Wednesday , 22 July 2026

AD Ceuta FC vs UD Almería, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2025-26
Wed 26 Nov 2025 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AD Ceuta FC vs UD AlmeríaSegunda Division .

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Morilla Turrion (Spain)

Head-to-Head

1
1
AD Ceuta FC 2 games · Avg 5.5 goals UD Almería

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Nov UD Almería H 3–2 W
23 Nov RC Deportivo La Coruna A 1–2 L
16 Nov CD Leganes H 1–2 L
02 Nov Cordoba CF A 0–2 L
25 Oct Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa A 1–0 W
18 Oct CD Mirandes H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Nov AD Ceuta FC A 2–3 L
22 Nov CD Leganes A 3–0 W
16 Nov Cadiz CF H 3–0 W
01 Nov SD Eibar H 3–1 W
26 Oct CD Castellon H 1–0 W
19 Oct Cordoba CF A 1–1 D

Season Stats

AD Ceuta FC UD Almería
#12 Position #3
59 Points 75
42 Played 42
16 / 11 / 15 W / D / L 22 / 9 / 11
49 Scored 80
62 Conceded 61
-13 GD +19
1.40 PPG 1.79
38% Win % 52%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AD Ceuta FC are 12th (59 pts). UD Almería are 3rd (75 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — AD Ceuta FC and UD Almeria get this one started.
  • It finishes all square. AD Ceuta FC and UD Almeria share the spoils 3-2.

Lineups

AD Ceuta FC Lineups

UD Almería Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.92 AD Ceuta FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.03 UD Almería xG
I would bet for: AD Ceuta FC or UD Almería 77% + Over 2.5 goals 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AD Ceuta FC41% Draw23% UD Almería36%
Actual: AD Ceuta FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 3.95
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 36%
64%

Double Chance

AD Ceuta FC or Draw
64%
Draw or UD Almería
59%
AD Ceuta FC or UD Almería
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AD Ceuta FC30% Draw38% UD Almería32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 3
4.7%
3 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
3.7%
0 – 1
3.5%
1 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — AD Ceuta FC

Handicap AD Ceuta FC covers Push UD Almería covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 11% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 17% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 18% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 12% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

AD Ceuta FC keeps clean sheet
14%
UD Almería keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.