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1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2018-19
Fri 5 Apr 2019 · 18:30 UTC Opel Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC FreiburgBundesliga at Opel Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Arno Blos
  • Referee Thomas Gorniak
  • Referee Sven Jablonski
  • Referee Johann Pfeifer
  • Referee Gunter Perl

Head-to-Head

4
6
6
1. FSV Mainz 05 16 games · Avg 2.4 goals SC Freiburg

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr SC Freiburg H 5–0 W
30 Mar SV Werder Bremen A 1–3 L
17 Mar FC Bayern München A 0–6 L
09 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach H 0–1 L
02 Mar Hertha BSC A 1–2 L
23 Feb FC Schalke 04 H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–5 L
30 Mar FC Bayern München H 1–1 D
15 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–1 D
09 Mar Hertha BSC H 2–1 W
02 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–2 L
23 Feb FC Augsburg H 5–1 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 SC Freiburg
#16 Position #13
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). SC Freiburg are 13th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and 1. FSV Mainz 05 launch into their encounter with SC Freiburg.
  • 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. SC Freiburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 20' Jean-Paul Boetius has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 20 minutes.
  • 25' A goal from the France international Jean-Philippe Mateta! He fires home on 25 to make it 2-0!
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Nicolas Hofler, as he is very good at scoring at Opel Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 33' Jean-Philippe Mateta makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are in front.
  • 38' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 41' The referee calls foul for Pierre Kunde Malong. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nicolas Hofler on 45.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Mike Frantz as he leaves the pitch. Florian Niederlechner steps in for SC Freiburg.
  • 51' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 55' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Karim Onisiwo comes on to replace Pierre Kunde Malong.
  • 57' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Danny Latza.
  • 62' Aaron Martin is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SC Freiburg so far.
  • 64' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Alexandru Maxim.
  • 68' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Alexander Hack comes on to replace Niko Bungert.
  • 73' The deadlock is broken! Karim Onisiwo gets on the scoresheet on 73 minutes.
  • 77' The deadlock is broken! Jean-Philippe Mateta gets on the scoresheet on 77 minutes.
  • 79' Alexandru Maxim is replacing Robin Quaison for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
  • 83' SC Freiburg make a change. Pascal Stenzel trudges off to be replaced by Robin Koch on 83 minutes.
  • 88' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • The final score is 5-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.76 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.3 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 78% + 1. FSV Mainz 05 to win 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0567% Draw23% SC Freiburg10%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes22% 0% No78%
Avg goals/match: 2.06
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
90%
Draw or SC Freiburg
33%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0548% Draw48% SC Freiburg4%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
22%
2 – 0
19.1%
0 – 0
14.6%
3 – 0
11%
1 – 1
6.9%
2 – 1
5.9%
4 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
3.7%
0 – 1
2.9%
5 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
1.7%
1 – 2
0.9%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 23% 56%
-1.5 44% 56%
-1 44% 29% 27%
-0.5 73% 27%
+0.5 95% 5%
+1 95% 4% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
74%
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.