Watford FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
- Millwall FC 46 games · 83 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Gavin Ward
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Matt McGrath
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | Millwall FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Mar | Stoke City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Feb | Luton Town FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | Leeds United FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 08 Feb | Sunderland AFC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | Watford FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Mar | Bristol City FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Mar | Crystal Palace FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | Derby County FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Feb | Preston North End FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Feb | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Millwall FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #3 |
| 57 | Points | 83 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 14 / 15 / 17 | W / D / L | 24 / 11 / 11 |
| 53 | Scored | 64 |
| 65 | Conceded | 49 |
| -12 | GD | +15 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.80 |
| 30% | Win % | 52% |
Key Stats
30%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Watford FC are 16th (57 pts). Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Vicarage Road as Watford FC face off against Millwall FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' Millwall FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Watford FC and Millwall FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 20' Millwall FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 25' It’s high time Alex Neil made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 30' Matthew Pollock doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 40' A quiet spell here at Vicarage Road. Watford FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 45' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 50' Controversy at the stadium! Luke Cundle argues furiously but the card stands.
- 55' The energy levels are beginning to show. Alex Neil might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 56' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Vakoun Issouf Bayo comes on to replace Mamadou Doumbia.
- 59' Casper De Norre doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 64' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 69' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 70' Ryan Andrews gets the nod from Watford FC. He replaces Jeremy Ngakia and will look to change the dynamic.
- 71' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Yasser Larouci is replaced by Caleb Wiley on 71 minute.
- 75' The Millwall FC bench stirs into life. Luke Cundle is withdrawn and Aaron Connolly gets his opportunity.
- 76' The whistle greets Aidomo Emakhu as he departs to be replaced by Femi Azeez.
- 81' Goal! Josh Coburn scores his 30 goal in 383 matches.
- 84' The supporters are chanting for Mihailo Ivanovic. He replaces Josh Coburn on 84 minute.
- 85' Watford FC ring the changes. Moussa Sissoko has done his job and it is now time for Tom Ince to step up.
- 90' With 0 assists to his name this season, Aaron Connolly is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Millwall FC.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
17
Moussa Sissoko ↓ Tom Ince 85'
-
39
Edo Kayembe ↓ Rocco Vata 71'
- 8
- 6
- 10
- 24
-
37
Yasser Larouci ↓ Caleb Wiley 71'
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Ryan Andrews 70'
- 33
- 25
- 20
Bench
- 23
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 85'
- 21
- 3
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 56'
-
26
Caleb Wiley ↑ 71'
-
11
Rocco Vata ↑ 71'
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↑ 70'
- 52
Coach
Tom Cleverley
Millwall FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 39
- 15
- 24
-
8
Billy Mitchell ↓ George Saville 84'
- 6
-
25
Luke Cundle ↓ Aaron Connolly 75'
- 52
- 1
-
21
Josh Coburn ↓ Mihailo Ivanovic 84'
-
22
Aidomo Emakhu ↓ Femi Azeez 76'
Bench
-
9
Aaron Connolly ↑ 75'
- 45
-
23
George Saville ↑ 84'
- 14
-
11
Femi Azeez ↑ 76'
-
26
Mihailo Ivanovic ↑ 84'
- 58
-
31
Raees Bangura-Williams ↑ 75'
- 41
Coach
Alex Neil
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Bradshaw | 4 |
| Zian Flemming | 3 |
| Mileta Rajovic | 2 |
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Josh Coburn | 1 |
| Matthew Pollock | 1 |
| Andreas Voglsammer | 1 |
| Wes Harding | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.16
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59
Millwall FC xG
I would bet for:
Watford FC or Millwall FC 72% + Both teams to score 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Millwall FC
71%
Watford FC or Millwall FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
8.3%
0 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
6.6%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 3
4.1%
2 – 3
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Millwall FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 16% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 22% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

