2 22% 16% 62%
-1.5 38% 62%
-1 38% 19% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 12% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 7% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

UD Almería keeps clean sheet
18%
AD Ceuta FC keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.