Thursday , 2 July 2026

SS Lazio vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
Mon 30 Oct 2023 · 19:45 UTC Stadio Olimpico, Rome HT 45' · FT 45'
Ciro Immobile pen 90+5' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

SS Lazio vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

Match Details

  • Referee Matteo Marcenaro (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Alessio Berti
  • Assistant 2 Alessandro Cipressa
9 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 21.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Oct ACF Fiorentina H 1–0 W
25 Oct Feyenoord Rotterdam A 1–3 L
21 Oct US Sassuolo Calcio A 2–0 W
08 Oct Atalanta BC H 3–2 W
04 Oct Celtic FC A 2–1 W
30 Sep AC Milan A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Oct SS Lazio A 0–1 L
23 Oct Empoli FC H 0–2 L
08 Oct SSC Napoli A 3–1 W
02 Oct Cagliari Calcio H 3–0 W
28 Sep Frosinone Calcio A 1–1 D
24 Sep Udinese Calcio A 2–0 W

Season Stats

SS Lazio ACF Fiorentina
#9 Position #15
54 Points 42
38 Played 38
14 / 12 / 12 W / D / L 9 / 15 / 14
41 Scored 41
40 Conceded 50
+1 GD -9
1.42 PPG 1.11
37% Win % 24%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

SS Lazio are 9th (54 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Stadio Olimpico, Rome. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' Antonin Barak is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SS Lazio tonight.
  • 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SS Lazio that had 511 games and scored 574 goals.
  • 30' Mattia Zaccagni needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 31' Manuel Lazzari picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 36' Alessio Romagnoli has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 52 cards already picked up this season.
  • 40' A moment of madness from Alfred Duncan on 40 minutes earns him a Yellow card. ACF Fiorentina will be frustrated.
  • 45' Nicolo Rovella picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 46' ACF Fiorentina ring the changes. Alfred Duncan has done his job and it is now time for Rolando Mandragora to step up.
  • 46' A moment of madness from Nicolo Rovella on 46 minutes earns him a Yellow card. SS Lazio will be frustrated.
  • 51' SS Lazio is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 55' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Giacomo Bonaventura on 55 minutes.
  • 60' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SS Lazio and ACF Fiorentina are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 62' The ACF Fiorentina manager makes a substitution. Lucas Beltran departs to be replaced by M'Bala Nzola.
  • 63' A tactical swap from SS LazioDanilo Cataldi on, Nicolo Rovella off on 63 minutes.
  • 66' Mattia Zaccagni catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 66.
  • 67' It is a substitution in SS Lazio team. Matteo Guendouzi is replaced by Matias Vecino on 67 minute.
  • 68' The SS Lazio manager makes a substitution. Luis Alberto departs to be replaced by Daichi Kamada.
  • 71' Another change for ACF Fiorentina made on 71 minute. Arthur leaves to be changed by Maxime Lopez.
  • 76' Brazil international Arthur has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 77' The supporters are chanting for Pedro. He replaces Mattia Zaccagni on 77 minute.
  • 79' ACF Fiorentina manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Luca Ranieri is hanging Cristiano Biraghi on the field on 79 minute.
  • 84' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 89' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 89 minutes.
  • 1-0 the final result. ACF Fiorentina will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.49 SS Lazio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SS Lazio54% Draw27% ACF Fiorentina19%
Actual: SS Lazio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

SS Lazio or Draw
81%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
46%
SS Lazio or ACF Fiorentina
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SS Lazio35% Draw50% ACF Fiorentina15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
12%
2 – 0
10.6%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
7%
3 – 0
5.2%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
2%

Asian Handicap — SS Lazio

Handicap SS Lazio covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 25% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

SS Lazio keeps clean sheet
44%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.