US Lecce vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
US Lecce vs Atalanta BC — Serie A at Stadio Via del Mare.
- US Lecce 38 games · 38 pts (2026/27)
- Atalanta BC 38 games · 59 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Federico Dionisi
- Assistant 1 Alessio Berti
- Assistant 2 Marco Ricci (Italy)
15 games this season
🟨 0.8/game
⚽ 3.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug | Atalanta BC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 26 May | SSC Napoli | A | 0–0 | D |
| 18 May | Atalanta BC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 13 May | Udinese Calcio | H | 0–2 | L |
| 05 May | Cagliari Calcio | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | AC Monza | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| US Lecce | Atalanta BC | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #7 |
| 38 | Points | 59 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 10 / 8 / 20 | W / D / L | 15 / 14 / 9 |
| 28 | Scored | 51 |
| 50 | Conceded | 36 |
| -22 | GD | +15 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.55 |
| 26% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
US Lecce are 17th (38 pts). Atalanta BC are 7th (59 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' US Lecce have kicked off against Atalanta BC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' US Lecce seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 15' US Lecce is showing some good football. However, US Lecce are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 35' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Marco Brescianini makes it 0-1.
- 40' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 45' Against the run of play, Mateo Retegui has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 46' Another substitution for US Lecce to replace Balthazar Pierret by Lassana Coulibaly on 46 minute.
- 51' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 56' Nikola Krstovic is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Atalanta BC tonight.
- 57' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Mateo Retegui makes it 0-3.
- 60' It’s gonna be a card for Marten de Roon.
- 65' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 66' Marco Brescianini doubles the advantage! 0-4 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 69' The crowd applauds Davide Zappacosta as he leaves the pitch. Ben Godfrey steps in for Atalanta BC.
- 74' US Lecce are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Atalanta BC's 3-4-1-2 shape.
- 76' Filip Marchwinski is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ylber Ramadani at the 76 minute mark.
- 80' The referee calls foul for Ederson. He receives a card.
- 83' Atalanta BC make a change. Mateo Retegui trudges off to be replaced by Federico Cassa on 83 minutes.
- 88' It looks like no one’s ball. US Lecce is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 90' Time for substitution for Atalanta BC. Marco Brescianini is replaced by Marco Palestra.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Atalanta BC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
US Lecce Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
-
7
Tete Morente ↓ Lameck Banda 46'
- 9
- 17
- 30
-
8
Hamza Rafia ↓ Medon Berisha 83'
- 75
- 20
- 6
- 4
- 13
Bench
- 10
- 1
-
29
Lassana Coulibaly ↑ 46'
- 14
- 2
-
36
Filip Marchwinski ↑ 76'
-
50
Santiago Pierotti ↑ 69'
-
22
Lameck Banda ↑ 46'
- 98
- 27
- 32
-
5
Medon Berisha ↑ 83'
- 23
- 28
Atalanta BC Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 13
-
77
Davide Zappacosta ↓ Ben Godfrey 69'
- 15
- 8
- 1
-
32
Mateo Retegui ↓ Federico Cassa 83'
- 44
- 17
- 22
- 19
- 4
Bench
-
5
Ben Godfrey ↑ 69'
-
20
Mitchel Bakker ↑ 69'
- 31
- 29
-
6
Ibrahim Sulemana ↑ 90'
- 47
-
27
Marco Palestra ↑ 90'
- 46
- 40
- 41
-
25
Federico Cassa ↑ 83'
- 45
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Duvan Zapata | 5 |
| Mateo Retegui | 3 |
| Giulio Donati | 2 |
| Marco Brescianini | 2 |
| Federico Baschirotto | 2 |
| Luis Muriel | 1 |
| Gianluca Scamacca | 1 |
| Josip Ilicic | 1 |
Head to Head
US Lecce Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.52
US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.99
Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for:
Under — clean sheet likely 64% + Atalanta BC to win 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atalanta BC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
US Lecce or Draw
36%
Draw or Atalanta BC
86%
US Lecce or Atalanta BC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atalanta BC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
15.8%
0 – 2
15.7%
0 – 3
10.2%
0 – 0
9.9%
1 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
8.1%
1 – 3
5.5%
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 0
3.4%
1 – 4
2.8%
2 – 2
2.1%
0 – 5
2.1%
Asian Handicap — US Lecce
| Handicap | US Lecce covers | Push | Atalanta BC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 0% | — | 100% |
| -2 | 0% | 1% | 98% |
| -1.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -1 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -0.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| +0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +1 | 29% | 26% | 46% |
| +1.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +2 | 54% | 22% | 24% |
| +2.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
Clean Sheet
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
60%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.