Saturday , 14 November 2026

Millwall FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Millwall FC
1 – 0
Full Time
Watford FC
Sat 2 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC The Den HT 45' · FT 45'
Zian Flemming 3' 1–0
Y 1' Edo Kayembe
Dan McNamara 45' Y
Ryan Leonard 75' Y
Zian Flemming 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Watford FC — Championship at The Den.

Match Details

  • Referee Gavin Ward
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Garry Maskell
6 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 5.8 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Birmingham City FC 15 29
2 Middlesbrough FC 15 29
3 Stoke City FC 15 29
4 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 15 28
5 West Bromwich Albion FC 15 28
6 Swansea City AFC 15 26
7 Southampton FC 15 24
8 Queens Park Rangers FC 15 24
9 West Ham United FC 15 23
10 Sheffield United FC 15 22
11 Portsmouth FC 15 22
12 Norwich City FC 15 21
13 Blackburn Rovers FC 15 21
14 Cardiff City FC 15 18
15 Wrexham AFC 15 18
16 Millwall FC 15 18
17 Bristol City FC 15 18
18 Bolton Wanderers FC 15 17
19 Charlton Athletic FC 15 17
20 Watford FC 15 15
21 Lincoln City FC 15 15
22 Burnley FC 15 10
23 Derby County FC 15 10
24 Preston North End FC 15 8

Head-to-Head

6
2
2
Millwall FC 10 games · Avg 2.2 goals Watford FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-03-02 Millwall FC 1–0 Watford FC 2023-10-28 Watford FC 2–2 Millwall FC 2022-12-26 Watford FC 0–2 Millwall FC 2022-10-19 Millwall FC 3–0 Watford FC 2021-04-24 Watford FC 1–0 Millwall FC

Recent Form

Millwall FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Watford FC H 1–0 W
24 Feb Southampton FC A 2–1 W
17 Feb Sheffield Wednesday FC H 0–2 L
14 Feb Ipswich Town FC H 0–4 L
11 Feb Coventry City FC A 1–2 L
03 Feb Hull City AFC A 0–1 L
Watford FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Millwall FC A 0–1 L
24 Feb Huddersfield Town AFC H 1–2 L
17 Feb Rotherham United FC A 1–0 W
13 Feb Norwich City FC A 2–4 L
10 Feb Leicester City FC H 1–2 L
06 Feb Southampton FC A 0–3 L

Season Stats

Millwall FC Watford FC
#16 Position #20
18 Points 15
15 Played 15
5 / 3 / 7 W / D / L 4 / 3 / 8
23 Scored 13
27 Conceded 23
-4 GD -10
1.20 PPG 1.00
33% Win % 27%

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Millwall FC are 16th (18 pts). Watford FC are 20th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/4
76+
7/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Millwall FC
Lyndon Dykes 5 G 2 A
Camiel Neghli 3 G 3 A
Tairyk Arconte 3 G
Josh Coburn 2 G
Luke Cundle 1 G
Watford FC
Amin Nabizada 3 G
Iker Bravo 1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Millwall FC vs Watford FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 1' That looks like a foul for a card for Edo Kayembe.
  • 3' The deadlock is broken! Zian Flemming gets on the scoresheet on 3 minutes.
  • 8' Watford FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 13' The energy levels are beginning to show. Valerien Ismael might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 18' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 23' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 28' Watford FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 33' Over 33 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 38' Millwall FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 38.
  • 43' The home supporters are growing impatient. Millwall FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 45' It’s a booking for Millwall FC player. Dan McNamara gets a card.
  • 46' The whistle greets Edo Kayembe as he departs to be replaced by Tom Dele-Bashiru.
  • 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 61' Millwall FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 62' The whistle greets Duncan Watmore as he departs to be replaced by Brooke Norton-Cuffy.
  • 66' Ryan Andrews is replacing Jeremy Ngakia for the Watford FC side.
  • 67' Ken Sema makes way for Ismael Kone at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from Watford FC.
  • 72' Time for substitution for Millwall FC. Michael Obafemi is replaced by Ryan Longman.
  • 75' Ryan Leonard catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 75.
  • 79' Watford FC make a change. Vakoun Issouf Bayo trudges off to be replaced by Mileta Rajovic on 79 minutes.
  • 84' Millwall FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Watford FC backline.
  • 87' Watford FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Matheus Martins is hanging Jake Livermore on the field on 87 minute.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Zian Flemming on 90 minutes.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Billy Mitchell as he leaves the pitch. Casper De Norre steps in for Millwall FC.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Millwall FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Millwall FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Neil Harris

Watford FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Valerien Ismael

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Tom Bradshaw 4
Zian Flemming 3
Mileta Rajovic 2
Duncan Watmore 2
Edo Kayembe 1
Giorgi Chakvetadze 1
Casper De Norre 1
Ismaila Sarr 1

Head to Head

2024-03-02 Millwall FC 1–0 Watford FC 2023-10-28 Watford FC 2–2 Millwall FC 2022-12-26 Watford FC 0–2 Millwall FC 2022-10-19 Millwall FC 3–0 Watford FC 2021-04-24 Watford FC 1–0 Millwall FC

Millwall FC Form

2024-03-02 Millwall FC 1–0 Watford FC W 2024-02-24 Southampton FC 1–2 Millwall FC W 2024-02-17 Millwall FC 0–2 Sheffield Wednesday FC L 2024-02-14 Millwall FC 0–4 Ipswich Town FC L 2024-02-11 Coventry City FC 2–1 Millwall FC L 2024-02-03 Hull City AFC 1–0 Millwall FC L

Watford FC Form

2024-03-02 Millwall FC 1–0 Watford FC L 2024-02-24 Watford FC 1–2 Huddersfield Town AFC L 2024-02-17 Rotherham United FC 0–1 Watford FC W 2024-02-13 Norwich City FC 4–2 Watford FC L 2024-02-10 Watford FC 1–2 Leicester City FC L 2024-02-06 Southampton FC 3–0 Watford FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.58 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC52% Draw26% Watford FC22%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Watford FC
48%
Millwall FC or Watford FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC35% Draw47% Watford FC18%
Actual: Millwall FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.5%
2 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.7%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 23% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✗
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.