Millwall FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Watford FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Gavin Ward
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Garry Maskell
5 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 6.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Watford FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Feb | Southampton FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Feb | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Feb | Ipswich Town FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 11 Feb | Coventry City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Feb | Hull City AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Millwall FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Feb | Huddersfield Town AFC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Feb | Rotherham United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Feb | Norwich City FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 10 Feb | Leicester City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Feb | Southampton FC | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #20 |
| 11 | Points | 8 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 3 / 2 / 3 | W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 4 |
| 15 | Scored | 7 |
| 15 | Conceded | 10 |
| +0 | GD | -3 |
| 1.38 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 38% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
30%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
38%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts). Watford FC are 20th (8 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to The Den that hosts another battle between Millwall FC and Watford FC.
- 1' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Edo Kayembe on 1 minutes.
- 3' Millwall FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Zian Flemming on 3.
- 8' A quiet spell here at The Den. Millwall FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 13' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 18' Millwall FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Watford FC backline.
- 23' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 28' With 0 assists to his name this season, Dan McNamara is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Millwall FC.
- 33' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 38' It looks like no one’s ball. Watford FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 43' Millwall FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Dan McNamara on 45 minutes.
- 46' Watford FC make a change. Edo Kayembe trudges off to be replaced by Tom Dele-Bashiru on 46 minutes.
- 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 56' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 61' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 62' Fresh legs for Millwall FC! Brooke Norton-Cuffy comes on to replace Duncan Watmore.
- 66' The crowd applauds Jeremy Ngakia as he leaves the pitch. Ryan Andrews steps in for Watford FC.
- 67' Ismael Kone has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ken Sema on 67 minute.
- 72' The crowd applauds Michael Obafemi as he leaves the pitch. Ryan Longman steps in for Millwall FC.
- 75' Ryan Leonard is having his name booked by the referee on 75.
- 79' Time for substitution for Watford FC. Vakoun Issouf Bayo is replaced by Mileta Rajovic.
- 84' The home supporters are growing impatient. Millwall FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 87' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Jake Livermore is replaced by Matheus Martins on 87 minute.
- 90' A moment of madness from Zian Flemming on 90 minutes earns him a card. Millwall FC will be frustrated.
- 90' It is a substitution in Millwall FC team. Billy Mitchell is replaced by Casper De Norre on 90 minute.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for Millwall FC and Watford FC (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 18
- 5
- 39
- 19
- 23
- 20
- 10
-
21
Michael Obafemi ↓ Ryan Longman 72'
-
2
Dan McNamara ↓ Joe Bryan 90'
- 8
- 6
Bench
- 3
-
15
Joe Bryan ↑ 90'
- 33
-
24
Casper De Norre ↑ 90'
-
11
Ryan Longman ↑ 72'
- 22
-
17
Brooke Norton-Cuffy ↑ 62'
- 25
- 12
Coach
Neil Harris
Watford FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 25
-
12
Ken Sema ↓ Ismael Kone 67'
- 26
- 8
- 4
- 6
- 3
-
39
Edo Kayembe ↓ Tom Dele-Bashiru 46'
- 19
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Ryan Andrews 66'
- 18
Bench
- 7
- 1
- 5
- 15
-
24
Tom Dele-Bashiru ↑ 46'
-
37
Matheus Martins ↑ 87'
-
11
Ismael Kone ↑ 67'
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↑ 66'
-
9
Mileta Rajovic ↑ 79'
Coach
Valerien Ismael
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Bradshaw | 4 |
| Zian Flemming | 3 |
| Mileta Rajovic | 2 |
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Edo Kayembe | 1 |
| Giorgi Chakvetadze | 1 |
| Casper De Norre | 1 |
| Ismaila Sarr | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.59
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Watford FC
48%
Millwall FC or Watford FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Millwall FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
8.9%
0 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 23% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

