Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Millwall FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
1 – 0
Full Time
Sat 2 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC The Den HT 45' · FT 45'
Zian Flemming 3' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Watford FC — Championship at The Den.

Match Details

  • Referee Gavin Ward
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Garry Maskell
5 games this season 🟨 1.6/game ⚽ 6.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Watford FC H 1–0 W
24 Feb Southampton FC A 2–1 W
17 Feb Sheffield Wednesday FC H 0–2 L
14 Feb Ipswich Town FC H 0–4 L
11 Feb Coventry City FC A 1–2 L
03 Feb Hull City AFC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Millwall FC A 0–1 L
24 Feb Huddersfield Town AFC H 1–2 L
17 Feb Rotherham United FC A 1–0 W
13 Feb Norwich City FC A 2–4 L
10 Feb Leicester City FC H 1–2 L
06 Feb Southampton FC A 0–3 L

Season Stats

Millwall FC Watford FC
#11 Position #20
11 Points 8
8 Played 8
3 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 4
15 Scored 7
15 Conceded 10
+0 GD -3
1.38 PPG 1.00
38% Win % 25%

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
38% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts). Watford FC are 20th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Millwall FC
Lyndon Dykes 4 G 1 A
Tairyk Arconte 3 G
Josh Coburn 2 G
Luke Cundle 1 G
Watford FC
Amin Nabizada 3 G
Iker Bravo 1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to The Den that hosts another battle between Millwall FC and Watford FC.
  • 1' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Edo Kayembe on 1 minutes.
  • 3' Millwall FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Zian Flemming on 3.
  • 8' A quiet spell here at The Den. Millwall FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 13' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 18' Millwall FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Watford FC backline.
  • 23' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 28' With 0 assists to his name this season, Dan McNamara is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Millwall FC.
  • 33' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 38' It looks like no one’s ball. Watford FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 43' Millwall FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Dan McNamara on 45 minutes.
  • 46' Watford FC make a change. Edo Kayembe trudges off to be replaced by Tom Dele-Bashiru on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 56' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 61' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 62' Fresh legs for Millwall FC! Brooke Norton-Cuffy comes on to replace Duncan Watmore.
  • 66' The crowd applauds Jeremy Ngakia as he leaves the pitch. Ryan Andrews steps in for Watford FC.
  • 67' Ismael Kone has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ken Sema on 67 minute.
  • 72' The crowd applauds Michael Obafemi as he leaves the pitch. Ryan Longman steps in for Millwall FC.
  • 75' Ryan Leonard is having his name booked by the referee on 75.
  • 79' Time for substitution for Watford FC. Vakoun Issouf Bayo is replaced by Mileta Rajovic.
  • 84' The home supporters are growing impatient. Millwall FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 87' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Jake Livermore is replaced by Matheus Martins on 87 minute.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Zian Flemming on 90 minutes earns him a card. Millwall FC will be frustrated.
  • 90' It is a substitution in Millwall FC team. Billy Mitchell is replaced by Casper De Norre on 90 minute.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Millwall FC and Watford FC (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.59 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC52% Draw26% Watford FC22%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Watford FC
48%
Millwall FC or Watford FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC34% Draw47% Watford FC19%
Actual: Millwall FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
8.9%
0 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 23% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✗
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.