Watford FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at Vicarage Road Stadium.
- Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Millwall FC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec | Millwall FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Dec | Huddersfield Town AFC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Dec | Hull City AFC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Nov | Bristol City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Nov | Reading FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Nov | Coventry City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec | Watford FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Dec | Wigan Athletic FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Dec | Sunderland AFC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Nov | Preston North End FC | A | 4–2 | W |
| 05 Nov | Hull City AFC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Nov | Birmingham City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Millwall FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #16 |
| 15 | Points | 18 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 4 / 3 / 8 | W / D / L | 5 / 3 / 7 |
| 13 | Scored | 23 |
| 23 | Conceded | 27 |
| -10 | GD | -4 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.20 |
| 27% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
30%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
Watford FC are 20th (15 pts). Millwall FC are 16th (18 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Millwall FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/4
76+
7/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 5 G | 2 A |
| Camiel Neghli | 3 G | 3 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Vicarage Road Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Watford FC and Millwall FC.
- 5' The travelling Millwall FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 10' The referee shows Watford FC player a Yellow card on 10.
- 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dan McNamara suffering a number of foals already.
- 20' Ismaila Sarr has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 22' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Andreas Voglsammer makes it 0-1.
- 27' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 28' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for George Saville.
- 33' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 35' The whistle greets Joao Pedro as he departs to be replaced by Yaser Asprilla.
- 38' It’s a booking for Watford FC player. Hassane Kamara gets a Red card.
- 39' Dan McNamara has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 39.
- 44' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 46' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Leandro Bacuna exits the field as William Troost-Ekong enters on 46.
- 51' Jamie Shackleton needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 61' Watford FC make a change. Jeremy Ngakia trudges off to be replaced by Mario Gaspar on 61 minutes.
- 63' Poor challenge from George Long. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 68' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 71' Watford FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Samuel Kalu is hanging Christian Kabasele on the field on 71 minute.
- 75' A change in the Millwall FC ranks — Tyler Burey exits the field as Jamie Shackleton enters on 75.
- 80' George Honeyman gets the nod from Millwall FC. He replaces Andreas Voglsammer and will look to change the dynamic.
- 83' Against the run of play, Zian Flemming has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 88' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 90' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Daniel Bachmann.
- Full Time. Millwall FC beats Watford FC
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 12
- 15
- 27
- 7
- 23
- 14
- 1
-
10
Joao Pedro ↓ Yaser Asprilla 35'
- 24
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Mario Gaspar 61'
Bench
- 26
-
28
Samuel Kalu ↑ 71'
-
3
Mario Gaspar ↑ 61'
-
5
William Troost-Ekong ↑ 46'
- 31
- 19
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↑ 35'
Coach
Slaven Bilic
Millwall FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
14
Tyler Burey ↓ Jamie Shackleton 75'
- 9
- 4
- 5
- 3
- 23
- 1
- 10
- 21
- 2
- 8
Bench
- 7
-
39
George Honeyman ↑ 80'
- 6
- 33
-
16
Jamie Shackleton ↑ 75'
- 15
Coach
Gary Rowett
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Bradshaw | 4 |
| Zian Flemming | 3 |
| Mileta Rajovic | 2 |
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Josh Coburn | 1 |
| Matthew Pollock | 1 |
| Andreas Voglsammer | 1 |
| Wes Harding | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.92
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41
Millwall FC xG
I would bet for:
Millwall FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Millwall FC
73%
Watford FC or Millwall FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Millwall FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 1
12.6%
0 – 0
11.9%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.6%
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 3
4.3%
1 – 3
4.1%
2 – 2
4%
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
2%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Millwall FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 15% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 24% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.