Watford FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
- Millwall FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Gavin Ward
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Matt McGrath
5 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 6.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | Millwall FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Mar | Stoke City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Feb | Luton Town FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | Leeds United FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 08 Feb | Sunderland AFC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | Watford FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Mar | Bristol City FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Mar | Crystal Palace FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | Derby County FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Feb | Preston North End FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Feb | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Millwall FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #11 |
| 8 | Points | 11 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 2 / 2 / 4 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 3 |
| 7 | Scored | 15 |
| 10 | Conceded | 15 |
| -3 | GD | +0 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.38 |
| 25% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
30%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
38%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
Watford FC are 20th (8 pts). Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Watford FC gets underway.
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Watford FC that had 362 games and scored 396 goals.
- 10' Aidomo Emakhu is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Millwall FC so far.
- 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 20' The -year-old Raees Bangura-Williams has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 25' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mihailo Ivanovic is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Millwall FC.
- 30' Magnificent from Matthew Pollock! That is 8 goals in 21 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Alex Neil will be considering his options from the bench.
- 40' Watford FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Millwall FC backline.
- 45' Millwall FC is showing some good football. However, Millwall FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 50' Luke Cundle is having his name booked by the referee on 50.
- 55' Luke Cundle has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 56' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Vakoun Issouf Bayo comes on to replace Mamadou Doumbia.
- 59' Casper De Norre doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 64' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 69' It looks surprising Millwall FC does not make any changes. Joe Bryan has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 70' Watford FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ryan Andrews is hanging Jeremy Ngakia on the field on 70 minute.
- 71' The whistle greets Yasser Larouci as he departs to be replaced by Caleb Wiley.
- 75' The Millwall FC manager makes a substitution. Luke Cundle departs to be replaced by Aaron Connolly.
- 76' Millwall FC ring the changes. Aidomo Emakhu has done his job and it is now time for Femi Azeez to step up.
- 81' What a strike from Josh Coburn! The score is 1-2.
- 84' The supporters are chanting for Mihailo Ivanovic. He replaces Josh Coburn on 84 minute.
- 85' The Watford FC manager makes a substitution. Moussa Sissoko departs to be replaced by Tom Ince.
- 90' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Millwall FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
17
Moussa Sissoko ↓ Tom Ince 85'
-
39
Edo Kayembe ↓ Rocco Vata 71'
- 8
- 6
- 10
- 24
-
37
Yasser Larouci ↓ Caleb Wiley 71'
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Ryan Andrews 70'
- 33
- 25
- 20
Bench
- 23
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 85'
- 21
- 3
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 56'
-
26
Caleb Wiley ↑ 71'
-
11
Rocco Vata ↑ 71'
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↑ 70'
- 52
Coach
Tom Cleverley
Millwall FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 39
- 15
- 24
-
8
Billy Mitchell ↓ George Saville 84'
- 6
-
25
Luke Cundle ↓ Aaron Connolly 75'
- 52
- 1
-
21
Josh Coburn ↓ Mihailo Ivanovic 84'
-
22
Aidomo Emakhu ↓ Femi Azeez 76'
Bench
-
9
Aaron Connolly ↑ 75'
- 45
-
23
George Saville ↑ 84'
- 14
-
11
Femi Azeez ↑ 76'
-
26
Mihailo Ivanovic ↑ 84'
- 58
-
31
Raees Bangura-Williams ↑ 75'
- 41
Coach
Alex Neil
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Bradshaw | 4 |
| Zian Flemming | 3 |
| Mileta Rajovic | 2 |
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Josh Coburn | 1 |
| Matthew Pollock | 1 |
| Andreas Voglsammer | 1 |
| Wes Harding | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.27
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64
Millwall FC xG
I would bet for:
Watford FC or Millwall FC 72% + Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Millwall FC
70%
Watford FC or Millwall FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.1%
0 – 0
7.3%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Millwall FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 21% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

