Watford FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at Vicarage Road Stadium.
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
- Millwall FC 46 games · 83 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec | Millwall FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Dec | Huddersfield Town AFC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Dec | Hull City AFC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Nov | Bristol City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Nov | Reading FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Nov | Coventry City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec | Watford FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Dec | Wigan Athletic FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Dec | Sunderland AFC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Nov | Preston North End FC | A | 4–2 | W |
| 05 Nov | Hull City AFC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Nov | Birmingham City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Millwall FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #3 |
| 57 | Points | 83 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 14 / 15 / 17 | W / D / L | 24 / 11 / 11 |
| 53 | Scored | 64 |
| 65 | Conceded | 49 |
| -12 | GD | +15 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.80 |
| 30% | Win % | 52% |
Key Stats
30%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Watford FC are 16th (57 pts). Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Watford FC welcome Millwall FC for this crunch clash at Vicarage Road Stadium.
- 5' Millwall FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' A moment of madness from Leandro Bacuna on 10 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Watford FC will be frustrated.
- 15' Watford FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Millwall FC backline.
- 20' Watford FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
- 22' Andreas Voglsammer doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 27' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 28' Poor challenge from George Saville. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 33' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 35' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Joao Pedro exits the field as Yaser Asprilla enters on 35.
- 38' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Red card for Hassane Kamara.
- 39' Poor challenge from Dan McNamara. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 44' Shaun Hutchinson has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 46' Another substitution for Watford FC to replace Leandro Bacuna by William Troost-Ekong on 46 minute.
- 51' The travelling Millwall FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 56' Watford FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 61' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Jeremy Ngakia is replaced by Mario Gaspar on 61 minute.
- 63' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for George Long on 63 minutes.
- 68' Billy Mitchell has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 71' The crowd applauds Christian Kabasele as he leaves the pitch. Samuel Kalu steps in for Watford FC.
- 75' Another substitution for Millwall FC to replace Tyler Burey by Jamie Shackleton on 75 minute.
- 80' The whistle greets Andreas Voglsammer as he departs to be replaced by George Honeyman.
- 83' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Zian Flemming makes no mistake. 0-2!
- 88' Austria international Daniel Bachmann has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 90' Poor challenge from Daniel Bachmann. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Millwall FC players.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 12
- 15
- 27
- 7
- 23
- 14
- 1
-
10
Joao Pedro ↓ Yaser Asprilla 35'
- 24
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Mario Gaspar 61'
Bench
- 26
-
28
Samuel Kalu ↑ 71'
-
3
Mario Gaspar ↑ 61'
-
5
William Troost-Ekong ↑ 46'
- 31
- 19
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↑ 35'
Coach
Slaven Bilic
Millwall FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
14
Tyler Burey ↓ Jamie Shackleton 75'
- 9
- 4
- 5
- 3
- 23
- 1
- 10
- 21
- 2
- 8
Bench
- 7
-
39
George Honeyman ↑ 80'
- 6
- 33
-
16
Jamie Shackleton ↑ 75'
- 15
Coach
Gary Rowett
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Bradshaw | 4 |
| Zian Flemming | 3 |
| Mileta Rajovic | 2 |
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Casper De Norre | 1 |
| Ismaila Sarr | 1 |
| Josh Coburn | 1 |
| Matthew Pollock | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.85
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37
Millwall FC xG
I would bet for:
Millwall FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Millwall FC
74%
Watford FC or Millwall FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Millwall FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13.7%
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
13%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
8%
2 – 1
5.2%
0 – 3
4.4%
1 – 3
3.9%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 2
3.7%
2 – 3
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Millwall FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 14% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 24% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

