Saturday , 14 November 2026

SSC Napoli vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
Sun 8 Oct 2023 · 18:45 UTC Diego Armando Maradona HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 7' Josip Brekalo
Victor Osimhen pen 45+5' 1–1
1–3 90+3' Nicolas Gonzalez

Overview

Match Preview

SSC Napoli vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Diego Armando Maradona.

Match Details

  • Referee Federico La Penna
  • Assistant 1 Giovanni Baccini
  • Assistant 2 Alessio Tolfo
4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 14.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct ACF Fiorentina H 1–3 L
03 Oct Real Madrid CF H 2–3 L
30 Sep US Lecce A 4–0 W
27 Sep Udinese Calcio H 4–1 W
24 Sep Bologna FC 1909 A 0–0 D
20 Sep Sporting Clube de Braga A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct SSC Napoli A 3–1 W
02 Oct Cagliari Calcio H 3–0 W
28 Sep Frosinone Calcio A 1–1 D
24 Sep Udinese Calcio A 2–0 W
17 Sep Atalanta BC H 3–2 W
03 Sep FC Internazionale Milano A 0–4 L

Season Stats

SSC Napoli ACF Fiorentina
#10 Position #15
15 Points 9
11 Played 11
4 / 3 / 4 W / D / L 2 / 3 / 6
18 Scored 17
14 Conceded 25
+4 GD -8
1.36 PPG 0.82
36% Win % 18%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
SSC Napoli this season
0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season

SSC Napoli are 10th (15 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SSC Napoli
0-15
1/–
16-30
4/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/3
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
ACF Fiorentina
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
5/3
61-75
3/5
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SSC Napoli
Kevin De Bruyne 4 G 1 A
Rasmus Hojlund 3 G
Matteo Politano 2 G 3 A
Antonio Vergara 1 G
ACF Fiorentina
Mateo Pellegrino 4 G
Franco Mastantuono 4 G
Alieu Njie 3 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.16 SSC Napoli xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.57 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SSC Napoli46% Draw25% ACF Fiorentina29%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 3.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

SSC Napoli or Draw
70%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
54%
SSC Napoli or ACF Fiorentina
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SSC Napoli38% Draw39% ACF Fiorentina23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–3 not predicted
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
9%
2 – 1
8.5%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
5.7%
3 – 2
4.7%
1 – 0
4.7%
3 – 0
4%
0 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3.5%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — SSC Napoli

Handicap SSC Napoli covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 15% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 20% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 14% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.