Watford FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at Vicarage Road Stadium.
- Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
- Millwall FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec | Millwall FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Dec | Huddersfield Town AFC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Dec | Hull City AFC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Nov | Bristol City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Nov | Reading FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Nov | Coventry City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec | Watford FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Dec | Wigan Athletic FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Dec | Sunderland AFC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Nov | Preston North End FC | A | 4–2 | W |
| 05 Nov | Hull City AFC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Nov | Birmingham City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Millwall FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #11 |
| 8 | Points | 11 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 2 / 2 / 4 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 3 |
| 7 | Scored | 15 |
| 10 | Conceded | 15 |
| -3 | GD | +0 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.38 |
| 25% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
30%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
38%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
Watford FC are 20th (8 pts). Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Watford FC is hosting Millwall FC for another epic battle.
- 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Murray Wallace is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Watford FC.
- 10' The referee calls foul for Leandro Bacuna. He receives a Yellow card.
- 15' Watford FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 22' Andreas Voglsammer doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 27' Both keepers have barely been tested. Watford FC and Millwall FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 28' George Saville has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 28.
- 33' A quiet spell here at Vicarage Road Stadium. Watford FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 35' Watford FC make a change. Joao Pedro trudges off to be replaced by Yaser Asprilla on 35 minutes.
- 38' The referee shows Watford FC player a Red card on 38.
- 39' Dan McNamara was booked on 39.
- 44' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 46' The Watford FC manager makes a substitution. Leandro Bacuna departs to be replaced by William Troost-Ekong.
- 51' The travelling Millwall FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 56' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 61' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Mario Gaspar comes on to replace Jeremy Ngakia.
- 63' A meaty challenge results in booking for George Long on 63.
- 68' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Millwall FC that had 386 games and scored 408 goals.
- 71' The whistle greets Christian Kabasele as he departs to be replaced by Samuel Kalu.
- 75' Time for substitution for Millwall FC. Tyler Burey is replaced by Jamie Shackleton.
- 80' A tactical swap from Millwall FC — George Honeyman on, Andreas Voglsammer off on 80 minutes.
- 83' GOAL! Zian Flemming scores on 83.
- 88' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Daniel Bachmann is booked for Watford FC — Yellow card on 90.
- Full Time. Millwall FC beats Watford FC
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 12
- 15
- 27
- 7
- 23
- 14
- 1
-
10
Joao Pedro ↓ Yaser Asprilla 35'
- 24
-
2
Jeremy Ngakia ↓ Mario Gaspar 61'
Bench
- 26
-
28
Samuel Kalu ↑ 71'
-
3
Mario Gaspar ↑ 61'
-
5
William Troost-Ekong ↑ 46'
- 31
- 19
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↑ 35'
Coach
Slaven Bilic
Millwall FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
14
Tyler Burey ↓ Jamie Shackleton 75'
- 9
- 4
- 5
- 3
- 23
- 1
- 10
- 21
- 2
- 8
Bench
- 7
-
39
George Honeyman ↑ 80'
- 6
- 33
-
16
Jamie Shackleton ↑ 75'
- 15
Coach
Gary Rowett
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Bradshaw | 4 |
| Zian Flemming | 3 |
| Mileta Rajovic | 2 |
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Andreas Voglsammer | 1 |
| Wes Harding | 1 |
| Yaser Asprilla | 1 |
| Edo Kayembe | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.96
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42
Millwall FC xG
I would bet for:
Millwall FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Millwall FC
73%
Watford FC or Millwall FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Millwall FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 1
12.1%
0 – 0
11.4%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 3
4.2%
1 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Millwall FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 23% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.