Millwall FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Watford FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 46 games · 83 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Gavin Ward
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Garry Maskell
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Watford FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Feb | Southampton FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Feb | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Feb | Ipswich Town FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 11 Feb | Coventry City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Feb | Hull City AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Millwall FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Feb | Huddersfield Town AFC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Feb | Rotherham United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Feb | Norwich City FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 10 Feb | Leicester City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Feb | Southampton FC | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Watford FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #16 |
| 83 | Points | 57 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 24 / 11 / 11 | W / D / L | 14 / 15 / 17 |
| 64 | Scored | 53 |
| 49 | Conceded | 65 |
| +15 | GD | -12 |
| 1.80 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 52% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
30%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Watford FC are 16th (57 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Millwall FC and Watford FC is underway.
- 1' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Edo Kayembe on 1 minutes.
- 3' Zian Flemming is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 8' Watford FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 13' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ben Hamer, as he is very good at scoring at The Den with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 18' Duncan Watmore has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 23' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Millwall FC that had 382 games and scored 401 goals.
- 28' Millwall FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 33' It’s high time Neil Harris made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 38' Vakoun Issouf Bayo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 43' The energy levels are beginning to show. Neil Harris might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 45' Poor challenge from Dan McNamara. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 46' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Edo Kayembe is replaced by Tom Dele-Bashiru on 46 minute.
- 51' Watford FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Millwall FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 61' Millwall FC have won 401 goals from 382 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 62' Fresh legs for Millwall FC! Brooke Norton-Cuffy comes on to replace Duncan Watmore.
- 66' Time for substitution for Watford FC. Jeremy Ngakia is replaced by Ryan Andrews.
- 67' Watford FC ring the changes. Ken Sema has done his job and it is now time for Ismael Kone to step up.
- 72' Michael Obafemi makes way for Ryan Longman at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from Millwall FC.
- 75' The referee shows Millwall FC player a card on 75.
- 79' The crowd applauds Vakoun Issouf Bayo as he leaves the pitch. Mileta Rajovic steps in for Watford FC.
- 84' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Millwall FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 87' Matheus Martins gets the nod from Watford FC. He replaces Jake Livermore and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' The referee shows Millwall FC player a card on 90.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Casper De Norre. He replaces Billy Mitchell on 90 minute.
- The final score is 1-0.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 18
- 5
- 39
- 19
- 23
- 20
- 10
-
21
Michael Obafemi ↓ Ryan Longman 72'
-
2
Dan McNamara ↓ Joe Bryan 90'
- 8
- 6
Bench
- 3
-
15
Joe Bryan ↑ 90'
- 33
-
24
Casper De Norre ↑ 90'
-
11
Ryan Longman ↑ 72'
- 22
-
17
Brooke Norton-Cuffy ↑ 62'
- 25
- 12
Coach
Neil Harris
Watford FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 25
-
12
Ken Sema ↓ Ismael Kone 67'
- 26
- 8
- 4
- 6
- 3
-
39
Edo Kayembe ↓ Tom Dele-Bashiru 46'
- 19
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Ryan Andrews 66'
- 18
Bench
- 7
- 1
- 5
- 15
-
24
Tom Dele-Bashiru ↑ 46'
-
37
Matheus Martins ↑ 87'
-
11
Ismael Kone ↑ 67'
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↑ 66'
-
9
Mileta Rajovic ↑ 79'
Coach
Valerien Ismael
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Bradshaw | 4 |
| Zian Flemming | 3 |
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Mileta Rajovic | 2 |
| Edo Kayembe | 1 |
| Giorgi Chakvetadze | 1 |
| Casper De Norre | 1 |
| Ismaila Sarr | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Watford FC
48%
Millwall FC or Watford FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Millwall FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.3%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
4.8%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 23% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.