US Lecce vs Cagliari Calcio, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
US Lecce vs Cagliari Calcio — Serie A at Stadio Via del Mare.
- US Lecce 38 games · 38 pts (2026/27)
- Cagliari Calcio 38 games · 43 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Michael Fabbri
- Assistant 1 Dario Cecconi
- Assistant 2 Khaled Bahri (Italy)
4 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 6.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | Cagliari Calcio | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | Atalanta BC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 26 May | SSC Napoli | A | 0–0 | D |
| 18 May | Atalanta BC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 13 May | Udinese Calcio | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| US Lecce | Cagliari Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #14 |
| 38 | Points | 43 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 10 / 8 / 20 | W / D / L | 11 / 10 / 17 |
| 28 | Scored | 40 |
| 50 | Conceded | 53 |
| -22 | GD | -13 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.13 |
| 26% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
US Lecce are 17th (38 pts). Cagliari Calcio are 14th (43 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and US Lecce launch into their encounter with Cagliari Calcio.
- 24' That looks like a foul for a card for Gabriele Zappa.
- 26' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Nikola Krstovic makes it 1-0.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for US Lecce players.
Lineups
US Lecce Lineups
4-2-3-1Cagliari Calcio Lineups
3-5-2H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nikola Krstovic | 2 |
| Adam Obert | 1 |
| Radja Nainggolan | 1 |
| Santiago Pierotti | 1 |
| Gianluca Lapadula | 1 |
| Marco Calderoni | 1 |
| Gaetano Oristanio | 1 |
| Valentin Gendrey | 1 |
Head to Head
US Lecce Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.01
US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
Cagliari Calcio xG
I would bet for:
US Lecce or Cagliari Calcio 70% + Under 2.5 goals 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: US Lecce win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.13
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 2.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
US Lecce or Draw
67%
Draw or Cagliari Calcio
63%
US Lecce or Cagliari Calcio
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: US Lecce win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
14.2%
0 – 1
12%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
7.3%
0 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
3.8%
1 – 3
2.8%
0 – 3
2.6%
3 – 1
2.3%
Asian Handicap — US Lecce
| Handicap | US Lecce covers | Push | Cagliari Calcio covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 19% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 21% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.