Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SSC Napoli vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
Sun 8 Oct 2023 · 18:45 UTC Diego Armando Maradona HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 7' Josip Brekalo
Victor Osimhen pen 45+5' 1–1
1–3 90+3' Nicolas Gonzalez

Overview

Match Preview

SSC Napoli vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Diego Armando Maradona.

Match Details

  • Referee Federico La Penna
  • Assistant 1 Giovanni Baccini
  • Assistant 2 Alessio Tolfo
3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 12.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct ACF Fiorentina H 1–3 L
03 Oct Real Madrid CF H 2–3 L
30 Sep US Lecce A 4–0 W
27 Sep Udinese Calcio H 4–1 W
24 Sep Bologna FC 1909 A 0–0 D
20 Sep Sporting Clube de Braga A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct SSC Napoli A 3–1 W
02 Oct Cagliari Calcio H 3–0 W
28 Sep Frosinone Calcio A 1–1 D
24 Sep Udinese Calcio A 2–0 W
17 Sep Atalanta BC H 3–2 W
03 Sep FC Internazionale Milano A 0–4 L

Season Stats

SSC Napoli ACF Fiorentina
#9 Position #17
7 Points 4
5 Played 5
2 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 3
7 Scored 6
6 Conceded 12
+1 GD -6
1.40 PPG 0.80
40% Win % 20%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
SSC Napoli this season
0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season

SSC Napoli are 9th (7 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 17th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SSC Napoli
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
ACF Fiorentina
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/4
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.12 SSC Napoli xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SSC Napoli47% Draw25% ACF Fiorentina28%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.56
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

SSC Napoli or Draw
72%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
53%
SSC Napoli or ACF Fiorentina
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SSC Napoli39% Draw40% ACF Fiorentina21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–3 not predicted
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
3 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
6.1%
1 – 0
5.5%
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 0
4.2%
0 – 1
3.5%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — SSC Napoli

Handicap SSC Napoli covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 16% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 20% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 14% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.