US Lecce vs AC Milan, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Daniele Orsato
- Referee Paolo Mazzoleni
- Referee Salvatore Longo
- Referee Niccolo Pagliardini
- Referee Luca Massimi
- Referee Marcello Rossi
4 games this season
🟨 4.3/game
⚽ 15.5 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan | AC Milan | H | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Jan | Spezia Calcio | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Jan | SS Lazio | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Nov | UC Sampdoria | A | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | Atalanta BC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Nov | Udinese Calcio | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan | US Lecce | A | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Jan | AS Roma | H | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Jan | US Salernitana 1919 | A | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Nov | ACF Fiorentina | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Nov | US Cremonese | A | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Nov | Spezia Calcio | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| US Lecce | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #5 |
| 38 | Points | 70 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 10 / 8 / 20 | W / D / L | 20 / 10 / 8 |
| 28 | Scored | 53 |
| 50 | Conceded | 35 |
| -22 | GD | +18 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.84 |
| 26% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
US Lecce are 17th (38 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Stadio Via del Mare. Ninety minutes of football awaits between US Lecce and AC Milan.
- 3' Brilliant from the ! Theo Hernandez makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 3.
- 4' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Alexis Blin makes it 2-0.
- 9' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both US Lecce and AC Milan are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 14' AC Milan fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 19' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 23' What a moment for Federico Baschirotto! That strike on 23 puts his side firmly in control.
- 28' Both keepers have barely been tested. US Lecce and AC Milan are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 33' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Stefano Pioli will be considering his options from the bench.
- 38' It looks surprising US Lecce does not make any changes. Pierre Kalulu has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 43' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 46' AC Milan make a change. Theo Hernandez trudges off to be replaced by Sergino Dest on 46 minutes.
- 51' Divock Origi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 19 goals in his last 409 appearances.
- 56' AC Milan come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 58' Rafael Leao has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 58 minutes.
- 62' Antonino Gallo gets the nod from US Lecce. He replaces Giuseppe Pezzella and will look to change the dynamic.
- 64' US Lecce receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 64.
- 67' Davide Calabria has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 67.
- 69' The crowd applauds Brahim Diaz as he leaves the pitch. Divock Origi steps in for AC Milan.
- 70' Davide Calabria makes no mistake. The score reads 3-2 and AC Milan are in front.
- 71' What a strike from Davide Calabria! The score is 3-3.
- 72' US Lecce ring the changes. Lorenzo Colombo has done his job and it is now time for Lameck Banda to step up.
- 73' US Lecce make a change. Lorenzo Colombo trudges off to be replaced by Lameck Banda on 73 minutes.
- 78' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His US Lecce side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 83' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 86' A moment of madness from Ismael Bennacer on 86 minutes earns him a Yellow card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
- 86' AC Milan ring the changes. Davide Calabria has done his job and it is now time for Simon Kjaer to step up.
- 89' Remi Oudin has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gabriel Strefezza on 89 minute.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
US Lecce Lineups
Starting XI
- 29
- 93
- 11
- 97
- 42
- 17
- 30
-
9
Lorenzo Colombo ↓ Lameck Banda 72'
- 6
-
27
Gabriel Strefezza ↓ Remi Oudin 89'
-
16
Joan Gonzalez ↓ Youssef Maleh 62'
Bench
-
28
Remi Oudin ↑ 89'
- 21
- 13
-
25
Antonino Gallo ↑ 62'
- 8
- 77
- 1
-
22
Lameck Banda ↑ 72'
- 7
- 19
- 99
-
32
Youssef Maleh ↑ 62'
- 83
- 14
-
31
Joel Persson ↑ 72'
Coach
Marco Baroni
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
-
10
Brahim Diaz ↓ Divock Origi 69'
- 23
- 17
- 1
-
19
Theo Hernandez ↓ Sergino Dest 46'
-
2
Davide Calabria ↓ Simon Kjaer 86'
- 4
- 56
- 20
-
32
Tommaso Pobega ↓ Aster Vranckx 86'
Bench
-
27
Divock Origi ↑ 69'
- 7
-
24
Simon Kjaer ↑ 86'
- 83
- 14
-
40
Aster Vranckx ↑ 86'
-
21
Sergino Dest ↑ 46'
- 46
- 90
- 28
-
30
Junior Messias ↑ 46'
- 94
- 77
Coach
Stefano Pioli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 5 |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Davide Calabria | 2 |
| Nikola Krstovic | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Khouma Babacar | 1 |
| Tijjani Reijnders | 1 |
Head to Head
US Lecce Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.17
US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
US Lecce or AC Milan 74% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
US Lecce or Draw
57%
Draw or AC Milan
70%
US Lecce or AC Milan
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: US Lecce win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 1
8.7%
0 – 2
8.1%
0 – 0
7.3%
2 – 1
6.2%
1 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
5.4%
0 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — US Lecce
| Handicap | US Lecce covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 14% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 22% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 15% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.