Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Adelaide United FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sun 4 Jan 2026 · 08:35 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Adelaide United FC A 4–0 W
31 Dec Brisbane Roar FC H 1–2 L
21 Dec Wellington Phoenix FC A 1–3 L
12 Dec Auckland FC H 1–2 L
06 Dec Sydney FC H 1–2 L
29 Nov Melbourne City FC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Adelaide United FC Central Coast Mariners FC
#2 Position #9
43 Points 32
26 Played 26
12 / 7 / 7 W / D / L 8 / 8 / 10
46 Scored 35
36 Conceded 42
+10 GD -7
1.65 PPG 1.23
46% Win % 31%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts). Central Coast Mariners FC are 9th (32 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Adelaide United FC Lineups

Central Coast Mariners FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.72 Adelaide United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.92 Central Coast Mariners FC xG
I would bet for: Adelaide United FC or Central Coast Mariners FC 75% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Adelaide United FC36% Draw25% Central Coast Mariners FC39%
Actual: Central Coast Mariners FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 3.64
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

Adelaide United FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Central Coast Mariners FC
64%
Adelaide United FC or Central Coast Mariners FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Adelaide United FC28% Draw40% Central Coast Mariners FC32%
Actual: Central Coast Mariners FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
9.5%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 3
5.1%
0 – 2
4.9%
0 – 1
4.5%
2 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 0
4%
1 – 0
4%
3 – 2
4%

Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC

Handicap Adelaide United FC covers Push Central Coast Mariners FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 10% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 17% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 58% — 42%
+1 58% 18% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 13% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Central Coast Mariners FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.