Watford FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Millwall FC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Gavin Ward
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Matt McGrath
6 games this season
🟨 3.8/game
⚽ 5.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | Millwall FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Mar | Stoke City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Feb | Luton Town FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | Leeds United FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 08 Feb | Sunderland AFC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | Watford FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Mar | Bristol City FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Mar | Crystal Palace FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | Derby County FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Feb | Preston North End FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Feb | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Millwall FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #16 |
| 15 | Points | 18 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 4 / 3 / 8 | W / D / L | 5 / 3 / 7 |
| 13 | Scored | 23 |
| 23 | Conceded | 27 |
| -10 | GD | -4 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.20 |
| 27% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
30%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
Watford FC are 20th (15 pts). Millwall FC are 16th (18 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Millwall FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/4
76+
7/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 5 G | 2 A |
| Camiel Neghli | 3 G | 3 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Watford FC is hosting Millwall FC for another epic battle.
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Watford FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 15' Edo Kayembe is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Watford FC so far.
- 20' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 30' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Matthew Pollock makes it 1-0.
- 35' Watford FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Millwall FC backline.
- 40' The energy levels are beginning to show. Tom Cleverley might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 45' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 50' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Luke Cundle.
- 55' It looks surprising Millwall FC does not make any changes. Joe Bryan has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 56' Another change for Watford FC made on 56 minute. Mamadou Doumbia leaves to be changed by Vakoun Issouf Bayo.
- 59' Casper De Norre doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 64' A quiet spell here at Vicarage Road. Millwall FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 69' The home supporters are growing impatient. Watford FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 70' The crowd applauds Jeremy Ngakia as he leaves the pitch. Ryan Andrews steps in for Watford FC.
- 71' Watford FC make a change. Yasser Larouci trudges off to be replaced by Caleb Wiley on 71 minutes.
- 75' A change in the Millwall FC ranks — Luke Cundle exits the field as Aaron Connolly enters on 75.
- 76' The whistle greets Aidomo Emakhu as he departs to be replaced by Femi Azeez.
- 81' Josh Coburn puts Millwall FC on the lead.
- 84' Mihailo Ivanovic is replacing Josh Coburn for the Millwall FC side.
- 85' The Watford FC manager makes a substitution. Moussa Sissoko departs to be replaced by Tom Ince.
- 90' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 90 minutes.
- The points are shared — Watford FC 1-2 Millwall FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
17
Moussa Sissoko ↓ Tom Ince 85'
-
39
Edo Kayembe ↓ Rocco Vata 71'
- 8
- 6
- 10
- 24
-
37
Yasser Larouci ↓ Caleb Wiley 71'
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Ryan Andrews 70'
- 33
- 25
- 20
Bench
- 23
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 85'
- 21
- 3
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 56'
-
26
Caleb Wiley ↑ 71'
-
11
Rocco Vata ↑ 71'
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↑ 70'
- 52
Coach
Tom Cleverley
Millwall FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 39
- 15
- 24
-
8
Billy Mitchell ↓ George Saville 84'
- 6
-
25
Luke Cundle ↓ Aaron Connolly 75'
- 52
- 1
-
21
Josh Coburn ↓ Mihailo Ivanovic 84'
-
22
Aidomo Emakhu ↓ Femi Azeez 76'
Bench
-
9
Aaron Connolly ↑ 75'
- 45
-
23
George Saville ↑ 84'
- 14
-
11
Femi Azeez ↑ 76'
-
26
Mihailo Ivanovic ↑ 84'
- 58
-
31
Raees Bangura-Williams ↑ 75'
- 41
Coach
Alex Neil
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Bradshaw | 4 |
| Zian Flemming | 3 |
| Mileta Rajovic | 2 |
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Casper De Norre | 1 |
| Ismaila Sarr | 1 |
| Josh Coburn | 1 |
| Matthew Pollock | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.23
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63
Millwall FC xG
I would bet for:
Watford FC or Millwall FC 72% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Millwall FC
70%
Watford FC or Millwall FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.5%
0 – 0
7.6%
0 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Millwall FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 21% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

