Sunday , 16 August 2026

US Lecce vs Cagliari Calcio, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sat 31 Aug 2024 · 16:30 UTC Stadio Via del Mare 26,386 HT 45' · FT 45'
Nikola Krstovic 26' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

US Lecce vs Cagliari CalcioSerie A at Stadio Via del Mare.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Fabbri
  • Assistant 1 Dario Cecconi
  • Assistant 2 Khaled Bahri (Italy)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug Cagliari Calcio H 1–0 W
24 Aug FC Internazionale Milano A 0–2 L
19 Aug Atalanta BC H 0–4 L
26 May SSC Napoli A 0–0 D
18 May Atalanta BC H 0–2 L
13 May Udinese Calcio H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug US Lecce A 0–1 L
26 Aug Como 1907 H 1–1 D
18 Aug AS Roma H 0–0 D
23 May ACF Fiorentina H 2–3 L
19 May US Sassuolo Calcio A 2–0 W
11 May AC Milan A 1–5 L

Season Stats

US Lecce Cagliari Calcio
#20 Position #17
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

US Lecce are 20th (0 pts). Cagliari Calcio are 17th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

US Lecce Lineups

4-2-3-1

Cagliari Calcio Lineups

3-5-2

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.52 US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.57 Cagliari Calcio xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 89% + Under — clean sheet likely 80%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
US Lecce32% Draw41% Cagliari Calcio27%
Actual: US Lecce win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes20% 0% No80%
Avg goals/match: 1.09
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 64%
36%
± 1.5 31%
69%
± 2.5 11%
89%
± 3.5 3%
97%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

US Lecce or Draw
74%
Draw or Cagliari Calcio
68%
US Lecce or Cagliari Calcio
59%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
US Lecce14% Draw71% Cagliari Calcio15%
Actual: US Lecce win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
36.2%
0 – 1
17.3%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4%
1 – 2
3.1%
2 – 1
2.8%
2 – 2
1%
0 – 3
0.9%
3 – 0
0.7%
1 – 3
0.6%

Asian Handicap — US Lecce

Handicap US Lecce covers Push Cagliari Calcio covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 5% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 19% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 21% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 6% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

US Lecce keeps clean sheet
57%
Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
59%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.