Thursday , 2 July 2026

Watford FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
1 2
Full Time
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 12:30 UTC Vicarage Road 20,031 HT 45' · FT 45'
Matthew Pollock 30' 1–0
1–1 59' Casper De Norre
1–2 81' Josh Coburn
Y 50' Luke Cundle

Overview

Match Preview

Watford FC vs Millwall FCChampionship at Vicarage Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Gavin Ward
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Matt McGrath

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Millwall FC H 1–2 L
01 Mar Stoke City FC A 0–0 D
23 Feb Luton Town FC H 2–0 W
15 Feb Middlesbrough FC A 1–0 W
11 Feb Leeds United FC H 0–4 L
08 Feb Sunderland AFC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Watford FC A 2–1 W
04 Mar Bristol City FC H 0–2 L
01 Mar Crystal Palace FC A 1–3 L
22 Feb Derby County FC A 1–0 W
18 Feb Preston North End FC A 1–1 D
15 Feb West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Watford FC Millwall FC
#16 Position #3
57 Points 83
46 Played 46
14 / 15 / 17 W / D / L 24 / 11 / 11
53 Scored 64
65 Conceded 49
-12 GD +15
1.24 PPG 1.80
30% Win % 52%

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Watford FC are 16th (57 pts). Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Vicarage Road as Watford FC face off against Millwall FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' Millwall FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Watford FC and Millwall FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 20' Millwall FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 25' It’s high time Alex Neil made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 30' Matthew Pollock doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 40' A quiet spell here at Vicarage Road. Watford FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 45' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 50' Controversy at the stadium! Luke Cundle argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 55' The energy levels are beginning to show. Alex Neil might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 56' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Vakoun Issouf Bayo comes on to replace Mamadou Doumbia.
  • 59' Casper De Norre doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 64' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 69' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 70' Ryan Andrews gets the nod from Watford FC. He replaces Jeremy Ngakia and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 71' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Yasser Larouci is replaced by Caleb Wiley on 71 minute.
  • 75' The Millwall FC bench stirs into life. Luke Cundle is withdrawn and Aaron Connolly gets his opportunity.
  • 76' The whistle greets Aidomo Emakhu as he departs to be replaced by Femi Azeez.
  • 81' Goal! Josh Coburn scores his 30 goal in 383 matches.
  • 84' The supporters are chanting for Mihailo Ivanovic. He replaces Josh Coburn on 84 minute.
  • 85' Watford FC ring the changes. Moussa Sissoko has done his job and it is now time for Tom Ince to step up.
  • 90' With 0 assists to his name this season, Aaron Connolly is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Millwall FC.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.16 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 Millwall FC xG
I would bet for: Watford FC or Millwall FC 72% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC29% Draw28% Millwall FC43%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Millwall FC
71%
Watford FC or Millwall FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Watford FC21% Draw46% Millwall FC33%
Actual: Watford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
8.3%
0 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
6.6%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 3
4.1%
2 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Millwall FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 16% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 54% 46%
+1 54% 22% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
21%
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.